Posted on 07/25/2018 10:59:01 AM PDT by pabianice
Anyone else notice that realclearpolitics is calling the House race essentially tied (199-D, 202-R) with 34 too close to call. And the Senate 45-48 with seven too close to call? Seems unlikely to me.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Translation—Democrats are burnt toast.
It won’t be when more and more democrat crimes get exposed before then.
Do they seriously think that seats like TX-7, KY-6, and WV-3 are too close to call?
And yesterday, Larry Sabato (sp?) Moved a bunch of House races from leaning Republican into the too close to call category.
Is this orchestrated, to have multiple alleged experts report that it looks good for the Democrats????
All it takes is for us to stay active....
I have followed RCP around all elections since 2000. They are biased and sometimes blatantly wrong. They make wild positions for the Dems but clearly withhold for the Reps. They were in the game in 2016. In fact they weren’t in the ballpark. Same with Larry Sabato who surfaced yesterday for the Dems.
Marsha Blackburn in Tennessee is a toss up? I thought recent polls had her ahead , by a bit more than the margin of error.
Hmmmn.
Last night, the GA run-off election showed that the Trump-supported nominee for Gov got nearly twice the votes that the GROPElite (and highly favored!) candidate did.
And the democrat vote totals for their candidates were abysmally low.
Now, you’d expect fewer democrat voters anyway, since the three big races were on the republican three runoff’s for Governor, Lt Governor, and Sec of State. But still, nobody showed on the democrat sides.
The reporting orders have gone out from the old JuornoList emails: Claiming the “Blue Wave” will sweep democrats into power in October has failed to either energize the dumbocrat voters and it has failed to demoralize the conservative/pro-Trump voters. (It HAS energized the failing and hysterical GROPElite consultants in Washington DC!)
So now the JournoList email orders are: Energize the democrat voters by stressing that the mid-term elections could be “lost” to unnamed republican candidates, so we (the democrat voters) are encouraged and turn out nationally.
Didn’t see your post until I posted number 7. Thinking alike. Sabato is one of their Fake “non partisan” Pollster/Commenters.
Uh huh. Didn’t we just see a special election the LSM was calling basically a tie, then te Trump supporting candidate won by 60+% to just over 30%? Why yes, we did.
CA10 CA25 CA39 CA45 CA48 CO6 FL26 IA1 IL6 IL12 KS2 KS3 MI11 MN1 MN2 MN3 MN8 MTAL NC9 NJ7 NJ11 NM2 NY19 NY22 PA1 PA7 PA17 TX7 TX23 TX32 UT4 WA8 WI1 WV3
The ‘toss-ups’ are really just Leftist wishing for max Dem gains, but note that they confidently predict only a net Dem gain of 6 House seats, which is a very poor showing by historical standards, and far short of the number needed to flip the House.
WAY TOO EARLY to tell.
Stay Tuned.
Real Clear burned their integrity a long time ago. They pick and choose which polls they will accept to fit the narrative they want. They would accept a summary written in crayon if it should Democrats winning. Be very careful with RCP.
wishful thinking to get democrats off their butts and in the booths. repubs are going to vote no matter what. likely dem voters and independents will think twice about voting for socialism.
i see the senate going gop with 58 senators and the house expanding to the right.
It was delightful to watch him eat crow on election night 2016 and admit he had misread the entire race.
There is no way all these races are even close. I smell the stink of desperation from FakeMedia.
It’s possible, but perhaps not most likely. It’s useful to keep in mind how Real Clear Politics do their maths. They take most (if not all) the polls and calculate an average. That’s were they get the color of the state/districts. Very few of the polls systematically and habitually skew to the Republicans, but several do exactly that for the Democrats. That’s why these averages aren’t worth much, except as a marker of the trends. The measure of enthusiasm demonstrated by primary elections are at odds with the story that the media is telling. Both cannot be right.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.