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The Worst-Case Estimate for U.S. Coronavirus Deaths
New York Times ^ | March 13, 2020 | Sheri Fink

Posted on 03/13/2020 7:15:22 AM PDT by daniel1212

Officials at the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and epidemic experts from universities around the world conferred last month... Between 160 million and 214 million people in the U.S. could be infected over the course of the epidemic, according to one projection. That could last months or even over a year, with infections concentrated in shorter periods, staggered across time in different communities, experts said. As many as 200,000 to 1.7 million people could die.

And, the calculations based on the C.D.C.’s scenarios suggested, 2.4 million to 21 million people in the U.S. could require hospitalization, potentially crushing the nation’s medical system, which has only about 925,000 staffed hospital beds. Fewer than a tenth of those are for people who are critically ill.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Conspiracy; Education; Food; Gardening; Health/Medicine; History; Outdoors; Pets/Animals; Religion; Science; Society; Sports; Travel
KEYWORDS: apocalypse; coronavirus; covid19; paranoia; skyisfalling
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To: daniel1212

Without the pest hole nursing home in WA, there would be 10 deaths in the USA this morning. If a Republican is president, you can fool most of the people most of the time in an election year.


21 posted on 03/13/2020 7:31:36 AM PDT by txrefugee
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To: babble-on
Given there’s so few test kits available, is it not likely that the figures for COVID19 are understated by using official test numbers?

Yes, but it is the morality rate that matters most. And which should be compared to the Flu.

22 posted on 03/13/2020 7:32:07 AM PDT by daniel1212 ( Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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To: The Accused

Amen to that. Ping The CDC.


23 posted on 03/13/2020 7:32:26 AM PDT by Texas Eagle (If it wasn't for double-standards, Liberals would have no standards at all -- Texas Eagle)
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To: The Accused

90% of US deaths from the virus have been in the “nursing home”.


24 posted on 03/13/2020 7:33:13 AM PDT by traderrob6
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To: daniel1212

I’m gonna stick to reading books and binge watching shows on Hulu for the foreseeable future, rather than check the headlines and posts here on FEAR Republic! Honestly, it’s getting to the point where some of you FEARPERS are no better than the fear mongers in the MSM! I can go to DU or the NYT websites for this. I thought we could avoid most of that here. Guess not!


25 posted on 03/13/2020 7:33:23 AM PDT by dowcaet
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To: AnotherUnixGeek

Understood. Ping The CDC.


26 posted on 03/13/2020 7:33:35 AM PDT by Texas Eagle (If it wasn't for double-standards, Liberals would have no standards at all -- Texas Eagle)
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To: daniel1212
I can just imagine NYT printing such horror stories during obummer's ebola crisis.

Hey, I said "imagine"...

27 posted on 03/13/2020 7:34:33 AM PDT by jeffc (The U.S. media are our enemy)
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To: The Accused

Oh sorry.

I misread, you said deaths.

You may be right.


28 posted on 03/13/2020 7:35:14 AM PDT by cba123 ( Toi la nguoi My. Toi bay gio o Viet Nam.)
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To: daniel1212

I’m not much on conspiracy theories either, but something seems way off with just a few thousand deaths in China. Anyone who has visited a Chinese city knows how packed people are living together. If this virus is so contagious and lethal, they should have had many more deaths even using extreme measures. China has figured out how to tap into world anxiety. It’s going to be the new method of war.


29 posted on 03/13/2020 7:36:28 AM PDT by The Accused
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To: goodnesswins

ALL schools closing in Oregon on Monday...”

Every rat in every state is committed to making it as bad as possible


30 posted on 03/13/2020 7:36:40 AM PDT by gibsonguy
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To: Texas Eagle

All schools closing in Michigan Monday, many started today. This is not the flu.


31 posted on 03/13/2020 7:38:10 AM PDT by desertsolitaire (M.O.O.N. that spells SCARY.)
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To: a fool in paradise

That range is so large as to render it meaningless in any practical sense.


32 posted on 03/13/2020 7:38:31 AM PDT by glennaro
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To: dowcaet

I agree with you. Fear Republic sounds like an apt description. However, you should not judge the site by the people who post on it. Free Republic is an open forum and anyone can post here. Anyone can post here. Anyone. Just making sure you understand that people who post here do not necessarily represent Free Republic.


33 posted on 03/13/2020 7:38:42 AM PDT by webheart (L)
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To: RoseofTexas
China got what it wanted

So did The UN and other de-population advocates.

34 posted on 03/13/2020 7:38:52 AM PDT by Texas Eagle (If it wasn't for double-standards, Liberals would have no standards at all -- Texas Eagle)
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To: daniel1212

Chart is probably outdated. One listed in Oklahoma has fully recovered. The other is in the military had returned from visit to Washington state. Not sure if there were any new infections from the Utah Jazz player who tested positive.

OKLAHOMA CITY — Oklahoma health officials announced a new case of COVID-19 on Thursday, the same day it was announced that the state’s first patient with the novel coronavirus has recovered.

https://www.tulsaworld.com/news/state-and-regional/oklahoma-officials-announce-new-coronavirus-case-stitt-says-schools-should/article_a31ef856-1af3-55f0-94fc-4b42cdd9c06f.html


35 posted on 03/13/2020 7:38:52 AM PDT by RasterMaster ("Towering genius disdains a beaten path." - Abraham Lincoln)
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To: desertsolitaire

Yes, it’s not the flu. As of now, the flu is worse.


36 posted on 03/13/2020 7:39:34 AM PDT by The Accused
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To: jeffc
Oh wait!

Now I'm imagining NYT, Wacompost LAT... you get the picture, will start questioning flu-related deaths once the coronavirus burns out: "Were so many deaths really due to the flu, or is the Trump administration covering up the numbers of coronavirus deaths to look good?"

Just wait. I wouldn't put those kinds of shenanigan past those corrupt liars...

37 posted on 03/13/2020 7:39:57 AM PDT by jeffc (The U.S. media are our enemy)
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To: babble-on

>”Given there’s so few test kits available, is it not likely that the figures for COVID19 are understated by using official test numbers?

Some might even say that’s been the strategy. “<

It seems revealing that you cannot even get one offer (real of fake) on Ebay for virus test kit. Ebay did ban facemasks, hand sanitizers.


38 posted on 03/13/2020 7:40:00 AM PDT by daniel1212 ( Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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To: desertsolitaire

How is it different from the flu?


39 posted on 03/13/2020 7:40:33 AM PDT by Texas Eagle (If it wasn't for double-standards, Liberals would have no standards at all -- Texas Eagle)
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To: The Accused
China let it run rampant for three months with 4000 fatalities. Now the CHICOMS are absolutely lying about the infection rate. If you take the "optimistic" 1% mortality rate and extrapolate to the population there were conceivably 4 million infected in China.

We have public health officials in Ohio asserting there could very well be 100,000 infected in that state alone. Where are the dead and dying if that is the case? Thus far the US has suffered 39 deaths related to Chinese Coronavirus. Again, if this represents approximately 1% of all infections you are nowhere near approaching these doomsday estimates.

This will pass, and when it does it may very well be that the media may well have spread a panic that has caused for more damage than the virus did

40 posted on 03/13/2020 7:41:20 AM PDT by hcmama
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