Posted on 05/04/2013 9:04:56 AM PDT by Slump Tester
Lets's start a thread for posting our Derby picks. We need an FR bookie. We can play for told-ya-sos.
I'm a cheapskate who's broke all the time, so I'm only betting on the big race. I'm putting $2 across the boards on "Normandy Invasion" and also $2 across the boards on "Frac Daddy".
I know it's stupid to pick them because you like their names, but every once in a while it works. I picked a horse named "Frisk Me Now" once in some podunk race and it won even though it went off at like 50 or 60:1.
The last time we went to the derby was in 2006, I lost small bets all day Friday at the Oaks and the next day at the derby. I had 6 bucks on a horse in the big race to place that was at 15:1, and he placed and I got almost everything back I had lost. I went home about $15 in the red. Not bad for 2 days of fun.
What was really stupid though was that I had picked the 2rd place horse, and my other half had correctly bet the 1st and 3rd places. If we had combined our picks for a trifecta (just $6), it would have paid out over 11 grand!
I bet on him because of the name also, he’s owned by oil man of course. They say he has a little better chance since it’s a wet track.
Frisk Me Now was not just some Podunk horse!
TVG has been DOWN much of the past two hours....
Sucks.. bigtime. Had to sign up for Twin Spires.. on spur of moment. But, I have $700 of winnings tied up on TVG
I’ve been analyzing all day, placing several bets. Any more wisdom to share?
If only that name was Charming Kitteh!
I don’t even know when they run this horse race, but if it is tomorrow the rain hitting Kentucky starting tonight may play a very significant part in the outcome.
it’s today
Twin Spires isn’t any better ...
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I have win bets on 2, 9 and 11. A whole bunch o $1 supers
ONLY A COUPLE using any o the highly bet horses on top.
ALL the odds have been turned upside down suddenly, as you
know-—Verrazano is now 9-1, Orb is 7-1, and Revolutionary
who was 10-1 is now the tepid 5-1 choice. There are lots o reasons or this change, mostly centered on scuttlebutt about
who could excel on the wet track suddenly there at Churchill.
I have liked Normandy Invasion, Lines o Battle, Java’s War,
Itsmylucky day, and especially Java’s War all day long.
Julien Leparoux on that last named hoss has at least 3 wins today at CD that I know about. I haven’t watched the entire day at CD, but am watching now on NBC. TVG—the horseracing channel where I have an online betting account, cannot broadcast the Derby either online or on TV because o* the NBCSports contract.
Very little time remains, but I predict HUGE payouts across the board, with a likely longshot winner. The super will pay
upwards o* 5K *or $1-—there WILL a couple o* double digit horses in it.
Java’s War/Line o* Battle -—as I recall, I have that exacta. This race is a crapshoot —there are 8 or 9 horses
that could win and at the 1/4 pole there could be 7-8 horses across the track. Maybe all o* them ollowing whatever speed horse managed to capture the lead and try to steal the race on the ront end. That could be Goldencents, Verrazano, or itsmylucky day-—gotta go and see about making ONE LAST BET!
Just informed by NBC that I missed Curlin, sire of Palace Malice.
The livestream supposedly offered at NBC Sports is not loading for me.
Does anyone have a link to watch the Derby by internet?
ORB!
1 down, two to go!
He is a beauty. Should be an interesting month.
Do horses know they won? Happy trainer!!!!!
Glad I don’t bet. My kitteh didn’t do too well.
He ran a heck of a race, 3 & 1/2 back is very respectable! Even had the lead for a moment ... A winner in my book, Normandy Invasion! ( I had $10 on him to win) :)
Thanks for the thread, that was fun
WELL===what do I know? Once again Mike Smith, who must think he was riding Bodemeister in the 2012 Derby, went out and sent a blistering pace, changing the whole complexion o the race 4 the entire *ield. THIS time though, he wound up 10th rather than the 2nd he did in last year’s Derby and Preakness.
I only made about $24 worth o* bets and blanked on the win,exactas and supers. (Obviously) 2 days ago, Orb was my horse o choice, but I tend to get seduced by imaginary revelations like my championing o the Brit invader Lineo*Battle, who ran pretty well considering his odds.
Interesting, in a email I sent last night to a couple people, the only longshot I couldn’t quite throw out completely was Golden Soul, who wound up in 2nd place.
Like I said, all it took 4 big payouts would be a longshot to get in there somewhere, and the *act that Golden was SECOND is what made it a $981 exacta, and a 28THOUSAND dollar super. I now believe all the talk about ORB. There
was someone I read yesterday who’d already anointed him as
the 1st real potential Triple Crown winner since 1978.
I now believe it-—he’s gotta stay healthy, though.
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