Posted on 08/05/2019 6:18:41 PM PDT by BurgessKoch
US counties where President Donald Trump held a campaign rally saw a 226% increase in reported hate crimes over similar counties that did not hold a rally, political scientists at the University of North Texas said in an analysis published in The Washington Post.
According to a study done by University of North Texas professors Regina Branton and Valerie Martinez-Ebers, and PhD candidate Ayal Feinberg, the scientists found that Trump's statements during the 2016 campaign "may encourage hate crimes" in the respective counties.
The study measured the correlation between counties that hosted a 2016 campaign rally and the crime rates in the months that followed. The scientists used the Anti-Defamation League's map that measures acts of violence and compared the counties that hosted a rally with others that had similar characteristics, including minority population, location, and active hate groups.
"We examined this question, given that so many politicians and pundits accuse Trump of emboldening white nationalists," the analysis said in The Post.
Branton, Martinez-Ebers, and Feinberg noted that their study "cannot be certain" that the marked increase was solely attributed to Trump's rhetoric. But they also shut down the suggestion that the reported hate crimes were fake.
"In fact, this charge is frequently used as a political tool to dismiss concerns about hate crimes," the analysis said. "Research shows it is far more likely that hate crime statistics are considerably lower because of underreporting."
"Additionally, it is hard to discount a 'Trump effect' when a considerable number of these reported hate crimes reference Trump," they continued. "According to the ADL's 2016 data, these incidents included vandalism, intimidation and assault."
Hate crimes in the US reportedly increased 17% in 2017 compared to the previous year, according to an annual FBI report published in November 2018.
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
I think it's a small group of people that have very, very serious problems," Trump said last Friday.
"The Fake News Media is working overtime to blame me for the horrible attack in New Zealand," Trump also tweeted. "They will have to work very hard to prove that one. So Ridiculous!"
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This has been posted on Facebook and elsewhere over the past 24 hours to advance the narrative that the shootings this weekend and other "hate crimes" are correlated to Trump and his supporters. Perhaps you have seen the "study" cited by the media and others so I pass along for awareness and critique.
It’s even better. No facts, just crap!
From the crap study:
How we did our research
Using the Anti-Defamation Leagues Hate, Extremism, Anti-Semitism, Terrorism map data (HEAT map), we examined whether there was a correlation between the counties that hosted one of Trumps 275 presidential campaign rallies in 2016 and increased incidents of hate crimes in subsequent months.
To test this, we aggregated hate-crime incident data and Trump rally data to the county level and then used statistical tools to estimate a rallys impact. We included controls for factors such as the countys crime rates, its number of active hate groups, its minority populations, its percentage with college educations, its location in the country and the month when the rallies occurred.
We found that counties that had hosted a 2016 Trump campaign rally saw a 226 percent increase in reported hate crimes over comparable counties that did not host such a rally.
Of course, our analysis cannot be certain it was Trumps campaign rally rhetoric that caused people to commit more hate crimes in the host county. However, suggestions that this effect can be explained through a plethora of faux hate crimes are at best unrealistic. In fact, this charge is frequently used as a political tool to dismiss concerns about hate crimes. Research shows it is far more likely that hate crime statistics are considerably lower because of underreporting.
Additionally, it is hard to discount a Trump effect when a considerable number of these reported hate crimes reference Trump. According to the ADLs 2016 data, these incidents included vandalism, intimidation and assault.
Whats more, according to the FBIs Universal Crime report in 2017, reported hate crimes increased 17 percent over 2016. Recent research also shows that reading or hearing Trumps statements of bias against particular groups makes people more likely to write offensive things about the groups he targets.
And all the perps are Trump haters.
BI is a crap rag.
Correction: Hoax hate crimes increased
Thanks for letting us know what carp the looney, unhinged leftists are using as their ‘evidence’ to attack POTUS.
The hate is being spread and increased by the democrat party and the media.
Yeah, just like the media reports violence at Trump rallies when people show up uninvited, brandishing weapons, armored, hostile, and outright provoking confrontation
I believe it. Lots of MAGA hat wearing folks to beat up.
You’ve got to be kidding. These same cities were visited by Hillary, too, so why is she getting a free pass? Oh wait, I think I know...
So are the hate crimes convictions or charges? Without conviction, the allegation means nothing.
A couple of lefty college professors and a sycophantic doctoral candidate with a skewed sample and predictable result.
I wonder if they would consider antifa an extremist group. Not likely. Nor BLM. If you manipulate labels you can craft any result you want.
One word .... Soros.
And all the perps are Trump haters.
___________________________________________________
Trump haters egged on my the hysteria of the media and the progs.
I want to see case-by-case evidence there were even *hate crimes* in those counties.
People travel long distances to attend Trump rallies. Then they disperse. Measuring any *effect* within the host counties is bogus.
errata: my=by
Lets see now, were there Democrat campaign rallies in those same counties in 2016?
The Ministry of Propaganda is going into overdrive on this.
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