Posted on 01/05/2017 1:48:46 PM PST by BenLurkin
Using their hypothesis — that a zombie has a 90 per cent chance of turning a human into a zombie once it has found said human, and that a zombie could find at least one human a day — they predicted how long the population could hold out using the SIR model, an epidemiological model that describes the spread of a disease throughout a population.
Using the model, they split the population into three categories; the susceptible population (S), zombie (Z) and dead (D).
The lifespan of a zombie, they worked out, goes thus: S,Z,D. Natural birth and death rates did not feature in the working, as 100 days as the zombie epidemic took place over 100 days, which meant the natural births and deaths were negligible compared to the zombie virus.
The model works out how much infected humans come into contact with non-infected humans, and how likely it is one will spread the disease to the other.
Human survival rates were pitiful, with only a tiny amount of the population alive over the duration of the zombie apocalypse.
In a more hopeful follow-up study, students worked out humans could prolong the survival of the species by killing off zombies and having babies in the nightmare scenario.
(Excerpt) Read more at telegraph.co.uk ...
Problem is there are no zombies.
I have several Katanas and snake-like reflexes.
I will survive.
;)
Wackademics. Whadya expect?
They need to read the docudrama series that starts with Under a Graveyard Sky by John Ringo.
That’ll school ‘em up.
My thoughts exactly.
Anything this useless had better have been done on someone’s own time.
“Is there any known disease that has a 90% infection rate from proximity and casual contact, and is 100% effective in killing the patient? Don’t think so.”
Rabies would come close if it was easier to get
The speed at which zombies move would largely impact our survival rate, possibly more so than any other factor. Make it to round 53 in Nazi zombies and tell me I’m wrong lol! If they can spend money researching a fictional creature, I can use the same fiction to come to my own conclusion on the fictional subject.
I remember a short zombie story set in the older inner city, maybe Chicago or Philadelphia.
A white guy from the suburbs with the new government was doing a census and surprised at the 40% survival rate, officially 20% because half the people left but never came back. Nearly half. How, he asked?
They didn’t expect a government that never helped them to help them, had no qualms looting stores and warehouses, lots of Asian neighbors were already experienced eating pets, they had lots of arms and knowledge in using them compared to liberal whites in the suburbs and had lots of makeshift weapons, too, and few qualms killing zombies. Might have taken out some crazy homeless people, too, but the biggest issue was food and that was less of an issue when you can loot, eat anything and many of your neighbors in uptown can be killed or are already shambling zombies ...
The whole scenario is totally dependent on the probability of a potential victim being able to kill the zombie before being bitten. In some places, the zombies would win. In other places, people would be able to shoot the zombies.
It also depends on how hard to kill the zombies are (Will one fall with a shot that would kill a normal human? Will one only fall from a head shot? Is it a supernatural zombie which requires complete dismemberment?)
Not sure about that because I think Berserkly is pretty well contained of brainless idiots within its perimeter.
The weakness of that book is teenaged girls who are like video game heroines, capable of amazing physical and tactical feats, beautiful and brilliant, everything a feminist consider ideal except with conservative values and a strong father.
I can’t suspend disbelief that long, and I write scifi and horror.
brrraaaaaiiiiinnnssss
pingy
Reminds me of the Reddit thread where they said the perfect weapon in a zombie apocalypse is the light saber - never needs reloading, never goes dull, relatively quiet, can be used to amputate limbs with bites, cauterizes the zombie to minimize spread of the disease while dispatching them, can be used to start fires and cut through walls as required.
Someone said “you can’t use a fictional weapon in this!”
Answer: you’re using one fictional situation, I’m pulling from another.
It also makes for a more fun way of getting friends and relatives to think about prepping.
The real dying would start when heavily armed rednecks started shooting each other because the zombies were all killed off in the first 24 hours, by the rednecks.
ZOMBIES AREN’T REAL! are they?
The whole scenario is totally dependent on the probability of a potential victim being able to kill the zombie before being bitten. In some places, the zombies would win. In other places, people would be able to shoot the zombies.
They did a follow up study that considered defense. Guess what? Humanity won.
It was just a study to show who epidemics worked for a class. Nothing serious.
Who copied Vincent Price
Heh. Yeah. He did Marry Sue it up, didn’t he?
But, in his defense, he was writing the stories for his daughters at the time.
Gimme some titles of your writing. I’ll check it out. If you don’t want to do it public here, PM me please?
I’m always on the prowl for new stuff to read.
XKCD comic on zombies:
Outbreak
https://xkcd.com/734/
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