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Scientific Theory And The Multiverse Madness (the multiverse idea is too close to fiction)
NPR ^ | 01/22/2018 | SABINE HOSSENFELDER

Posted on 01/23/2018 1:59:33 PM PST by SeekAndFind

Newton's law of gravity — remember that? The force between two massive bodies decreases with the inverse square of the distance and so on?

To use it, you need a constant, "Newton's constant," also called the "gravitational constant," usually denoted G. You can determine G to reasonable accuracy with a few simple measurements.

Once you have fixed the gravitational constant, you can apply Newton's law to all kinds of different situations: falling apples, orbiting planets, launching rockets, etc. All with only one constant!

This ability to explain many superficially different processes is what makes natural laws so powerful. Newton's contemporaries were suitably impressed.

After Newton came up with his equation, he could have reasoned: "Since I don't know this constant's value but have to measure it, the constant could have any value. So, there must be a universe for each different value. I conclude that we live in one of infinitely many universes – one for each value of the gravitational constant. I will call this collection of universes the "multiverse.""

But he didn't. Newton was famously minimalistic with his assumptions and even refused to speculate whether there were deeper reasons for his law of gravity, arguing this was unnecessary. "Hypotheses non fingo," he wrote, "I feign no hypotheses."

But that was then.

Today, the idea that we live in a multiverse has become popular in the foundations of physics. The multiverse collects all universes in which the constants of nature — Newton's constant and about two dozen more — can take on any value. Each combination of constants is realized in infinitely many universes.

And not only the constants can change from one universe to another, the locations of particles relative to each other can also be different. Since there are infinitely many universes in which to arrange the particles, some of these universes will be very similar to our own, just that eventually some initially tiny deviation will lead to an alternative history. Thus, somewhere in the multiverse our lives play out in any which way you can imagine. In this case, in some other universe, Newton could have, indeed, invented the multiverse.

But before you pack your bags and search for a universe more to your liking, let me add there's no way to cross over into another universe or even interact with one. This only works in science fiction. Indeed, to my taste, the multiverse itself is already too close to fiction.

Many theoretical physicists have argued the conclusion that we live in a multiverse is based on sound scientific reasoning. But that isn't so — and I will tell you why.

The purpose of science is to explain observations. In theoretical physics, we use mathematics for that. Our theories need a set of assumptions plus a way to identify math objects with observables. But none of the assumptions should be unnecessary, a criterion known as Ockham's razor (named after the 13th century theologian and philosopher William of Ockham). Ockham's razor is extremely important — as without it you could literally add invisible gods and angels to any scientific theory.

For centuries, progress in the foundations of physics has been characterized by simplification. Complex processes — such as the multitude of chemical reactions — turned out to arise from stunningly simple underlying equations. And simplicity carried us a long way. According to physicists' best theories today, everything in our universe emerges from merely 25 elementary particles and four types of forces.

So, yes, simplicity — often in the form of unification — has been extremely successful. For this reason, many physicists want to further simplify the existing theories. But you can always simplify a theory by removing an assumption. Like the assumption that the gravitational constant has a some value that you inferred from observation (up to some precision). Or similar assumptions about, say, the values of the masses of elementary particles, or the cosmological constant, or the strength of the four forces. These are assumptions some theoreticians are now throwing out.

If Ockham could see what physicists are doing here, he'd pray for God to bring reason back to Earth. You should remove unnecessary assumptions, alright. But certainly you shouldn't remove assumptions that you need to describe observations. If you do, you'll just get a useless theory, equations from which you can't calculate anything.

These useless theories which lack assumptions necessary to describe observations are what we now call a multiverse. And they're about as useful as Ockham's prayers.

Since you cannot calculate anything in the multiverse, the assumptions which physicists removed must then be replaced with something else. That "something else" is a probability distribution on the multiverse, which tells you not what we do observe, but what we are likely to observe. But it is simpler to assume a constant than an infinite number of universes with a probability distribution over them. Therefore, Ockham's razor should shave off the multiverse. It's superfluous. Unfortunately, this argument carries little weight among many of today's theoretical physicists who value the multiverse because it excuses boundless speculation.

There are a few cases where the invention of an infinite number of new universes gives rise to observable consequences. Everyone's favorite example is that our universe might, in the past, have collided with another universe, leaving correlated rings in the cosmic microwave background (see here). Another idea suggests that if we live in a multiverse, certain types of black holes are more likely (see here). But if such predictions are not confirmed, then this merely means we do not live in a multiverse with these particular properties.

Let me also add that these examples of "predictive" multiverses are ad hoc constructs invented for the very reason of convincing skeptics that some types of multiverses can have observable consequences. Don't fall for it. Just because a theory is falsifiable doesn't mean it's scientific. For a theory to be scientific its predictions must also have a reasonable chance to accurately describe reality. Construing up one of an infinite number of multiverse variants has no reasonable chance.

Theoreticians justify their multiverse research by claiming that it continues the noble quest for simplicity. But as we have seen, this argument is wrong because it neglects the need to introduce a probability distribution on the multiverse. The multiverse replaces a simple explanation with a more complicated one. Such a move is only justified if the added complication explains additional data, but for the multiverse that isn't so.

Why then has the idea become popular? A cynic may argue it's because the multiverse offers infinitely many new opportunities for paper writing. But I don't want to feign hypotheses.

Let me thus stick to the facts: To our best knowledge, assuming the existence of any universe besides our own is unnecessary to explain anything we have ever observed. In the best case, then, the multiverse is an interpretation.

You can believe that the seeming arbitrariness of the constants of nature is due to an infinite number of other universes. You can believe that, but you don't have to. Science cannot confirm that the other universes exist, but it also cannot rule them out. Just like science cannot rule out the gods and angels.


TOPICS: Astronomy; Science; Weird Stuff
KEYWORDS: multiverse; universe
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR:

Sabine Hossenfelder is a research fellow at the Frankfurt Institute for Advanced Studies in Germany. Her research focuses on general relativity and quantum gravity. She is author of the blog Backreaction and her first book, Lost in Math, is set to appear in June. You can find her on Twitter at @skdh.

1 posted on 01/23/2018 1:59:34 PM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

2 posted on 01/23/2018 2:02:33 PM PST by Dallas59 (Only a fool stumbles on things behind him.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I think it gets down to the difference between models and reality.

Normal people want to know what “reality” is; but all science can ever really do is give us models that (ideally) predict what will happen.


3 posted on 01/23/2018 2:02:35 PM PST by RedStateRocker (Nuke Mecca, deport all illegals, abolish the DEA, IRS and ATF.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Hey . . . just so long as Equestria is real!


4 posted on 01/23/2018 2:06:18 PM PST by Zionist Conspirator (Vegam Yehudah tillachem biYrushalayim . . . .)
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To: SeekAndFind

So... Are there an infinite number of timelines in each of the infinite number of universes too?


5 posted on 01/23/2018 2:10:07 PM PST by Bitman
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To: SeekAndFind

What if Spartacus had a Piper Cub?


6 posted on 01/23/2018 2:14:08 PM PST by Kirkwood (Zombie Hunter)
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To: Zionist Conspirator
Just so long as this sweetheart and me can travel the multiverse on her multipass.


7 posted on 01/23/2018 2:14:47 PM PST by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either satire or opinion. Or both.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I want the universe where I am a multi-billionaire................


8 posted on 01/23/2018 2:17:03 PM PST by Red Badger (Wanna surprise? Google your own name. Wanna have fun? Google your friends names......)
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To: SeekAndFind

Multiverse then would prove there is at least one universe that there is a omnipotent God. And if He is Omnipotent then He is not limited by the Multiverses.

So they proved the existence of God.


9 posted on 01/23/2018 2:18:52 PM PST by IVAXMAN
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To: SeekAndFind

So, do I take the red pill, or the blue?


10 posted on 01/23/2018 2:19:36 PM PST by jeffc (The U.S. media are our enemy)
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11 posted on 01/23/2018 2:20:20 PM PST by Olog-hai ("No Republican, no matter how liberal, is going to woo a Democratic vote." -- Ronald Reagan, 1960)
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To: Red Badger

I want one where everyone everywhere pays me reparations because I claim I was oppressed....


12 posted on 01/23/2018 2:21:41 PM PST by cgbg (Hidden behind the social justice warrior mask is corruption and sexual deviance.)
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To: SeekAndFind

The multiverse was the PhD. thesis of Hugh Everett III, with John Wheeler as his advisor. Niels Bohr absolutely rejected the hypothesis, so Everett never published in physics again. After Bohr died in 1962, it still took another 10 years before other physicists took up the theory. Now it is one of two major competing theories of everything - the other being one universe.

Hawking says the theory is true but trivial. He means that since (in his opinion) we can’t get information from other universes, and since they are (in his opinion) orthagonal, they don’t interact with this universe in any way.

However, about half of currently working physicists disagree. Because of quantum uncertainty, there must be interactions between various parts of the multiverse. However, again because of quantum uncertainty, it is not clear if signals can pass between the universes. Signals = detection = information. Twenty or fifty years ago, it wasn’t clear that we could ever detect planets in other solar systems. Now it is routine.

Mysteries in cosmology include: we don’t know the mass of this universe, what dark matter consists of, what dark energy consists of (some argue that dark energy misapplies the mathematics), or how a spiral galaxy can exist - it should fall apart in less than one billion years, and should certainly not retain a spiral shape over more than 200-500 million years. So multiverse vs. universe is an open question, one that has a theoretical answer (multiverse), but without any observations or experiments to provide additional support.


13 posted on 01/23/2018 2:21:44 PM PST by bIlluminati (Defund the Left. Shrink the U.S. Federal government to 1897 levels.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I read every single word and I would write my critique but I am busy building a spaceship that can go faster than the speed of light.


14 posted on 01/23/2018 2:24:10 PM PST by dp0622 (The Left should know that if Trump is kicked out of office, it is WAR!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Jesus is the Word, the Uni-Verse.

Multi-Verse makes no sense.


15 posted on 01/23/2018 2:27:25 PM PST by infool7 (Observe, Orient, Pray, Decide, Act!(it's an OOPDA loop))
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To: jeffc
So, do I take the red pill, or the blue?

Either, both pills do the same thing. There was no going back for Neo the red pill just let Morpheus know that Neo would be cooperative.

16 posted on 01/23/2018 2:31:13 PM PST by infool7 (Observe, Orient, Pray, Decide, Act!(it's an OOPDA loop))
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To: dp0622

Let me know when you finish it. We can go out and explore the multiverse! Ha!


17 posted on 01/23/2018 2:31:26 PM PST by ConjunctionJunction
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To: SeekAndFind
Newton's law of gravity — remember that?

Who gives a fig?

18 posted on 01/23/2018 2:31:54 PM PST by Jeff Chandler (Democrats call Americans "Deplorables" and illegal aliens "Dreamers".)
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To: bIlluminati
Now it is one of two major competing theories of everything - the other being one universe.

If the Universe is infinite, then it is all there is. There is no room for other universes.

19 posted on 01/23/2018 2:33:40 PM PST by UCANSEE2 (Lost my tagline on Flight MH370. Sorry for the inconvenience.)
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To: SeekAndFind
I find David Deutsch's multiverse arguments to be interesting and quite compelling.

He wants to create a quantum Turing machine to test them out.


20 posted on 01/23/2018 2:34:40 PM PST by Bobalu (12 diet Cokes and a fried chicken...)
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