Posted on 03/13/2020 11:11:42 AM PDT by Mariner
Yesterday's thread is here: http://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3823939/posts?page=1301
**MORE THAN 50% OF PEOPLE IN FRENCH ICUS ARE YOUNGER THAN 60.*
https://twitter.com/RachelDonadio/status/1238901051555799040
France closing cafe’s? Now you know it’s serious there.
I have one neighbor within a half mile, and they have goats—so they can’t complain!
Not sure about pulling out the old generator. Carb may need cleaning. Can’t even remember where the on lever position is, probably dusty.
I think China will become a marginalized, shunned country. A powerful country yes, but they will never be the same.
“they have goats”
Goat meat!
Great, now I’m starving.
(Lunch Break!)
Vermont update today:
Total of 4 cases, 231 tests
—
That is a great ratio—Vermont is doing it right...
f
You really need to provide a source.
Lookner
Philippines confirms 34 new coronavirus cases, full tally at 98
“The patient is a male Summit County resident, he is between the ages of 18 and 60”
How about ASKING him his age. This is the kind of Shiite that we, literally, had DECADES to iron out...but we’re still guessing at the age of people (or maybe in some kind of ‘privacy prevails over public health’ mode).
If you rely on electric for sewer this probably won’t help because you’re probably not out in the country where they do logging but ... might help for someone wanting to isolate themselves
If you have a saw mill around, sawdust and 5 gallon buckets, little plywood and a toilet seat. Put 2-3 inches of sawdust in it. Start doing your business, covering with sawdust each time. Make a compost pile for it. There’s actually a book about it called Humanure Handbook and you can find the older version for free as a pdf. We lived pretty primitive for a couple of years while looking for land so ....
Lookner showing video of packed beach—Spring Break Clearwater FL
I believe that the President is moving at the fastest politically feasible pace.
==
Agree.
The entire team keep repeating that this is a very fluid situation, rapidly moving.
God bless them, and this country.
No anger here. We’re off to the airport now to pick up some people and enjoy the fabulous 80 degree spring florida weather here. Local beaches are reportedly packed. I will investigate for myself tomorrow. Cheerio.
Amen to the thanks for these threads/pings/info.
I move pretty quickly in the food store. The subway is what has me freaked out (not really, but so to speak). I see people taking cabs, but if I did that, there’s no point in working. Buses take too long. One night it took me 3 hours to get home on the bus (okay, the UN was in session, but you get the idea).
Regards this:
>>Let us say you have 100 employees who are critical.
>>
>>We know from international statistics that 60 of them can >>be infected (even with full spread in the facility).
>>
>>Of those 60 only 9 will be sick enough to require >>hospitalization and have to be moved from the premises.
>>
>>Of them 1 or 2 will die.
If 30 of those 60 get into a 14-day quarantine for a COVID-19 exposure. They are lost for continuity of operations for that period.
Some of the 30 exposed will get it and be lost for a month. Call it 10 people. About 5% will die and be lost forever. Call it one person for round numbers and older demographics sake.
Some number of the exposed and quarantined, 20 in this example, will come back to work and pop sick some time after the 14 day quarantine because we need a 30 day quarantine to cover the tail end slow case developers. Call it one person in this example.
So some number of that 20 returned to work and those at work go back into quarantine. Likely a longer one, call it 21 days this time.
We are at 30 critical people at day 14, jumped to 50 at day 14, and now drop 30 more because of the slow case when he pops between day 14 and day 30.
So call day 18 as “delay pop day.” The critical staff is now at 20 from a start number of 60 at day 18. You have to make them work double shifts until the day 30, minimum, when you get back your 10 recovered bodies.
Odds are that some time in those double shift work days one of that 20 will catch COVID 19 before your ten recovered return and it will approach certainty before the uninfected from the 30 on a 21 day quarantine come back.
This will get plant shut down and rolling power brown outs and black outs.
Mardi Gras probably helped the transmission in Louisiana and throughout the South (look at all the nursing home cases in La).
Spring breakers may be facing only a minor health issue, but they are endangering everyone they come in contact with in their vacay.
A PAC was offering a reward to infect Trump with the virus.
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