Posted on 04/04/2016 1:09:21 PM PDT by Signalman
About this Survey -
Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.
The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985.
Sample Size: 400 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in Wisconsin (240 self-reported Republicans and 160 self-reported independents and Democrats.
Sample Dates: April 1-3, 2016
Margin of Error: ± 5 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.
Question Wording:
If the 2016 Republican presidential primary were being held today between (names rotated) Ted Cruz, John Kasich, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?
Using a scale of 1 to 10, with 1 meaning that you will definitely not vote in the 2016 Republican presidential primary and 10 meaning that you will definitely vote in the 2016 Republican presidential primary, what number would you give as your chance of voting in the 2016 Republican presidential primary?
I remember the Polls had him losing by 10pts and he wins by 17!
So will I, but I will be happy to pick up at least 12 delegates.
As a Trump supporter, the sample size seems low. Get out the vote!
That's a great observation.
Trump has been claiming, while out on the stump, that the anti-Trump ads don't seem to have much effect; and that endorsements of his opponents by the state dignitaries likewise don't appear to have much effect.
The world will have a handle on it in about 30 hours. This primary election season is wild. Turnout is high, and it doesn't appear to be affected by the contest being polled as "runaway" rather than "close."
God bless you, Guenevere. You go, girl!
What’s your feeling ?
Momentum ???
“I’ve been making calls for Trump this afternoon!”
thank you !!!!! :)
I agree with you. But...
Suddenly, somehow, it has become fashionable on college campuses to be a Trump supporter. It's some sort of odd pushback against the prevailing liberal tendencies of the blue-haired, pierced girls and beta college boys.
Timing is everything, and in a close election... maybe The Chalkening signals youthful rebellion. Of course, they'll have to sober up to get to the polls...
Watching CNN ... two of the talking heads seem to think that Trump is trending up in WI, and with the indies and crossovers, think he has a good chance to win the state.
Tommy Thompson was on earlier. He is supporting Kasich, but said Trump has just as good a chance of winning. I got the sense he is not a Cruz fan.
That's pretty wild! I suspect it's also variable, being purely a function of peer pressure, which is a local phenomenon. My kids tell me that everybody in their circles of friends, and those known by that method, are for the Bern. Kids are college age, and their friends are otherwise reasonably responsible (working, etc.).
looking backwards on RCP for a week, Cruz has been falling a point a day. I’m not sure how valid it is that Trump has gained 20 points (-10 to +10), that would be impressive, but we might well end up with another Missouri!:
Wednesday, Marquette - Cruz by 10
Thursday, Fox - Cruz by 10
Thursday, PPP - Cruz by 1
Saturday, Loras - Cruz by 7
Sunday, CBS - Cruz by 6
Monday, Emerson - Cruz by 5
Monday, ARG - Trump by 10
Tuesday?????????
Maybe it's dawning on folks. Kasich and Cruz are only talking about (1) how they can defeat Trump and (2) complaining about things Trump says. They aren't saying ANYTHING about what they'd say or do as President.
Agreed but I have seen big numbers of dems switching to republican in other states (like PA - http://www.tribdem.com/news/is-trump-causing-pennsylvania-democrats-to-switch-parties/article_59995588-f09d-11e5-a088-7b56edb7aa58.html)>>>> one of these is me as i don’t think operation chaos applies to this primary.
GREAT!
It is my pleasure!
Thank-you!
It’s going very well!
“So I guess this means cheating on your wife doesn’t affect your reputation when your a politician.”
Look again, Trump’s winning in the poll, not Cruz.
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