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No food, no fuel, no phones: Bushfires showed we're only ever one step from system collapse
phys.org ^ | February 7, 2020 | Anthony Richardson

Posted on 02/10/2020 4:52:20 AM PST by BenLurkin

This summer's bushfires were not just devastating events in themselves. More broadly, they highlighted the immense vulnerability of the systems which make our contemporary lives possible.

The fires cut road access, which meant towns ran out of fuel and fell low on food. Power to towns was cut and mobile phone services stopped working. So too did the ATMs and EFTPOS services the economy needs to keep running.

In a modern, wealthy nation such as Australia, how could this happen?

In a human sense, social systems range from the small, such as a family, to large organizations or the national or global population.

The systems I mentioned just now are "complex" systems. This means they are connected to other systems in many ways. It also means a change in one part of the system, such as a bushfire in a landscape, can set off unpredicted changes in connected systems—be they political, technological, economic or social.

All complex systems have three things in common: they need a constant supply of energy to maintain their functioning they are interconnected across a range of scales, from the personal and local to the global and beyond they are fragile when they have no "redundancy," or Plan B.

To better understand a complex system collapse, let's examine what happened in Victoria's East Gippsland region, particularly the coastal town of Mallacoota, during the recent fires.

This case demonstrates how one trigger (in this case, a bushfire) may start a cascade of events, but the intrinsic fragility of the system enables total collapse.

(Excerpt) Read more at m.phys.org ...


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: arson; arsonists; complexsystems; prepper; preppers; shtf
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1 posted on 02/10/2020 4:52:21 AM PST by BenLurkin
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To: metmom

ping


2 posted on 02/10/2020 4:54:11 AM PST by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire. Or both.)
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To: BenLurkin

Does Australia have “Preppers” or “Survivalists”? I think it is probable albeit, perhaps, under a different descriptor. It would be informative to see how they came through this calamity.

FYI: This is why I am utterly opposed to banning the ability to pay cash and do have a small horde of metal. Liquid assets are GOOD in the recovery times.


3 posted on 02/10/2020 5:06:04 AM PST by SES1066 (Happiness is a depressed Washington, DC housing market!)
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To: BenLurkin

It’s a good reminder, that even if you have food stored and a source of water, fire will negatively impact many plans.


4 posted on 02/10/2020 5:08:17 AM PST by Politically Correct
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To: melsec

Ping


5 posted on 02/10/2020 5:09:08 AM PST by Mark17 (Father of US Air Force Officer in pilot training. Air Force aircraft, go faster than Army tanks)
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To: BenLurkin

I thought the article was about California.


6 posted on 02/10/2020 5:10:04 AM PST by where's_the_Outrage? (Drain the Swamp. Build the Wall.)
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To: BenLurkin

“No food, no fuel, no phones ...”
Sounds like the opening to Gilligan’s Island.


7 posted on 02/10/2020 5:17:19 AM PST by BuffaloJack ("Security does not exist in nature. Everything has risk." Henry Savage)
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To: BenLurkin; 3D-JOY; 4everontheRight; 4Liberty; 5thGenTexan; 45semi; 101stAirborneVet; 300winmag; ...

Prepper ping.

Bushfires are not much of an issue for our country as a whole but in certain areas, being prepped for fire is a good idea.

Course, with the way this country is going politically, it is probably a good idea to make contingency plans before the elections in Nov.

If vote fraud keeps the President from being re-elected, I don’t see that it’s going to be pretty. IOW, we’re screwed if a dem is in office. If Trump wins a second term, I don’t expect the left to react any better then than they did when Trump won last time.


8 posted on 02/10/2020 5:25:29 AM PST by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith...)
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To: metmom

Yep. When I read this, I immediately thought “welcome to the party.”

A good example of normalcy bias and folks are jolted out it.


9 posted on 02/10/2020 5:37:37 AM PST by Blueflag (Res ipsa loquitur: non vehere est inermus)
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To: BenLurkin

When they tell you to evacuate they mean it.


10 posted on 02/10/2020 5:41:56 AM PST by Rapscallion (Let Manafort go too.)
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To: BuffaloJack
"no pet......I ain't got no cigarettes......

11 posted on 02/10/2020 5:43:13 AM PST by Karma_Sherab
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To: BenLurkin

Civilization is a thin veneer over savagery.


12 posted on 02/10/2020 6:08:42 AM PST by GingisK
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To: GingisK

Life is a bit harder than ordering,paying, and having delivered to you, food, clothes, merchandise from your phone.


13 posted on 02/10/2020 6:34:04 AM PST by Getready (Wisdom is more valuable than gold and diamonds, and harder to find.)
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To: BenLurkin; 3D-JOY; 4everontheRight; 4Liberty; 5thGenTexan; 45semi; 101stAirborneVet; 300winmag; ...
Prepper Ping - Fires in Australia - consequence to no "Plan B"
Also, appropriate for California

.."The fires cut road access, which meant towns ran out of fuel and fell low on food.
Power to towns was cut and mobile phone services stopped working.
So too did the ATMs and EFTPOS services the economy needs to keep running.
In a modern, wealthy nation such as Australia, how could this happen?"

"The systems I mentioned just now are "complex" systems.
This means they are connected to other systems in many ways.
It also means a change in one part of the system, such as a bushfire in a landscape,
can set off unpredicted changes in connected systems—be they political, technological, economic or social."

"All complex systems have three things in common: they need a constant
supply of energy to maintain their functioning they are interconnected across a range of scales,
from the personal and local to the global and beyond
they are fragile when they have no "redundancy," or Plan B. "
(Emphasis mine)

Prepping is a life-style of logical action, rather than emotional reaction.

HT to Ben Lurkin and Metmom !

14 posted on 02/10/2020 6:55:03 AM PST by Tilted Irish Kilt
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To: BenLurkin

.


15 posted on 02/10/2020 6:56:50 AM PST by sauropod (If women are upset at TrumpÂ’s naughty words, who bought 80 million copies of 50 Shades of Grey?)
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To: GingisK

Yup. I experienced the savagery during the L.A. riots in 92. Things can change in a minute. Be armed at ALL times.


16 posted on 02/10/2020 7:01:08 AM PST by HighSierra5
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To: BuffaloJack; Karma_Sherab

It started out as a three alarm fire . . a three alarm fire.


17 posted on 02/10/2020 7:15:11 AM PST by BipolarBob (Joe Biden: "We can't let Trump keep on making America great".)
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To: BenLurkin

So, the “smart people” at Phys.org get a clue and then prove they live in a bubble by calling it “news.” Wow! They is jist so smart!!


18 posted on 02/10/2020 7:26:03 AM PST by Cincinnatus.45-70 (What do DemocRats enjoy more than a truckload of dead babies? Unloading them with a pitchfork!)
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To: Tilted Irish Kilt

Been prepping since 2013; ready for (almost) anything, in the south central PA, or anywhere.


19 posted on 02/10/2020 8:03:55 AM PST by Carriage Hill (A society grows great when old men plant trees, in whose shade they know they will never sit.)
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To: Tilted Irish Kilt
".."The fires cut road access, which meant towns ran out of fuel and fell low on food. Power to towns was cut and mobile phone services stopped working. So too did the ATMs and EFTPOS services the economy needs to keep running. In a modern, wealthy nation such as Australia, how could this happen?""

Many people don't understand that if there is no internet, you can't buy fuel. After an ice storm near here there were stations with both power and fuel, but they couldn't pump it because there was no internet.

20 posted on 02/10/2020 8:28:40 AM PST by Grammy (Save the earth... it's the only planet with chocolate.)
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