[InterceptPoint]

I do look at the South Korean, Japanese, Italian, French, German and US numbers daily. The best numbers I see in terms infraction growth rate are in Japan and South Korea.

Those two countries have slowed things way down, proving that it can be done. But I see no such progress in most of the western countries including the U.S. What I’m afraid of is that that we are not likely to implement the necessary restriction to match those two countries’ performance.

I really hope I’m wrong but until I see some serious reduction in the infection rates here and abroad I’m going to keep crying wolf.

My advice: Watch the data, ignore anything the Chinese tell us and pretty much anything you hear in the news reports. It is going to be mostly propaganda for one side or the other. The infection rate data will tell you all you need to know. Watch the trends, they will tell the tale.

[lodi90]

I really hope I’m wrong but until I see some serious reduction in the infection rates here and abroad I’m going to keep crying wolf.

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Last weekend I was told “just wait a week” and we would be hit hard in the US. Well, here a week later and nothing much has changed. So much for the prognostications of the virus pumpers.

[rfp1234]

Weather and geography are major factors. If warmer temps and higher humidity are indeed inhibitors for these kinds of viruses, most of the U.S. Sun Belt might not need such drastic quarantines as those in Japan and S.Korea.

However, if this virus is tougher than the others, it will be Major League SHTF. Only time will tell, hopefully the groundhog's early spring prediction will come true.

[FreeReign]

Those two countries have slowed things way down, proving that it can be done. But I see no such progress in most of the western countries including the U.S. What I’m afraid of is that that we are not likely to implement the necessary restriction to match those two countries’ performance.

So. Korea tested early. The US is just starting large scale testing.

So I think that gives the false impression that the number of new US cases is quickly increasing. Meanwhile in So. Korea, where the testing has been ongoing, (I think) they are on a flat or downward trend of new cases.