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To: supremedoctrine

I’ve been analyzing all day, placing several bets. Any more wisdom to share?


44 posted on 05/04/2013 2:09:13 PM PDT by Rusty0604
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To: Rusty0604

I have win bets on 2, 9 and 11. A whole bunch o $1 supers
ONLY A COUPLE using any o the highly bet horses on top.
ALL the odds have been turned upside down suddenly, as you
know-—Verrazano is now 9-1, Orb is 7-1, and Revolutionary
who was 10-1 is now the tepid 5-1 choice. There are lots o reasons or this change, mostly centered on scuttlebutt about
who could excel on the wet track suddenly there at Churchill.
I have liked Normandy Invasion, Lines o Battle, Java’s War,
Itsmylucky day, and especially Java’s War all day long.
Julien Leparoux on that last named hoss has at least 3 wins today at CD that I know about. I haven’t watched the entire day at CD, but am watching now on NBC. TVG—the horseracing channel where I have an online betting account, cannot broadcast the Derby either online or on TV because o* the NBCSports contract.
Very little time remains, but I predict HUGE payouts across the board, with a likely longshot winner. The super will pay
upwards o* 5K *or $1-—there WILL a couple o* double digit horses in it.
Java’s War/Line o* Battle -—as I recall, I have that exacta. This race is a crapshoot —there are 8 or 9 horses
that could win and at the 1/4 pole there could be 7-8 horses across the track. Maybe all o* them ollowing whatever speed horse managed to capture the lead and try to steal the race on the ront end. That could be Goldencents, Verrazano, or itsmylucky day-—gotta go and see about making ONE LAST BET!


50 posted on 05/04/2013 3:11:48 PM PDT by supremedoctrine
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To: Rusty0604

WELL===what do I know? Once again Mike Smith, who must think he was riding Bodemeister in the 2012 Derby, went out and sent a blistering pace, changing the whole complexion o the race 4 the entire *ield. THIS time though, he wound up 10th rather than the 2nd he did in last year’s Derby and Preakness.
I only made about $24 worth o* bets and blanked on the win,exactas and supers. (Obviously) 2 days ago, Orb was my horse o choice, but I tend to get seduced by imaginary revelations like my championing o the Brit invader Lineo*Battle, who ran pretty well considering his odds.
Interesting, in a email I sent last night to a couple people, the only longshot I couldn’t quite throw out completely was Golden Soul, who wound up in 2nd place.
Like I said, all it took 4 big payouts would be a longshot to get in there somewhere, and the *act that Golden was SECOND is what made it a $981 exacta, and a 28THOUSAND dollar super. I now believe all the talk about ORB. There
was someone I read yesterday who’d already anointed him as
the 1st real potential Triple Crown winner since 1978.
I now believe it-—he’s gotta stay healthy, though.


60 posted on 05/04/2013 4:01:44 PM PDT by supremedoctrine
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