Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Don’t Assume Conservatives Will Rally Behind Trump
FiveThirtyEight ^ | 2-29-2016 | NATE SILVER

Posted on 02/29/2016 10:27:27 AM PST by Citizen Zed

click here to read article


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 41-6061-8081-100101-115 last
To: Pox

Not denying there is enthusiasm for Trump, I just question whether it isn’t already reflected in actual primary votes, both by existing Republicans and by Democrats switching over for the primary itself to vote for him.


101 posted on 02/29/2016 1:20:49 PM PST by dinoparty
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 86 | View Replies]

To: ElectionInspector
Yes, I depend upon polling for every possible choice in life I make on a second to second basis as MSM polls are always exceptionally hyper accurate, particularly those from the WSJ.

The NBC/WSJ poll that had Trump up by only 5 points just prior to the South Carolina Primary was just the bomb!

The fact that he actually beat both Cruz and Rubio by double that spread must have been terribly distressful to statisticians everywhere!

Throw in the actual disparity between the polled numbers for Cruz and Rubio vs. the actual votes and we have ourselves an outright mystery here!

Need I add the sarcasm tag?

102 posted on 02/29/2016 1:23:10 PM PST by Pox (Good Night. I expect more respect tomorrow.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 98 | View Replies]

To: dinoparty
Seeing as how it's still early in the Primary season and the voting public at large really isn't paying all too much attention as of yet, things will change when we start moving past the conventions and into the direct matchups.

A lot of disaffected Sanders supporters will also likely sit this one out as well.

103 posted on 02/29/2016 1:25:13 PM PST by Pox (Good Night. I expect more respect tomorrow.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 101 | View Replies]

To: Citizen Zed

I’m as conservative as any person can be, and I support Trump.


104 posted on 02/29/2016 1:47:55 PM PST by stockpirate (UNLEASH THE TRUMPIAN!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Citizen Zed

The self proclaimed conservatives like, Bush I,II, III, Lindsey Graham, Rubio, McConnoll, Ryan, Boehner, Kasich....those conservatives


105 posted on 02/29/2016 1:57:24 PM PST by stockpirate (UNLEASH THE TRUMPIAN!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: stockpirate
I’m as conservative as any person can be, and I support Trump.

So does Phyllis Schlafly, who has been like a rock in her devotion to traditional American social, economic and philosophic values since the 1950s. The writer, on the other hand, does not appear to be even able to define what is most important to hard core Conservatives.

Moreover, Trump has an instinctive Conservative personality; although he is still a work in progress on some issues. (See Trump: Metaphor For American Conservatism.)

106 posted on 02/29/2016 1:57:32 PM PST by Ohioan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 104 | View Replies]

To: Citizen Zed

Nate Silver the fraud....


107 posted on 02/29/2016 1:58:34 PM PST by Enlightened1
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DaxtonBrown

“fight every autocratic non-conservative blunder Trump tries to bully through congress” which is why Cruz should stay in. I am sorry Gowdy is out, too. Wish all the Tea Party congress critters that quit had stayed.


108 posted on 02/29/2016 2:00:57 PM PST by huldah1776 ( Vote Pro-life! Allow God to bless America before He avenges the death of the innocent.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 60 | View Replies]

To: Charles Henrickson

I agree. May change by November, but right now ABT.


109 posted on 02/29/2016 2:32:57 PM PST by alamogal
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 97 | View Replies]

To: Citizen Zed

If Donald Trump wins the Republican presidential nomination, he’ll have undermined a lot of assumptions we once held about the GOP.



Who is “we” in the above statement. The GOP voters or the oligarchy that fund and direct the GOP in service to themselves?

He’ll have become the nominee despite neither being reliably conservative nor being very electable, supposedly the two things Republicans care most about.


And Romney and McCain were the best candidates the GOPe could find to “win’? Winning does not matter so much to the oligarchy. Keeping the American-American voters down matter to that bunch.


110 posted on 02/29/2016 3:40:33 PM PST by SaraJohnson
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DaxtonBrown

This Window Closed.


111 posted on 02/29/2016 3:47:37 PM PST by j.argese (/s tags: If you have a mind unnecessary. If you're a cretin it really doesn't matter, does it?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 60 | View Replies]

To: Charles Henrickson

Apparently now almost 50% of Republicans polled disagree with you.


112 posted on 02/29/2016 4:04:04 PM PST by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man a subject)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 87 | View Replies]

To: Citizen Zed

I do not trust Trump. I am a constitutional conservative, who has been repeatedly betrayed by the Republican party. If Trump is elected, I probably will be suffering great anguish a year or so later. Nevertheless, I will vote for Trump. Good God! Look at the alternatives!


113 posted on 02/29/2016 4:47:21 PM PST by Hiddigeigei ("Talk sense to a fool and he calls you foolish," said Dionysus - Euripides)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Jewbacca
I completely agree with you about 2016.

I was disputing your statement about 2012.

Many Republican Trump supporters are already hedging against a Trump defeat in November by claiming/implying that he can only lose if hard line Conservatives stay home, “like they did in 2012.”

That did not happen in 2012.

I have "stuffed my nose with cotton" and pulled the GOP lever seven straight times since 1988.

No more compromises for me, thank you.

I will never vote for Rubio after his Gang of Eight betrayal. And I flat out do not believe Trump's sudden Conservative conversion.

I will vote for Cruz if he is nominated, but I think Cruz is unelectable. I also think Cruz is - and always has been - a George W. Bush Republican on the immigration issue.

Cruz might slow down the Republican suicide, but his support for massive LEGAL immigration means we cannot stop the Republican suicide.

114 posted on 02/29/2016 5:12:04 PM PST by zeestephen
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 78 | View Replies]

To: Citizen Zed

Another TDS article. I stopped after this:

“If a Trump nomination happens, it will imply that the Republican Party has been weakened and is perhaps even on the brink of failure, unable to coordinate on a plan to stop Trump despite the existential threat he poses to it. “

This is pretty much right...but they are so OSSIFIED that they are simply UNABLE to deal with someone like Trump. No different than Europe with their Muslim invasion.

The difference, of course, being that Trump will PREVENT that type of invasion, and he will also REVERSE what has happened so far.


115 posted on 02/29/2016 5:48:57 PM PST by BobL (Who cares? He's going to build a wall and stop this invasion.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 41-6061-8081-100101-115 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson