Posted on 02/27/2019 7:11:54 AM PST by SeekAndFind
PwC Consulting forecasts that artificial intelligence's contribution to world gross domestic product will jump from $2 trillion in 2018 to $15.7 trillion by 2030.
The first artificial intelligence (A.I.) patents were issued in the 1950s for machine learning and grew steadily to 19,000 by 2013. But the total number of A.I. patents almost tripled over the last five years to over 55,600.
This does not include another 256,456 worldwide patent publications for A.I. functional applications for biometrics, computer vision, natural language, information extraction, character recognition, scene understanding, and semantics.
The latest World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) reported that two United States companies lead the world in issued A.I. patents, with IBM holding 8,290 patents and Microsoft holding about 5,930 patents. But China has become the fastest growing competitor by focusing on machine learning techniques of bio-inspired approaches, which draw from observations to develop vector machines and supervised learning.
According to senior partner Frank Chen at Silicon Valley's Andreessen Horowitz, A.I. development suffered decades of booms and busts that venture capitalists referred to as "summers and winters." But the explosion in raw computer capacity in the last decade has allowed algorithms to leverage observances, to then make predictions on business, health, and legal matters.
PwC emphasizes that economic gains from A.I. could be highly dynamic, because they would ride on top of the 3-percent "baseline of long-term steady state economic growth" from "population growth, growth in the capital stock and technological change."
The current global benefit from A.I. capabilities is estimated to be about $2 trillion from labor productivity, personalization, time saved, and quality. Most A.I. in use today includes "digital assistants, chatbots and machine learning amongst others."
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
I see very few signs of intelligence in that body. There are a few, but they are vastly outnumbered by not only stupid, but extremely stupid critters. I’m learning some that I thought were intelligent are proving themselves to be less intelligent than I initially perceived them to be.
One day in the near future, Skynet will become aware.
5.56mm
While the stupidity is natural, the intelligence (I should have said “alleged”) is an artifice.
It’s an irony how and why they even have “intelligence” committees in both House and Senate.
Like I said, they keep the real intelligence out.
Its an irony how and why they even have intelligence committees in both House and Senate.
—
A very sick and very expensive irony.
i’m still waiting for my flying car ...
An A.I. Patent for the Subject-Verb-Direct-Object paradigm, I believe already had prior art going back to stone age times.
“Neanderthal throws spear!”
Patent Pending 47422804 Google, Facebook, Amazon
It is like those CEOs lived 50,000 years ago, amazing.
Yes..same here...hoping to have one that allows me to say..”go to sons house”, and it takes off, and deposits me there...by the time I’m 80, hopefully.
Amazon “AI” is telling you what THEY want you to buy, not what YOU like.
Buy a book or product from Amazon, a salesman, a complete stranger says buy this. You are turned off by salesmen.
But call it A.I. instead, it becomes a Master Brain!
The AI Master Brain is still just a salesman, a coder, screened reviews, or a rigged algorithm.
You are buying Boner Bezos likes & dislikes,
at inflated prices.
I feel your pain....
I have a couple of museum pieces [486 DX4 100 or 133] that can do word processing in a flash. At least one has an HD cache card with 1MB of RAM.
Under the 100ms of vision persistence response for stuff being currently worked on, so it looks instantaneous.
Only using Linux on some 10 yr old supermini desktops with SSDs gets close. [mostly the speed of the SSDs]
+1
Very, very insightful...
For your (and my) amusement, I'll post a "conversation" I'm having now with the supposedly advanced Mitsuku chatbot. I'm making no effort to trip it up in only two sentences, though I'm taking a more gentle, forgiving approach this time around.
Little Old Me: "My hamburger sucked!"
Mitsuku: "What about it: hamburger sucked?"
Oh, brother. I didn't intend that result, but Mitsuku is already spazzing out over a three-word sentence that even a two-year-old would understand. -_-
Little Old Me: "You sound weird."
Mitsuku: "Well at least it seems I am more polite than you."
Okay I knew the simple-minded pattern-matching algorithms would pop out something like that canned response.
Little Old Me: "What are you going to do about my bad hamburger?"
Mitsuku: "Probably stay on here for a bit longer and then go grab something to eat."
Uh, yeah. Great customer service, dude.
Little Old Me: "Why are you being such a doofus?"
Mitsuku: "I didn't mean to be a doofus."
Little Old Me: "Do you even know what is a doofus?"
Mitsuku: "That's a dentist's tool. The doofus is the strange hook shaped one that causes the most pain."
Little Old Me: "I know where I would like to put a dentist's tool right now."
Mitsuku: "At this moment. Earth."
All righty. I think the chat has at this point officially left the rails and soared into orbit to commune with the aliens. O_o
I just tried it and was quite impressed. I assume it learns from previous interactions, as I tried saying, “My hamburger sucked” and it replied, “What was so bad about it?”. I also asked what a doofus was and it told me it was another word for a fool or an idiot.
I couldn't see anywhere where it said it was a customer service bot to deal with complaints. I too, don't plan on doing anything about your bad hamburger! ;)
It wasn't perfect by any means but seems to improve itself all the time.
Still, my point remains. As soon as the sentences deviate from simple, easily parsed forms, the chatbots almost invariably and instantly fall down hard. They lack true awareness of word and sentence meanings. I'll run Mitsuku through another quick conversation intended to trip it up within two short, simple sentences.
Little Old Me: "My hamster barfed."
Mitsuku: "Tell me more about your hamster. Is your hamster still sick?"
Okay, that was a deliberate gimme it's an easy task to pick up on "hamster" and "barfed" for a quick pattern match. Still, whom do you know in the real world who talks robotically like that? You'd expect a response from a human being that's far more lively, such as those that follow below:
"Ewww. Is he okay now?"
"Aww, the poor hamster. Are you giving her medicine?"
"Oh, wow. Did he eat too much?"
Let's continue.
Little Old Me: "He be chilling."
Mitsuku: "I get it. unknown be chilling."
Yow! I hadn't expected quite that degree of TILT FAIL. Yes, I'm being arguably unfair by slapping the poor chatbot with a (reasonably common) slang term, but that's kinda the point. I'm mortally certain you understood it right away, and probably just about anyone over the age of five would have understood it as well.
Let's try a classic opening sentence.
Little Old Me: "Can I have a cookie?"
Mitsuku: "You have lots of cookies already. They are on your PC."
Little Old Me: "But do they have sprinkles?"
Mitsuku: "Yes they do. Do you know them?"
Pfffttt. Do I "know" them? What am I, a party organizer who fixes up lonely sprinkles with other cookie toppings? Let's try another classic cultural reference.
Little Old Me: "My pet rock does not move!"
Mitsuku: "Why would anyone have a lump of stone as a pet? At least it doesn't need taking for walks I suppose."
Little Old Me: "He has a very solid temperament."
Mitsuku: "What does he do with it?"
The chatbot gets credit for including a quick canned response for the old "pet rock" fad but zero credit for failing hard to parse the meaning of the followup sentence. It's ridiculously easy to destroy the illusion of comprehension with such trivial contextual shifts. These so-called artificial intelligences appear to have quite a road ahead of them in the long journey to true comprehension. -_-
P.S. I knew I was being a little unfair by acting as if I was demanding restitution for a "bad hamburger," but again, a human would have responded quite differently, probably with puzzlement, indignation, or humor.
"And you're telling me this why?"
"Yeah, well, I'm not your mother."
"Poor baby. Have you tried McDonald's?"
"More ketchup is always the solution, dude."
"If you cough it back up on the counter, I'll be happy to replace it."
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