Posted on 09/02/2016 8:26:34 AM PDT by JerseyRepub
In a sharp turnaround in an already volatile election season, support for Hillary Clinton tumbled as Donald Trump made gains over the past month, leaving the race a virtual tie.
The latest IBD/TIPP Poll shows that Clinton is now ahead of Trump by just one percentage point, 44% to 43% among likely voters. Last month, Clinton had a seven-point lead over Trump — 46% to 39% -- among registered voters.
(Excerpt) Read more at investors.com ...
Essentially, most of the recent polls show them tied in the low 40’s, with the rest of the “citizens” undecided or going for the Loserterian.
If the gain for Hillary (or drop for Trump) is valid information, what the hell happened to explain the move?
(considering she’s not doing anything, and Trump didn’t say or do anything PCI)
It’s good news - thanks for posting.
lol I heard the nov 8th poll is the mot important.
The pollsters can’t get people to pick up the phone and take their polls. None of the polls are accurate. Period.
Some of the daily variation is simply due to randomness. Does every move in the stock market have significance?
I’m going to vote for the one who pulls more people in to their rallies - seems to be more popular- as well, I would never vote for some sick old nagging harpy - ewwwwww
From the same poll
Clinton and Trump are tied at 39% each in a four-way matchup that includes Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, who gets 12% support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, who gets 3%.
Here’s what they’re going to do:
Post a poll showing Trump down a point or two. We get discouraged and bitch about the rigged polls
Post a poll showing Trump up a point or two! We get happy and think great, the polls are finally showing the real situation.
Repeat.
Now what is the bottom line? They have convinced us to believe in polls! It’s dishonest of us to believe them only when they favor our candidate, so we end up believing them all the time. And that is exactly what the polling companies and their co-conspirators (the MSM and DNC) want!
Don’t trust polls any more than you’d trust Algore’s “climate science” because they both were scraped off the ground in the same barnyard.
I assume your question is about the LA Times tracking poll and not about what I posted above. If I were to guess, she just got a good sample for a day (or two). Tracking polls tend to fluctuate more than others. Have to see the trend over a few days before we can come to some conclusion.
Regardless, I believe the race is essentially tied and if I wanted to be generous to Hillary, she probably has a 1-2 point lead. Trump needs to be up by 2 points in the RCP average by election day to win this. Certainly doable, considering where we were 3 weeks ago.
Because I believe that the race is essentially tied. LA Times has it right. It’s an even race with both in the low 40’s. PPD poll also has Trump up by a slight amount, and the UPI/CVoter poll will be even on Monday (Hillary +2). I would expect Reuters to show a tied race or Trump up by a point or less.
This is very bad news for Hillary. 100% name recognition, $100M in advertising, a free pass from the media, and all sorts of “experience” and she’s in the low 40’s and can’t shake Trump. Even better, these polls probably are still using 2012 electorate break outs, but if you read the write-up on this poll it is absolutely devastating for Hillary.
From here on in, pollsters should only use “likely voters” and include all four candidates. That’s the most accurate way to size up the margins.
They’re probably taking polls in Mexico to get Hillary’s number that high...
Foot steps foot steps foot steps.
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