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Johns Hopkins professor says up to 500,000 Americans have coronavirus
Yahoo Finance ^ | 4/13/2020 | Adriana Belmonte

Posted on 03/16/2020 7:20:27 AM PDT by Dr. Marten

"Don’t believe the numbers when you see, even on our Johns Hopkins website, that 1,600 Americans have the virus,” he said. “No, that means 1,600 got the test, tested positive. There are probably 25 to 50 people who have the virus for every one person who is confirmed.”


(Excerpt) Read more at finance.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: chinavirusus; corona; covid19; johnshopkins; virus
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To: MustKnowHistory

Why aren’t we all dead?

Makes sense and it makes the death rate way lower than suspected.... Much less then 1%. So if you’re not old and decrepit like most of us are, then you’ll be fine.

See my tagline.


41 posted on 03/16/2020 7:39:54 AM PDT by Grampa Dave ((FearRepublic.com - keeping the media panic narrative going 24/7 to finally bring down Trump)!!!!)
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To: Dr. Marten

huh ? Ohio has 100,000k all by themselves (S/off).

doubles every what, 4 days ? we’re doomed. (double S/off)


42 posted on 03/16/2020 7:40:55 AM PDT by stylin19a (((2016 - Best.Election.Of.All.Times.Ever.In.The.History.Of.Ever)))
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To: Texas Eagle

“Affirmative Action” At its finest


43 posted on 03/16/2020 7:41:22 AM PDT by A_Former_Democrat
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To: Dr. Marten

http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/scenario.html


44 posted on 03/16/2020 7:42:22 AM PDT by Just mythoughts
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To: lodi90

We still have the death peddlers on Free Republic telling us everyone has this virus and a whole lot of us will die.

See my tagline!


45 posted on 03/16/2020 7:43:18 AM PDT by Grampa Dave ((FearRepublic.com - keeping the media panic narrative going 24/7 to finally bring down Trump)!!!!)
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To: cuban leaf

If it turns out that a lot more people have it than they think do, then it means the mortality rate is a lot lower than we think it is.

= = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

HOW DARE YOU bring logic into a perfectly senseless ‘argument’?.

As ‘we speak’ I am going to bring suit against ALL of them if they enact the ‘Over 70 stay in your closet’ rule as in essence, it is no different than the ‘Whites only’ in front of bus, ‘Whites only drinking fountains and toilets’ etc.

If nothing else these LIB MF’ers should have learned that DISCRIMINATION is DISCRIMINATION, no matter how you present it and ‘they’ have been pushing that message for years, NOW, all of a sudden they are preparing GOVERNMENT BACKED AGE DISCRIMINATION.....

Also it seems all these ‘governors’ etal are trying to ‘outdo’ their counterparts by adding some other draconian measure to ‘control us’.


46 posted on 03/16/2020 7:44:31 AM PDT by xrmusn (6/98"HRC is the Grandmother that lures Hansel & Gretel to the pot")
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To: cmj328
Good news then!

Yup. a 0.0138 death rate. I'll bet more people die from snake bites.

47 posted on 03/16/2020 7:45:44 AM PDT by Sirius Lee (They are openly stating that they intend to murder us. Prep if you want to live.)
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To: Dr. Marten

And Johns Hopkins is in the running to get a chunk of the $8+ billion approved by Congress. What else are they going to say? Johns Hopkins has a vested interest in making Americans freak out. (JH is heavily funded by Mini Mike, too, so there’s that incestuous relationship going on. He said he’s determined to do what it takes to make Trump lose.)


48 posted on 03/16/2020 7:47:29 AM PDT by MayflowerMadam ("Worry does not empty tomorrow of its sorrow; it empties today of its strength" - Corrie ten Boom)
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To: Just mythoughts

Event 201 co sponsored by Johns Hopkins. Vested interest in doom and gloom?


49 posted on 03/16/2020 7:47:38 AM PDT by nclaurel
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To: Vermont Lt

maybe, but if there are 500,000 infected people and the mortality rate is 4%, then I think 20,000 of us old folks are gonna die. I suspect that will cover a lot of on this site.


50 posted on 03/16/2020 7:50:16 AM PDT by MustKnowHistory
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To: All

After reading the accounts submitted by people that survived, my co-worker and myself had this. it was mild but we had all the symptoms, the fever, the chills, the reduced lung function.

It was like a bad cold back in January. We both work with a lot of people that travelled to and from Asia.

It’s out there.


51 posted on 03/16/2020 7:51:36 AM PDT by newnhdad (Our new motto: USA, it was fun while it lasted.)
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To: Dr. Marten

For those unfamiliar with the world of health care when Hopkins speaks the world listens...at least the world of medicine.


52 posted on 03/16/2020 7:52:44 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (The Rats Can't Get Over The Fact That They Lost A Rigged Election)
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To: MustKnowHistory

Give it two weeks. The thing that impresses me most is the guy who first recognized that he was clinically seeing something new, something devastating, after seeing FOUR patients. If this is that different, that new, it ain’t “nothing”.


53 posted on 03/16/2020 7:54:18 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: Vermont Lt
Both sides of this argument rely on sketchy information and they use assumptions and estimates more than either side is willing to admit.

We agree on that. Maybe you can identify somewhere in nature where a meaningful estimate is arrived at by extrapolating twice from the same data point. Please explain how a fudge factor can be applied twice.

It's Global Warming math on steroids and there is nothing "educated" about it. Since the discussion is about this article, your attempt to generalize it to the whole universe is a bit of a distraction. Either the method used in this article is valid or it isn't.

54 posted on 03/16/2020 7:58:02 AM PDT by FirstFlaBn
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To: xrmusn

Also it seems all these ‘governors’ etal are trying to ‘outdo’ their counterparts by adding some other draconian measure to ‘control us’.


And if they are going to do that, is not the first step to invoke Martial law?


55 posted on 03/16/2020 7:59:09 AM PDT by cuban leaf (The political war playing out in every country now: Globalists vs Nationalists)
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To: Fresh Wind
The clickbait claim in the title is a lie.

He doesn’t know how many have it, and for that matter, nobody does.

He added: “I think we have between 50,000 and half a million cases right now walking around in the United States.”

He is guessing.

 

Operative word being "think."

Of course he's guessing.

Borrowed the following from an infectious disease specialist who had posted the following:

"Suppose you catch the virus. You will give it to 3 other people, and they will each give it to three others, and so forth. Here is how the math works, where you, the “index case,” are the first line:
1
3
9
27
81
243
729
2,187
6,561
19,683
59,046
177,147
531,441
1,594,323
4,782,969
14,348,907

So, in just 15 steps of transmission, the virus has gone from just one index case to 14.3 million other people. Those 15 steps might take only a few weeks. The index person may be young and healthy, but many of those 14 million people will be old and sick, and they will likely die because they got a virus that started in one person's throat."

56 posted on 03/16/2020 8:01:47 AM PDT by Dr. Marten
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To: romanesq

Mortality rate is 3.8% using this mornings CDC data. Based on that number, the projected world death toll will be 231,040,000 figuring 80% of the world population is infected. It’s jus gearing up in South America, Africa , and India.


57 posted on 03/16/2020 8:02:20 AM PDT by DownInFlames (Galsd)
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To: Dr. Marten
There are probably 25 to 50 people who have the virus for every one person who is confirmed.”

I've seen this statement before. Or something similar to it.

58 posted on 03/16/2020 8:04:31 AM PDT by Responsibility2nd (Click my screen name for an analysis on how HIllary wins next November.)
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To: windsorknot
"She was a big Eric Clapner fan. "

Her plans for public schools to teach your children to how masturbate is what 'did her in.'

59 posted on 03/16/2020 8:12:18 AM PDT by blam
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To: Dr. Marten

He has zero way to know that. If that were true and given a 2% mortality rate then 10,000 should be dead or dying. Not happening.


60 posted on 03/16/2020 8:12:58 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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