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Zombie apocalypse would wipe out humankind in just 100 days, according to university research
telegraph.co.uk ^ | 01/05/2017 | Helena Horton

Posted on 01/05/2017 1:48:46 PM PST by BenLurkin

Using their hypothesis — that a zombie has a 90 per cent chance of turning a human into a zombie once it has found said human, and that a zombie could find at least one human a day — they predicted how long the population could hold out using the SIR model, an epidemiological model that describes the spread of a disease throughout a population.

Using the model, they split the population into three categories; the susceptible population (S), zombie (Z) and dead (D).

The lifespan of a zombie, they worked out, goes thus: S,Z,D. Natural birth and death rates did not feature in the working, as 100 days as the zombie epidemic took place over 100 days, which meant the natural births and deaths were negligible compared to the zombie virus.

The model works out how much infected humans come into contact with non-infected humans, and how likely it is one will spread the disease to the other.

Human survival rates were pitiful, with only a tiny amount of the population alive over the duration of the zombie apocalypse.

In a more hopeful follow-up study, students worked out humans could prolong the survival of the species by killing off zombies and having babies in the nightmare scenario.

(Excerpt) Read more at telegraph.co.uk ...


TOPICS: Health/Medicine
KEYWORDS: apocalypse; offgrid; prepping; zombieapocalypse; zombies
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To: JBW1949

It make statistical analysis fun.


61 posted on 01/05/2017 2:28:25 PM PST by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death cults)
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To: CholeraJoe; Delta 21; Nikas777; NoAmnesty; Yorlik803; TheOldLady; The Comedian; OB1kNOb; ...
It's been a while, but...




62 posted on 01/05/2017 2:28:59 PM PST by RandallFlagg (Vote for your guns!)
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To: jetson
It’s already here. I see zombies in the supermarket every time I go in there.

Yep, me too. They're the ones who leave their grocery carts sideways, blocking the entire aisle.

63 posted on 01/05/2017 2:29:12 PM PST by chud
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To: Blue Jays

I am Legend


64 posted on 01/05/2017 2:29:13 PM PST by shotgun
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To: dynachrome

I was posting the list as you pinged me.
Had to dust it off, first.


65 posted on 01/05/2017 2:31:25 PM PST by RandallFlagg (Vote for your guns!)
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To: BenLurkin

“In their model, for instance, they did not account for humans killing zombies.”

huh. I would say that is a flawed model.


66 posted on 01/05/2017 2:32:15 PM PST by dynachrome (When an empire dies, you are left with vast monuments in front of which peasants squat to defecate)
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To: BenLurkin

It depends what kind of zombie. I always thought the dumb/slow zombie apocalypse was very unlikely. You watch these shows and the zombies always outnumber the humans. In the early stages of such an “apocalypse”, the humans would outnumber the zombies by thousands to one. And the humans would be armed to the teeth.

But I also believe you’d have people who try to hide loved ones that have turned — that would prolong the outbreak.

The “28 Days Later” scenario is the most worrisome, but also the most unlikely.


67 posted on 01/05/2017 2:33:26 PM PST by rbg81 (Truth is stranger than fiction)
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To: husky ed

Sad but true!


68 posted on 01/05/2017 2:36:07 PM PST by shotgun
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To: dirtymac

LOL!!!!!....Anyway,My compadres and I are quite prepared for the Democratic Apocalypse!


69 posted on 01/05/2017 2:39:43 PM PST by MGunny
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To: Little Pig

I took a course in mathematical epidemiology in the 80’s, and we used seir/d models. My professor was a genius, and it was a fun course. We used parameters from real diseases, and some of the results were pandemic in nature. I see nothing wrong with students having fun studying a zombie outbreak, I will be teaching a graduate math course based on the Kerbal Space Program (KSP) game. I like to make learning fun.


70 posted on 01/05/2017 2:40:54 PM PST by Do the math (Doug)
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To: BenLurkin

71 posted on 01/05/2017 2:41:28 PM PST by Larry Lucido
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To: stylin19a

50 next year. But saw it on our local PBS once. It’s on Youtube and its a hoot


72 posted on 01/05/2017 2:43:32 PM PST by Sybeck1
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To: BenLurkin
This is complete crap. And I resent them publishing a photo of our family reunion without permission. How do I contact the Zombie-in-chief to complain? We wuz havin a good time until they took this picture.


73 posted on 01/05/2017 2:43:32 PM PST by USMCPOP (Father of LCpl. Karl Linn, KIA 1/26/2005 Al Haqlaniyah, Iraq)
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To: RandallFlagg


74 posted on 01/05/2017 2:43:33 PM PST by Chode (may the RATS all die of dehydration from crying)
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To: ichabod1

Farm equipment. Check out swathers, power rakes, combines and corn choppers. But they would be prone to clogging based upon the decay of the bodies. Fresh zombies would be more likely to clog versus a zombie that is several months along in the decay process.


75 posted on 01/05/2017 2:44:06 PM PST by shotgun
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To: BenLurkin

A zombie outbreak would be self-limiting due to the effects of maggots, scavengers, and carrion eaters. Zombies would be nothing but bones inside of 6 weeks and incapable of movement long before that.


76 posted on 01/05/2017 2:49:48 PM PST by Hootowl
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To: BenLurkin
Frontier Justice (The Survivalist Book 1) Kindle Edition [$0.00]
77 posted on 01/05/2017 2:50:57 PM PST by Berlin_Freeper
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To: Berlin_Freeper

Ever notice in these stories that it’s always the other guys who are the gang of violent criminals.


78 posted on 01/05/2017 2:53:42 PM PST by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either satire or opinion. Or both.)
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To: BenLurkin

Women and minorities hardest hit.


79 posted on 01/05/2017 2:56:00 PM PST by Enterprise ("Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities." Voltaire)
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To: Berlin_Freeper
The Alpha Plague: A Post-Apocalyptic Action Thriller Kindle Edition [$0.00]
80 posted on 01/05/2017 2:57:01 PM PST by Berlin_Freeper
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