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Don’t Assume Conservatives Will Rally Behind Trump
FiveThirtyEight ^ | 2-29-2016 | NATE SILVER

Posted on 02/29/2016 10:27:27 AM PST by Citizen Zed

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"But if Trump wins in November, you might as well relocate the Republican National Committee’s headquarters to Trump Tower."
1 posted on 02/29/2016 10:27:27 AM PST by Citizen Zed
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To: Citizen Zed

And don’t assume they won’t.


2 posted on 02/29/2016 10:28:49 AM PST by ctdonath2 (History does not long entrust the care of freedom to the weak or the timid. - Ike)
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To: Citizen Zed

Don’t assume Consevatives won’t.


3 posted on 02/29/2016 10:28:50 AM PST by stocksthatgoup (My first choice is Trump 4 economics and Not a Politician . Cruz to endorse Rubio Stay Home)
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To: Citizen Zed
"But if Trump wins in November, you might as well relocate the Republican National Committee’s headquarters to Trump Tower."

Janitor closet or restroom?

4 posted on 02/29/2016 10:29:03 AM PST by Jim Robinson (Resistance to tyrants is obedience to to God!)
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To: Citizen Zed

And they can have it.


5 posted on 02/29/2016 10:29:50 AM PST by exnavy (good gun control: two hands, one shot, one kill.)
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To: Citizen Zed

Trump is winning even a very significant number of “Very Conservative” voters

Bitter Ender “Movement Conservatives” can try this tactics at their own peril. When significant portions of your own audience are behind a candidate, it is a high risk, low reward strategy to try and sabotage that candidate.


6 posted on 02/29/2016 10:30:38 AM PST by MNJohnnie ( Tyranny, like Hell, is not easily conquered)
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To: Citizen Zed
Don’t Assume Conservatives Will Rally Behind Trump

A lot of conservatives will do the obviously expedient thing and support Trump.

7 posted on 02/29/2016 10:30:39 AM PST by DungeonMaster (the devil walks about like a roaring lion, seeking whom he may devour.)
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To: Jim Robinson

Republican National Committee’s headquarters. There maybe an eminent domain case coming up for that location.


8 posted on 02/29/2016 10:31:20 AM PST by McGruff (It's clear Trump Derangement Syndrome has no limits.)
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To: Citizen Zed

” And if you are a movement conservative, Trump is arguably a pretty terrible choice, taking your conservative party and remaking it in his unpredictable medley of nationalism, populism and big-government Trumpism.”

This is where I am.


9 posted on 02/29/2016 10:31:44 AM PST by Jewbacca (The residents of Iroquois territory may not determine whether Jews may live in Jerusalem)
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To: Citizen Zed
If a Trump nomination happens, it will imply that the Republican Party has been weakened and is perhaps even on the brink of failure, unable to coordinate on a plan to stop Trump despite the existential threat he poses to it.

This could be worded better:

If a Trump or Cruz nomination happens, it will imply that the Republican leadership has been weakened and is perhaps even on the brink of failure, unable to coordinate on a plan to stop Trump or Cruz despite the existential threat they pose to the leadership's personal power.

10 posted on 02/29/2016 10:34:03 AM PST by Pollster1 ("A Bill of Rights that means what the majority wants it to mean is worthless." - Scalia)
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To: DungeonMaster

“A lot of conservatives will do the obviously expedient thing and support Trump.”

Most will, I agree.

But there will be a huge bleed, akin to how they stayed home when it was Romney. I would have a hard time voting for Trump, even in the general. Only the fact that Hillary is so bad could drag me.


11 posted on 02/29/2016 10:34:12 AM PST by Jewbacca (The residents of Iroquois territory may not determine whether Jews may live in Jerusalem)
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To: Jewbacca

In case you hadn’t notice, the GOP hasn’t been anything remotely resembling a conservative party since 1999. I really do not see how Trump could make it worse.


12 posted on 02/29/2016 10:34:56 AM PST by jospehm20
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To: Citizen Zed
I understand not voting for Trump.

But what about the Republican candidates lower down the ticket?

13 posted on 02/29/2016 10:34:59 AM PST by Elderberry
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To: Citizen Zed

It’s a matter of “define conservative”. Globalists who are only conservative about keeping cheap sources for goods and labor and for low taxes for themselves consider themselves to be conservatives. They have ZERO interest in our Constitutional Conservative priorities.


14 posted on 02/29/2016 10:35:44 AM PST by grania
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To: Citizen Zed

Not to worry, I’ve been informed that Trump does not need or want Cruz supporters by people right here on this forum. So no big deal, right?


15 posted on 02/29/2016 10:35:58 AM PST by Anitius Severinus Boethius (www.wilsonharpbooks.com - Sign up for my new release e-mail and get my first novel for free)
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To: Jewbacca

Concervatism may not die with Donnie as the nominee but the wounds will be extremely deep.


16 posted on 02/29/2016 10:36:44 AM PST by Outlaw76 (Conservative, Showman, Rino. Make your choice wisely.)
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To: Citizen Zed
Nobody in their right mind would assume that conservatives will get behind Trump.

In the end, the number of people who will vote for him vs. Clinton is all that matters.

As badly as conservatives want Rubio or Cruz to be the nominee, neither will be able to capture enough votes to beat Clinton. Their is little enthusiasm from the electorate, outside of “hard line” conservatives, for Cruz. There is little enthusiasm at all for Rubio no matter what segment of the electorate you choose.

17 posted on 02/29/2016 10:36:48 AM PST by Pox (Good Night. I expect more respect tomorrow.)
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To: Citizen Zed
But if Trump wins in November, you might as well relocate the Republican National Committee’s headquarters to Trump Tower. The realignment of the Republican Party will be underway, and you’ll have been left out of it.

Which is why you'll see more and more of the #NeverTrump crowd suddenly reverse direction; specially after Super Tuesday. Most being pragmatists, don't want to be left out.

18 posted on 02/29/2016 10:36:48 AM PST by Flick Lives (One should not attend even the end of the world without a good breakfast. -- Heinlein)
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To: Citizen Zed

I actually think article is pretty good. I am one of the movement conservatives that is tired of holding my nose and voting for someone year after year. If Trump is the nominee I will have to hold my nose with both hands.

Trump is not a conservative, I am. I am also one of those people that make calls and walk precincts. I will not be walking or calling for Trump.


19 posted on 02/29/2016 10:37:37 AM PST by Iowa David
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To: Citizen Zed

Of course definitions matter - who does he consider to be a “movement conservative”? We can all answer correctly I suspect, but here is the top of the Wikipedia list:

Activist Phyllis Schlafly
Commentator Pat Buchanan
Jerry Falwell
Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas
Paul Weyrich, founder of the Free Congress Foundation and co-founder of the Heritage Foundation and the American Legislative Exchange Council (ALEC)
Columnist and economist Thomas Sowell
Congressman and Vice President nominee Jack Kemp

Kemp is dead, and it’s pretty safe to say Sowell won’t come out of the NR corner for a while at least. But Trump has already got the support of Schafly, Buchannan, and Falwell (Jr). If you go to the “Honorable Metions” you find Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, and Sarah Palin. Probably 2 out of those 3 will support Trump.


20 posted on 02/29/2016 10:37:42 AM PST by bigbob ("Victorious warriors win first and then go to war" Sun Tzu.)
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