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Hate crimes increased 226% in places Trump held a campaign rally in 2016 study claims. [March]
Business Insider ^ | March 23, 2019 | David Choi

Posted on 08/05/2019 6:18:41 PM PDT by BurgessKoch

US counties where President Donald Trump held a campaign rally saw a 226% increase in reported hate crimes over similar counties that did not hold a rally, political scientists at the University of North Texas said in an analysis published in The Washington Post.

According to a study done by University of North Texas professors Regina Branton and Valerie Martinez-Ebers, and PhD candidate Ayal Feinberg, the scientists found that Trump's statements during the 2016 campaign "may encourage hate crimes" in the respective counties.

The study measured the correlation between counties that hosted a 2016 campaign rally and the crime rates in the months that followed. The scientists used the Anti-Defamation League's map that measures acts of violence and compared the counties that hosted a rally with others that had similar characteristics, including minority population, location, and active hate groups.

"We examined this question, given that so many politicians and pundits accuse Trump of emboldening white nationalists," the analysis said in The Post.

Branton, Martinez-Ebers, and Feinberg noted that their study "cannot be certain" that the marked increase was solely attributed to Trump's rhetoric. But they also shut down the suggestion that the reported hate crimes were fake.

"In fact, this charge is frequently used as a political tool to dismiss concerns about hate crimes," the analysis said. "Research shows it is far more likely that hate crime statistics are considerably lower because of underreporting."

"Additionally, it is hard to discount a 'Trump effect' when a considerable number of these reported hate crimes reference Trump," they continued. "According to the ADL's 2016 data, these incidents included vandalism, intimidation and assault."

Hate crimes in the US reportedly increased 17% in 2017 compared to the previous year, according to an annual FBI report published in November 2018.

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


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The money quote: "Following the Christchurch shooting in New Zealand that killed 50 people, Trump said that he did not believe white nationalism was a rising threat — despite evidence suggesting that far-right extremists and white supremacists were responsible for over half of extremist-related deaths in 2017.

I think it's a small group of people that have very, very serious problems," Trump said last Friday.

"The Fake News Media is working overtime to blame me for the horrible attack in New Zealand," Trump also tweeted. "They will have to work very hard to prove that one. So Ridiculous!"

===

This has been posted on Facebook and elsewhere over the past 24 hours to advance the narrative that the shootings this weekend and other "hate crimes" are correlated to Trump and his supporters. Perhaps you have seen the "study" cited by the media and others so I pass along for awareness and critique.

1 posted on 08/05/2019 6:18:41 PM PDT by BurgessKoch
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To: BurgessKoch

It’s even better. No facts, just crap!
From the crap study:

How we did our research

Using the Anti-Defamation League’s Hate, Extremism, Anti-Semitism, Terrorism map data (HEAT map), we examined whether there was a correlation between the counties that hosted one of Trump’s 275 presidential campaign rallies in 2016 and increased incidents of hate crimes in subsequent months.

To test this, we aggregated hate-crime incident data and Trump rally data to the county level and then used statistical tools to estimate a rally’s impact. We included controls for factors such as the county’s crime rates, its number of active hate groups, its minority populations, its percentage with college educations, its location in the country and the month when the rallies occurred.

We found that counties that had hosted a 2016 Trump campaign rally saw a 226 percent increase in reported hate crimes over comparable counties that did not host such a rally.

Of course, our analysis cannot be certain it was Trump’s campaign rally rhetoric that caused people to commit more hate crimes in the host county. However, suggestions that this effect can be explained through a plethora of faux hate crimes are at best unrealistic. In fact, this charge is frequently used as a political tool to dismiss concerns about hate crimes. Research shows it is far more likely that hate crime statistics are considerably lower because of underreporting.

Additionally, it is hard to discount a “Trump effect” when a considerable number of these reported hate crimes reference Trump. According to the ADL’s 2016 data, these incidents included vandalism, intimidation and assault.

What’s more, according to the FBI’s Universal Crime report in 2017, reported hate crimes increased 17 percent over 2016. Recent research also shows that reading or hearing Trump’s statements of bias against particular groups makes people more likely to write offensive things about the groups he targets.


2 posted on 08/05/2019 6:25:36 PM PDT by Bommer (2020- Vote all incumbent congressmen and senators out! VOTE THE BUMS OUT!)
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To: BurgessKoch

And all the perps are Trump haters.


3 posted on 08/05/2019 6:26:10 PM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (Where does it say in the Constitution anyone is entitled to the property another has labored for?)
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BI is a crap rag.


4 posted on 08/05/2019 6:27:40 PM PDT by Gene Eric (Don't be a statist!)
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To: BurgessKoch
Bullshit.
5 posted on 08/05/2019 6:29:19 PM PDT by TomServo
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To: BurgessKoch

Correction: “Hoax” hate crimes increased


6 posted on 08/05/2019 6:30:07 PM PDT by CapandBall
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To: BurgessKoch

Thanks for letting us know what carp the looney, unhinged leftists are using as their ‘evidence’ to attack POTUS.


7 posted on 08/05/2019 6:30:38 PM PDT by Jane Long (Praise God, from whom ALL blessings flow.)
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To: BurgessKoch

The hate is being spread and increased by the democrat party and the media.


8 posted on 08/05/2019 6:33:27 PM PDT by Hattie
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Yeah, just like the media reports violence at Trump rallies when people show up uninvited, brandishing weapons, armored, hostile, and outright provoking confrontation


9 posted on 08/05/2019 6:37:44 PM PDT by dsrtsage (For Leftists, World History starts every day at breakfast)
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To: BurgessKoch

I believe it. Lots of MAGA hat wearing folks to beat up.


10 posted on 08/05/2019 6:37:52 PM PDT by gundog ( Hail to the Chief, bitches!)
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To: BurgessKoch

You’ve got to be kidding. These same cities were visited by Hillary, too, so why is she getting a free pass? Oh wait, I think I know...


11 posted on 08/05/2019 6:48:56 PM PDT by econjack
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To: BurgessKoch


Fake news, also known as junk news or pseudo-news, is a type of yellow journalism or propaganda that consists of deliberate disinformation or hoaxes spread via traditional news media or online social media.
WIKI

12 posted on 08/05/2019 6:52:45 PM PDT by onyx
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To: BurgessKoch

So are the “hate” crimes convictions or charges? Without conviction, the allegation means nothing.


13 posted on 08/05/2019 6:55:56 PM PDT by Sgt_Schultze (When your business model depends on slave labor, you're always going to need more slaves.)
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To: BurgessKoch

A couple of lefty college “professors” and a sycophantic “doctoral candidate” with a skewed sample and predictable result.


14 posted on 08/05/2019 7:03:01 PM PDT by BigEdLB (BigEdLB, Russian BOT, At your service)
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To: BurgessKoch

I wonder if they would consider antifa an extremist group. Not likely. Nor BLM. If you manipulate labels you can craft any result you want.


15 posted on 08/05/2019 7:03:35 PM PDT by Spok
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To: BurgessKoch

One word .... Soros.


16 posted on 08/05/2019 7:15:24 PM PDT by wardamneagle
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To: Blood of Tyrants

And all the perps are Trump haters.
___________________________________________________
Trump haters egged on my the hysteria of the media and the progs.

I want to see case-by-case evidence there were even *hate crimes* in those counties.

People travel long distances to attend Trump rallies. Then they disperse. Measuring any *effect* within the host counties is bogus.


17 posted on 08/05/2019 7:23:38 PM PDT by reformedliberal
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To: reformedliberal

errata: my=by


18 posted on 08/05/2019 7:24:44 PM PDT by reformedliberal
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To: BurgessKoch

Lets see now, were there Democrat campaign rallies in those same counties in 2016?


19 posted on 08/05/2019 7:26:32 PM PDT by Captain Peter Blood
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To: BurgessKoch

The Ministry of Propaganda is going into overdrive on this.


20 posted on 08/05/2019 7:34:19 PM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Natural Born Citizen Means Born Here Of Citizen Parents_Know Islam, No Peace-No Islam, Know Peace)
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