So we just need to adopt the same social distancing actions that Italy implemented?
Wouldn’t it be swell if things came to a screeching halt and we didn’t need a stimulus package at all?
It's NOT because the virus is dying. It's because Italy has been on lockdown for quite a while now.
Great!
Herd immunity, or community immunity in action?
Florida beaches in my town were crowded on weekend...mostly young people.
The death rate seems to be dropping over the last few days, also.
“There were fewer new infections in Italy than there have been in a week”
Where are you seeing this? Wordometers is showing fewer new infections since March 20, not a week. See daily cases chart below. March 20 and 21 are the only days with higher numbers than today. Hoping for a flattening of the curve, but it looks to me like we need to see several more daily reports to establish a trend.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/italy/
That is great news, pray it holds..
So this looks like New York needs to social distance for 22 days. When did the first day start?
Can you share your data source? Thanks
Date New 02/29/20 234 03/01/20 573 03/02/20 335 03/03/20 466 03/04/20 587 03/05/20 769 03/06/20 778 03/07/20 1247 03/08/20 1492 03/09/20 1797 03/10/20 977 03/11/20 2313 03/12/20 2651 03/13/20 2547 03/14/20 3497 03/15/20 3590 03/16/20 3233 03/17/20 3526 03/18/20 4207 03/19/20 5322 03/20/20 5986 03/21/20 6557 03/22/20 5560
Italian New Cases vs. Date
Today's new case report is lower than previous two. More importantly, the percent growth rate is down to a 7 day doubling, from a 3 day doubling a month ago.
A good place to see how things are going, both by country and state, is by looking at the death trends at this site (yes, hosted by the nytimes):
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/21/upshot/coronavirus-deaths-by-country.html
As one can see, Italy (and even Spain) are showing a “flattening of the curve.” The US is still pretty straight but one must consider that on a per-capita basis its numbers are still very low, and a lot of different things can happen as the numbers get larger - some even good.
I hope this is true. But almost everywhere the number of new cases seems to depend on how much testing is done.
Everyone should remember, the virus usually makes a second run.
Lockdowns work. Proven again & again.
Your report is inaccurate, which is why you include no numbers or graphs.
There all dead Jim
Beware the 1-2 day trends.
So you live in Italy and have first hand knowledge of what is going on there? Please keep us updated......thanks