Posted on 03/19/2020 7:48:45 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
This is a question on a lot of people's minds. Sadly, I won't be able to give an exact date because the actual date will depend on a lot of other things, like if everyone has 237 rolls of toilet paper stashed behind the couch. But we have a good way to talk about it; however, warning, there will be math.
Here's the real answer, and no it really doesn't depend on how many rolls of toilet paper you have. The virus will be contained when R0 is less than 1. That's what to look for: R0 < 1.
"Fine," you say, "what is R0?"
R0, usually pronounced "R-naught," is basic reproduction number for any infectious disease. It's not really complicated: for every person who has a disease, some number of people will contract the disease. That number is R0. So, if on average one case of coronavirus infection leads to three more cases, then R0 = 3.
That doesn't mean that each person with the virus will infect exactly three more people, though. It's a statistical number — basically an average. So an R0 of, say, 2.2 is meaningful — you're not really saying that each person infects two whole people and 0.2 others, you're saying that five infected people will be expected to infect 11 others.
While the number isn't complicated, computing it is. Imagine you're a coronavirus waiting for your big break. You've infected one person, but there's nothing more important in life for a virus than to go viral. Infectivity is like dating — your first challenge as a hot young coronavirus is that not everyone you meet is open to dating you. The second challenge is that this means if you want to become viral, you have to get out and meet lots of people.
(Excerpt) Read more at pjmedia.com ...
Use an e-tablet
And a sponge if need be
When the noise in the signal settles down and we can start seeing a definite slope in the number of new dead each day we will know where we are. Until then no one knows anything.
Until next flu season?
the benchmark is look at north korea... when they reopen the border again.
How about frigen rice and Chicken and god ole 80% greasy burger
I was almost out and cant find any.
The peep freaking out are out of control.
Thanks, we’re good for now. But our supply won’t last forever...
The Chinese gubmit covered up news of the virus’s expansion.
Our bottom-dwelling media/swamp coalition will cover up news of it’s reduction.
According to the left, it will be controlled when Trump is no longer President.
I know a friend that works at a grocery store. They had to call the cops on some crazy lady that was like having a panic attack and literally filling multiple shopping carts with food and was out of control. She filled up a whole cart with meat from the meat case. Then she got into an argument with other customers and management.
Your conscience is enforcing the lockdown.
That works for you and I, but I am becoming increasingly convinced that there are far more people utterly without a conscience out there than we care to imagine.
Keep yer powder dry.
Yep it’s voluntary compliance and the lockdown is a direct violation of the 1st Amendment
There is no lockdown. What lockdown do you see?
There is no lockdown. What lockdown do you see?
Long after the disease itself has been handled, Americans will still be living under many, if not most, of the leftover draconian police-state laws and regulations that are being temporarily implemented under the guise of "emergency action"...
There is nothing in the Nation's history since the early 1900's to suggest otherwise...
Classic example: Look at you payroll stub... The stated temporary theft and use by the government of your hard-earned money still persists almost 70-years later...
Political power & control once implemented is never completely undone... Except via gunfire...
You are correct the words from the politicians saying shelter in place are nothing but words written by existing in this moment politicians and the politicians are telling the People to voluntarily comply with their dictator type order(s). Want to be dictators coming out all over the place
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