Posted on 11/02/2012 3:50:04 PM PDT by stroll
Starting with the best available source of trend data and adding a bit of thought and analysis, I come up with the following conclusions.
First, the reasoning:
The Northeast: The Northeast is a solid Democratic Party stronghold, and with the growth of the Northern Virginia suburbs has expanded to include that state in its political orbit.The South: The South remains mostly Republican. However, Hurricane Sandy exerts a strong political impact here, giving President Obama an opportunity to display his leadership chops while reminding people of Dubya's inept handling of Katrina. This effect isn't great enough to tip the Gulf States, but does point toward a repeat Democratic victory in Florida and (possibly) North Carolina.
The Midwest: Mitt Romney's "Let Detroit Go Bankrupt" editorial hurt him badly in the Rust Belt; his ill-considered attempt to weasel his way out of the situation with a fact-check-fail ad compounded the damage. Indiana is an idiosyncratic Red patch in this Blue field, though Mourdoch's shot from the lip just might inflict spillover damage on the rest of the GOP ticket.
The Plains: The Plains states are a solid GOP stronghold. One possible wild card is Missouri, where Akin may have damaged the party brand as well sinking his own candidacy. Nebraska's split electoral system allows Omaha to tilt its district Blue, as in 2008.
The Mountain West: A GOP stronghold, as usual. (Alaska included in this group). The wild card is whether Colorado aligns with this group or with the Southwest (see below).
The Southwest: The growing Hispanic vote, combined with GOP hostilty on the immigration issue, is tilting the Southwest bluer. Arizona is probably still red, but without a native-son advantage such as the party had in 2008 this is less certain.
The Pacific Coast: A Democratic Party stronghold, as usual. (Hawaii included in this group)
The results of this calculation come out as follows:
GOP Best-Case Scenario
GOP Worst-Case Scenario
My prediction? That you try to retread at least one more time and get zotted just like this one, catfood.
}:-)4
zot
I love the smell of ozone in the morning. Smells like ... Victory!
While I’d love to see the second map, I’d settle for the first.
Oh man, I almost wish they would let you stay so we could witness the weeping and gnashing of teeth you’ll do when Romney wins.
And Karl Rove. and Wes Pruden. And Dick Morris. And the two Battleground pollsters.
My crystal ball sees you’ve been hitting the bong wayyyyyyHayyyyy too much.
Don’t stand in the water. It conducts lightning...
Reagan’s states were blue when he won in 1980. The networks later assigned Republicans the color red after it was found that blue was a more soothing color. A network anchor described the electoral map as a “sea of blue”.
Yup, I know the history.
It always ticks me off when the networks use red for Republican states, and especially so when they try to rewrite history by assigning Reagan states the color red. I wish Fox would go back to blue, as in true blue, for Republican states.
LOL
Dat’s mean! Pwobablee hurd hid tiny widdle eyes.
That statement is so revealing about the "thought" process of confused 'progressives'.
The hallmark of confused leftism is elevating symbolism over substance to the point of absurdity. So Obama showing up, voting 'present', and spouting some inane cliches about government help during disasters is tantamount to 'leadership'. Those fools believe the leftist myths of TV shows such as "The West Wing" where Democrats are all earnest, caring and competent. Since when have we seen a competent Democrat in a position of government authority in our lifetimes? Certainly not in the Obama administration.
They’re both there - but I noticed they don’t load immediately even though they be small images ... (small in bits, not in dimension.) It’s not perfect since I put it together in about 20 seconds to match the format of that fool.
Sorry, I meant I’d like to see that outcome on Tuesday.
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