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Data shows daily coronavirus deaths are decreasing worldwide. Media misleads with cumulative statistics and graphs
Tech Startups ^ | POSTED ON MARCH 8, 2020 | TechStartups Team

Posted on 03/08/2020 6:00:55 PM PDT by narses

With coronavirus death toll in the U.S. rising to 19, people are becoming increasing afraid of contracting the disease. To date, there are 3,803 reported deaths with 109,835 confirmed cases worldwide. Also a total of 60,694 people have recovered from the virus. As the fear of coronavirus continues to spread, there are a growing number of reports of empty shop shelves as people rush to stock up on basic products such as hand soap, sanitizers, tissue papers, and many more. It got so bad that some stores are now limiting purchases of these products, more due to coronavirus fears.

The fears stem from the misleading information coming from mainstream media about the trend of the virus. The media shows the number of fatalities continuously increasing, on a time-based graph. The problem with this is that, the media only uses a cumulative graph to illustrate coronavirus deaths. However, if you look deeper at the raw data provided by John Hopkins on GITHUB, the number of global deaths per day are decreasing worldwide.

Hats off to Evan at TradeGuru, who first noticed the discrepancy in media’s cumulative statistics and created a more accurate chart. According to Evan’s analysis using the raw data provided by John Hopkins University, “the virus is decreasing in hotspots such as South Korea, China and Hong Kong (the first to deal with the novel virus). The press tells us it’s an outbreak, or a pandemic on the precipice. Both situations would suggest exponential growth. The actual data doesn’t suggest exponential growth of fatalities at all. The data suggests decline. In fact, the crude death rate is statistically 0.”

Also, it’s now being estimated that 80% of individuals that contract the coronavirus are asymptomatic or midly-symptomatic. And in this viral video, Rebecca Fraiser says she “never really felt unwell” after contracting the virus, and it “sounds like it is the case for the majority of people.”


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: coronavirus; covid19; resurrection
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To: JennysCool

Who is the main force behind continued globalization? China

Who stands to lose the most by President Trump’s policies? China

Who essentially controls the major media outlets now? China

Whose mass surveillance and public control systems just underwent a major test in what was declared as a war internally? China

What nation has a history of sacrificing their own people for the good of the Party? China

What nation strives to rule the world to defeat American “hegemony@. Yup, China

Where did this start? China

Anyone seen major protests in Hong Kong lately?

Occam’s razor anyone?


121 posted on 03/08/2020 7:04:13 PM PDT by datura
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To: griffin

I’m thinking Amazon could drop off some TP at your door.


122 posted on 03/08/2020 7:04:55 PM PDT by Yardstick
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To: narses

Great article, in agreement with a lot of other factual data I’ve read. I have no fear of cv whatsoever.


123 posted on 03/08/2020 7:05:09 PM PDT by little jeremiah (Courage is not simply one of the virtues, but the form of every virtue at the testing point.)
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To: narses

LOL!

China shut down the nation. Europe is on the same track. when someone in your dept, church or other social group gets the positive you’ll be sent home for 2 weeks+. But, that will be just fake news. ROTFLMAO!!

You’re in denial of your situation and believing communist statistics. Can’t fix stupid.

Have a good spring snowflake!


124 posted on 03/08/2020 7:06:27 PM PDT by griffin
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To: datura

That is EXACTLY my outlook on this whole damn thing WHO would benefit overwhelmingly if Trump were not POTUS .......China AND Iran!!!!


125 posted on 03/08/2020 7:08:00 PM PDT by Trump Girl Kit Cat (Yosemite Sam raising hell)
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To: griffin

The market is getting crushed tonight

ES is down 145 points. Astonishing

These are black Monday kind of numbers


126 posted on 03/08/2020 7:08:15 PM PDT by RummyChick
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To: narses

Old italian guys smoke - a LOT! So do old chinee guys.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

I did searches to find out how many Chinee smoke; the percetage of men smokers is said to be about 60% to 74%, women 10-20%. Many more Chinee men died than women. And the Chinee are generally heavy smokers, and smoke everywhere.


127 posted on 03/08/2020 7:09:01 PM PDT by little jeremiah (Courage is not simply one of the virtues, but the form of every virtue at the testing point.)
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To: unixfox

The drop in oil prices is not related to the virus. It is the result of Saudi Arabia slashing prices and the lack of an OPEC deal.


128 posted on 03/08/2020 7:11:03 PM PDT by luv2ski
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To: RummyChick

129 posted on 03/08/2020 7:11:25 PM PDT by abb
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To: Yardstick
Nah, I got mine about a month ago when I saw this on the horizon. I'm good.

Up here in NH, we lost a good chunk of health professionals in 60 minutes cuz a positive a$$hole spread it. Now those professionals are on mandatory 2 week corona vacations in their house. Many were not prepared with little, if any food.

A Queens hospital just went thru the same thing. Lost 40-50 health professional for 2 weeks plus in 1/2 a day.

We are just at the beginning. If you think stuff like that is sustainable at your local hospital, water plant, power plant, then by all means - don't prepare.

Cleansing of the gene pool ain't a bad thing sometimes.

130 posted on 03/08/2020 7:11:27 PM PDT by griffin
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To: ransomnote
"20% of people are severely ill. How does that not cause a healthcare collapse?"

Th fatality rate for common influenza (the "flu") in the US is around 0.2%. It kills around 26,000 people per year. The fatality rate for the coronavirus is somewhere around 1 to 3 percent in China and Italy. However, this is calculated based on those known to have it - that is, those that are "seriously ill". If the rate were to include the mild cases, those that aren't reported to a doctor, the fatality rate in China and Italy would be 80% lower. This would be virtually no different than the fatality rate for the flu. Since there has been no "healthcare collapse" in the past century from the flu, why would there be one now, for a similar disease with a similar fatality rate?

131 posted on 03/08/2020 7:11:34 PM PDT by norwaypinesavage (Calm down and enjoy the ride, great things are happening for our country)
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To: Travis McGee

Watch your mouth, don’t take his name in vain on this site.


132 posted on 03/08/2020 7:13:38 PM PDT by cowboyusa (America Cowboy Up)
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To: RummyChick

It is interesting, but we will recover, eventually. The market will continue to go down until the threat, perceived or not, is addressed adequately.

Pretending it doesn’t exist and believing communist data isn’t something to build a solution foundation upon.


133 posted on 03/08/2020 7:14:37 PM PDT by griffin
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To: abb

Just wait until the margin calls.

This is circuit breaker type stuff.


134 posted on 03/08/2020 7:14:41 PM PDT by RummyChick
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To: narses
OK, but that is an opinion about the future. I posted FACTS about the now. Why spread fear?

It was NOT opinion. This is and has happened in every single place where this has taken hold. Every single country in the world is and has taken unprecedented, extreme actions to try and slow or contain this virus. In EVERY country this thing has hit about 10% NEED ICU. 15% to 20% NEED hospitalization.

This is exactly WHY every government on the face of the earth is worried sick about this. They know that it will overwhelm our healthcare systems IF left unchecked.

Have you noticed the mass quarantines in every singly country? Prez Trump EARLY on instituted mass quarantines on American soil of the cruise ship passengers and people coming to the US from Wuhan.

It's coming. It's here. The sooner you adjust your reality to deal with the it the sooner you will be able to deal with it.

135 posted on 03/08/2020 7:14:48 PM PDT by DouglasKC
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To: Trump Girl Kit Cat

If China can get rid of Trump and install Bernie, viola! Instant world communism.

Start a crisis, show the world that “only China knows how to fix it.” Crap, people on this thread are saying that!

Is anyone stupid enough to say that they wouldn’t give up Wuhan for that goal, and no nuclear war?


136 posted on 03/08/2020 7:14:50 PM PDT by datura
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To: griffin

Did you read the article?


137 posted on 03/08/2020 7:16:17 PM PDT by little jeremiah (Courage is not simply one of the virtues, but the form of every virtue at the testing point.)
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To: RummyChick

Go ahead and get your order in, too.

https://www.vxb.com/100-1-2-inch-Diameter-Carbon-Steel-Balls-G40-p/Kit16350.htm?gclid=EAIaIQobChMIzaPyj6SM6AIVD77ACh3SJQNjEAkYAiABEgJEc_D_BwE

100 1/2” inch Diameter Carbon Steel Bearing


138 posted on 03/08/2020 7:16:40 PM PDT by abb
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To: Svartalfiar
What? How does 3800 deaths and 61M recoveries come out to statistically '0'? My calculator says that's 5.9%, and even if we take their word that 80% of people don't even have to see the doc, never get tested, that gives us another 257M in that category. Which is still a death rate of 1.2%, not very close to "statistically zero".

You use the entire population of the planet as the denominator, DUH!!!

139 posted on 03/08/2020 7:16:53 PM PDT by null and void (By the pricking of my lungs, Something wicked this way comes ...)
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To: FreeReign

I do look at the South Korean, Japanese, Italian, French, German and US numbers daily. The best numbers I see in terms infraction growth rate are in Japan and South Korea.

Those two countries have slowed things way down, proving that it can be done. But I see no such progress in most of the western countries including the U.S. What I’m afraid of is that that we are not likely to implement the necessary restriction to match those two countries’ performance.

I really hope I’m wrong but until I see some serious reduction in the infection rates here and abroad I’m going to keep crying wolf.

My advice: Watch the data, ignore anything the Chinese tell us and pretty much anything you hear in the news reports. It is going to be mostly propaganda for one side or the other. The infection rate data will tell you all you need to know. Watch the trends, they will tell the tale.


140 posted on 03/08/2020 7:17:02 PM PDT by InterceptPoint (Ted, you finally endorsed.)
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