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Nate Silver: 80% chance Super Bowl will be won by 1 of these 5 teams
http://finance.yahoo.com ^ | December 3, 2015 | Cork Gaines

Posted on 12/03/2015 9:40:14 PM PST by NKP_Vet

After 12 weeks of the NFL season, the New England Patriots are still the heavy favorite to win the Super Bowl. Using Nate Silver's "2015 NFL Predictions," a model that rates each team and then projects how the regular season and playoffs will play out, we can get a better sense of which teams are the true Super Bowl contenders.

Heading into Week 13, the New England Patriots are still the favorite with a 28% chance to win the Super Bowl, down from 33% a week ago. The Carolina Panthers (20%) are the favorite in the NFC.

In fact, according to Silver's model, there is an 80% chance the Super Bowl will be won by one of the five teams:

New England Patriots, 28% Carolina Panthers, 20% Arizona Cardinals, 13% Denver Broncos, 10% Cincinnati Bengals, 9% The Green Bay Packers (5%) are the only other team with more than a 3% chance of lifting the Lombardi Trophy in February.

At the other end of the spectrum, ten teams can be scratched off as playoff contenders with less than a 5% chance of grabbing one of the 12 playoff spots. Those teams are the Chargers, Browns, Titans, 49ers, Ravens, Raiders, Rams, Saints, Jaguars, and Dolphins.

(Excerpt) Read more at finance.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Sports
KEYWORDS: 49ers; bengals; broncos; browns; cardinals; chargers; deflatriots; dolphins; jaguars; natesilver; nfl; packers; panthers; patriots; raiders; rams; ravens; saints; superbowl; titans
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To: PreciousLiberty

Sunday night was sweet for us Bronco fans....


21 posted on 12/03/2015 10:23:20 PM PST by moonhawk (What would he do differently if he WAS a muslim?)
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To: napscoordinator

Ah, well—We spoiled your perfect season already.


22 posted on 12/03/2015 10:24:44 PM PST by moonhawk (What would he do differently if he WAS a muslim?)
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To: napscoordinator

“I hope the America’s Team wins again.”

I don’t think the Cowboys have much of a shot this year. ;-)

“Go Patriots!!! What a great name for these deserved players. It is really cool that they are the only team with a conservative name.”

Back away from the Kool-Aid bowl... :-)

(On a side note - FR GET THE FLIPPIN’ QUOTE BUG FIXED!!!)


23 posted on 12/03/2015 10:29:59 PM PST by PreciousLiberty
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To: NKP_Vet
My Prediction



Don't have a chance!!
24 posted on 12/03/2015 11:55:24 PM PST by Darteaus94025 (Can't have a Liberal without a Lie)
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To: NKP_Vet

What are the odds that the Lions won’t be playing in any SuperBowl this century?


25 posted on 12/04/2015 12:19:49 AM PST by Pilgrim's Progress (http://www.baptistbiblebelievers.com/BYTOPICS/tabid/335/Default.aspx D)
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To: moonhawk

I am traveling (South Africa) and missed the game. I did see the highlights and was jumping and shouting in my hotel room. :-)


26 posted on 12/04/2015 1:26:34 AM PST by taxcontrol ( The GOPe treats the conservative base like slaves by taking their votes and refuses to pay)
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To: spel_grammer_an_punct_polise

The flak is heaviest right over the target. I’m no Carolina fan but don’t be surprised if they run the table to the Super Bowl - and win it. They are better than anyone.


27 posted on 12/04/2015 1:45:03 AM PST by atc23 (The Confederacy was the single greatest conservative resistance to federal authority ever)
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To: bluejean
I'm wondering if maybe a late-game loss was a wake up call for the Pats. They depend on last minute (even last second) heroics way too often to win games. In the play offs, they're better off getting way ahead early.

Go Pats! (<^..^>)

28 posted on 12/04/2015 1:57:19 AM PST by grania
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The NFL season is a war of attrition.

If the Patriots get some key players back, Gronk, Edleman and Amendola back they will win. All are currently projected to be back for the playoffs.


29 posted on 12/04/2015 2:33:16 AM PST by Leto
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To: NKP_Vet

As a sidebar, the Packers win last night was exhibit A for why you don’t turn the TV off when one team is down by 20 at the half. Pretty exciting.


30 posted on 12/04/2015 4:39:36 AM PST by muir_redwoods (Freedom isn't free, liberty isn't liberal and you'll never find anything Right on the Left)
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To: HonkyTonkMan; napscoordinator

The title “America’s Team” cannot go to either these expansion operations. The Dallas Cowboys were created ONLY to chase the AFL Dallas Texans to Kansas City. The Boston Patriots didn’t even start out in the NFL.

“America’s Team”, if there even should be such a thing, would have to be one of the very early teams, and preferably one that hadn’t moved across country and has had a storied history.

If there must be an America’s Team, it would have to be Bears, Packers or Giants.


31 posted on 12/04/2015 5:43:20 AM PST by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics)
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To: NKP_Vet
I'd love to see Carson crush those Bungles again for total retribution for what the owner & coach did to him!!!


32 posted on 12/04/2015 5:54:56 AM PST by newfreep (TRUMP/Cruz 2016 - "Evil succeeds when good men do nothing" - Edmund Burke)
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To: grania

Oh yeah, the Pats will be back with a vengeance. If the Broncos face them in the playoffs, it’ll most likely be at their house. It be really tough.


33 posted on 12/04/2015 6:49:19 AM PST by bluejean (The lunatics are running the asylum)
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To: Dr. Sivana
I knew somebody would argue with that - take it up with the guy that gave Dallas the name "America's team," not me.

Don't put too much effort it building the case for who should be "America's team." We have bigger fish to fry.

34 posted on 12/04/2015 7:44:47 AM PST by HonkyTonkMan
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To: NKP_Vet
The Green Bay Packers (5%) are the only other team with more than a 3% chance of lifting the Lombardi Trophy in February.

Last night's game against the Lions should drop those odds even further.

35 posted on 12/04/2015 7:47:45 AM PST by DoodleDawg
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To: HonkyTonkMan
I knew somebody would argue with that - take it up with the guy that gave Dallas the name "America's team," not me.

"The guy" who said was wrong. Anyone who repeats something wrong is also wrong. And for the record, I am not a fan of any of the three teams that I suggested would be a better candidate for the name.
36 posted on 12/04/2015 7:47:47 AM PST by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics)
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To: Dr. Sivana
"The guy" who said was wrong.

Subjective. Go ahead and make the case against it. Look forward to your qualitative analysis.

37 posted on 12/04/2015 7:50:04 AM PST by HonkyTonkMan
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To: Fungi

The female “reporters” that send me scrambling for the remote are the ones doing the teasers during the pregame shows. They sound like somebody doing a 1-900 sex phone line commercial with their overly-breathy, sex-kitten delivery. I just want to yell, “you’re there to read the line, not do a porno.”


38 posted on 12/04/2015 7:56:56 AM PST by Hoffer Rand (Bear His image. Bring His message. Be the Church.)
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To: napscoordinator

These deserved players? The Patriots?

What planet are you from?


39 posted on 12/04/2015 8:09:13 AM PST by Crusher138 ("Then conquer we must, for our cause it is just")
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To: Crusher138

Hey not everyone is pro-American. Perhaps your dedication is to another country. You should be proud of a team named the Patriots but obviously you shun the United States of America. It happens sadly more in the Democratic party but I guess a few RINOs are part of the bash. Congrats. I just hope you aren’t a full fledged traitor.


40 posted on 12/04/2015 3:58:03 PM PST by napscoordinator
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