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Oil Spill Insights from a Retired Manager of an Offshore Underwater Service Company
The Oil Drum ^ | May 8, 2010 - 10:40am | Gail the Actuary

Posted on 05/10/2010 10:51:02 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach

This is a guest post from Oil Drum commenter shelburn, who is a retired manager for an offshore underwater service company.

I have been reading the various reports from the media for the last few days and am distressed by the amount of misinformation that is being provided to the public. In response, I have put together some rough calculations and have tried to develop analogies that are understandable to laymen regarding what has happened and what is/can be done.

I have some relevant background, as I was in the offshore industry, primarily in the underwater service side for many years, so I am familiar with diving and ROV operations. I have also been involved in designing and building an oil capture and recovery dome (actually a pyramid) in much shallower water. I also was involved in the Exxon Valdez cleanup and environmental surveys, several years after that incident, among other things.

I’m not a downhole expert, so I’ll leave that side to Rockman and others with the necessary training and experience.

The Leaks:

There is every indication that the Blowout Preventer (BOP) was activated and at least partially worked. There is a good probability that the “leak” is inside the BOP. As the oil leaks through the BOP, it then finds its way through the damaged riser and drill pipe, where it will exit from any open end or damaged area.

Therefore trying to repair the leaks in the riser does not decrease the flow, but it can reduce the number of places where oil must be captured--which is why they capped the end of the leaking drill pipe. If a company tried to stop all the leaks coming from the riser, it would probably be like trying to repair a rotten garden hose. Every time the company stopped one leak, another one would appear. The task is to try to reduce the leaks to one, or to a couple in the same area, so the containment dome can be put over them and the oil recovered while waiting for the relief wells to "kill" the well.

Every deepwater work class Remotely Operated Vehicle (ROV) carries sector scan sonar. Sonar can pick up oil leaks that the naked eye cannot see. The picture of oil bubbles painted on a sonar screen looks like fireworks going off.

There was an ROV survey of the BOP and riser within hours after the rig sank. At that time, there was no indication of any oil leakage from the BOP, and everyone breathed an extremely large, and extremely premature, sigh of relief.

Estimates made about leakage are primarily done from aerial surveys and satellite photos These are notoriously inaccurate, as is clearly stated in the USCG manual on reporting oil spills. The gravity and thickness of the oil, temperature, weather, currents, time, weathering of the oil and other factors all have a major impact on the size of a slick from a given amount of oil.

For example, if you are on a lake in very still water and pour a gallon--not a barrel, a gallon--of gasoline over the side, in a matter of minutes you can have a slick covering a square mile. If you want to try this, pick a cool day as on a warm day the gasoline will evaporate before the slick finishes forming. Also, the Coast Guard would be most unhappy if it knew you were attempting this experiment.

If you do the same with heavy crude similar to what was involved in the Exxon Valdez spill, it will probably take a few hundred barrels to cover that same square mile. Over a long enough time period, though, the type of oil involved in the Exxon Valdez spill will end up covering an area many times larger, and will take months to dissipate in the absence of heavy weather. The sweet crude involved in this spill is somewhere in between.

It was sometime during the night after the sinking that oil leaks started appearing from buckles and holes in the riser. This was stated to be about 1,000 barrels per day. I would read that to mean the leak was between 250 and 3,000 barrels per day (bpd). And a 5,000 bpd leak is probably between 2,000 and 10,000 bpd. Until there is some way to measure the flow--like running it through a pipeline or into a tank--it is impossible to have any accurate measurement of the leakage.

Factoid: If you assume that there is over 5,000 psi of downhole pressure at the BOP--and everything I have heard indicates it is probably substantially higher than that--then a 1/4 inch diameter hole is large enough to “leak” 5,000 barrels a day. That “leak” would probably cut off your arm if you passed it in front of it.

There is almost certainly sand in the oil. As that sand passes the leaking portion of the BOP, it acts as an extremely high pressure sand blaster, eroding the area around the leak and enlarging the hole. So there is a perfectly rational explanation why the leak would escalate from 1,000 bpd to 5,000 bpd to whatever it is now.

Nobody was lying about the volume or covering up. The leak was, and is, getting worse.

How much is 1,000 bpd? It works out to 30 gallons per minute, about the output from 3 garden hoses running wide open, or about enough to fill a smallish backyard swimming pool in 24 hours.

Weather

I’m not an oil spill expert, so I won’t address the clean up much except to mention the effect weather has on it.

For actually recovering the oil, calm weather is the best. It only takes about 3 or 4 foot waves to greatly impede skimming operations and render inflatable booms ineffective.

Unfortunately, the first week of the spill had enough bad weather that recovery operations were slowed and actually stopped for a few days. This week things have been much better, and a lot of oil, but certainly not all, has been recovered before it reached land.

The most effective spill cleanup is a violent storm. Mother Nature is much more successful than man at taking care of herself. In Alaska, we found areas prone to heavy storms were essentially clean after one winter, while protected bays and inlets still have oil deposits more than 20 years later.

A number of years ago, a small tanker with a full load of fuel broke up on the Scottish coast during a North Sea winter storm. Heroic efforts by the British Coast Guard and the salvage tug crew saved most of the crew members, but the tanker was completely destroyed, and all the cargo spilled. There was a great fear of massive environmental consequences. But after the storm abated, there was almost no sign of the oil. The power of the storm had effectively dispersed all the oil and cleaned the rock beaches and cliffs.

Obviously the answer is to recover the oil before it reaches land, but a large storm that pushed the oil out to sea and broke it up would be beneficial. That is unlikely to happen at this time of year. It is much more likely any storm would push the oil onshore and would not be violent enough to disperse it.

Remotely Operated Vehicles (ROVs)



TOPICS: Business/Economy; Conspiracy
KEYWORDS: energy; oilspill
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*******************************This is an EXCERPT************************************
1 posted on 05/10/2010 10:51:02 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: All
From deeper in the article:

*************EXCERPT******************

The “Dome”

Let's talk about the dome a little. It would appear from the photos that the dome is designed to be large enough to encase the BOP. It has mud mats 16 feet off the bottom, so obviously the idea is to let it sink into the mud which will stabilize the dome and keep it in place.

****************************************************

Image from a recent New York Times article

The dome should act as a primary oil/water separator and minimize the amount of water going up the drill string. But even better, if I understand the plan correctly, the leak will probably be above the oil/water interface (water will not entirely fill the dome), which means if the dome system is working smoothly, the oil leaking from the riser will never come in contact with the water before it heads up the drill string.

The dome has to be open to the sea water near the bottom, so the pressure will equalize. If the dome were to seal tightly to the seabed, any negative pressure created by the oil rising in the drill string would suck the surrounding mud sea bed right up into the drill string (this is the principal behind suction anchors for drill rigs), and possibly collapse the containment vessel.

I assume the way they will control the system will to be to monitor the level of the oil/water interface inside the dome and throttle the flow at top of the drill string to keep the oil/water interface at a set level.

It is to be connected to the Discoverer Enterprise with a 6-7/8” drill string. Based on some rough estimates I made, if a person assumes the specific gravity of the oil is 0.89, the specific gravity of sea water is 1.026, the depth is 5,000 feet (actually this is of little importance in calculating the maximum flow), and a freeboard of 33 feet to reach the drill ship deck piping, it should be possible to get about 24,000 bpd on the ship using the natural buoyancy of the oil alone. Most of my numbers, especially the specific gravity of the oil, are conservative, so the maximum throughput could be greater, maybe much greater.

If the drill string is filled with oil, the static pressure is entirely dependent on the specific gravity of the oil and the actual water depth. Roughly, if the specific gravity is 0.80, then the pressure at the water surface would be about 500 psi; if the specific gravity of the oil is 0.90, the pressure would be just under 300 psi.

In real life any entrained gas will make a major difference. If the drill string was entirely filled with gas, the static pressure at the surface would be over 2,200 psi. And as soon as you start mixed flow, you get into undefined territory unless you know the exact percentage of gas mixed in the oil.

Entrained gas in the leaking oil will greatly change the flow dynamics, as the gas will expand approximately 150 times going up the drill string and act as a giant airlift. The problem then won’t be getting the oil up the drill string; it will be throttling back the flow onboard the drillship. Luckily, a deepwater drillship will have the proper equipment to handle this.

The expanding gas also has a substantial cooling effect, enough to freeze the water entrained in the stream. So the design of the drill string has been modified to include a warm water jacket and a methanol (antifreeze) injection system.

They have a potentially dangerous situation separating the oil, gas and water, but since the Discoverer Enterprise has processing equipment on board they should be able to handle that safely. The Enterprise also has dual draw works and drill floor, so they are equipped to handle a second drill string to another dome if needed.

2 posted on 05/10/2010 10:58:14 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

—bflr—


3 posted on 05/10/2010 11:02:03 AM PDT by rellimpank (--don't believe anything the MSM tells you about firearms or explosives--NRA Benefactor)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

I’m pretty dumb.
Is this good news?


4 posted on 05/10/2010 11:03:35 AM PDT by netmilsmom (I am inyenzi on the Religion Forum)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

From what I’ve read the “dome” is no longer being considered as a solution.


5 posted on 05/10/2010 11:10:25 AM PDT by traderrob6
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To: netmilsmom
This is more of an insight article ..... than a News article...

All the news Media is doing is playing up the scare headlines....

6 posted on 05/10/2010 11:14:01 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: traderrob6

There is a second one being built as I understand it...and it is to be BIGGER..... likely with additional capabilities...


7 posted on 05/10/2010 11:16:18 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Thanks.
I still don’t understand it, but it was a great post!


8 posted on 05/10/2010 11:18:50 AM PDT by netmilsmom (I am inyenzi on the Religion Forum)
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To: NormsRevenge; BOBTHENAILER; Grampa Dave; SierraWasp; Marine_Uncle; Fred Nerks; onyx; blam; ...

ping.


9 posted on 05/10/2010 11:19:50 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: netmilsmom

Well....it’s a huge plumbing problem...


10 posted on 05/10/2010 11:21:07 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: netmilsmom
Here is a key factoid:

**************************************

Entrained gas in the leaking oil will greatly change the flow dynamics, as
the gas will expand approximately 150 times
going up the drill string and act as a giant airlift. The problem then won’t be getting the oil up the drill string; it will be throttling back the flow onboard the drillship.

They may have underestimated the parameters.,..could have been the source of the problem blowout........the pressures at that depth are enormous....

11 posted on 05/10/2010 11:27:59 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

I remember my Grandma telling me stories of how she and my mom used to stand on the beach and watch the burning tankers after they had been torpedoed by u boats early in the war.
I did a little investigating and found that we lost many ships, a large number of them tankers, during 1942-43.
A great many of these tankers were sailing close inshore because the Navy had routed them that way feeling it was better protection against U Boats. The problem was that they stood out against the brightly lit shore and became easy prey for any daring U Boat captain. The average amount of crude or gasoline in these ships was between 4000-7000 barrels in those days. I wish I had had the foresight to ask them what kind of damage to the shore all that oil did as it floated ashore.


12 posted on 05/10/2010 11:31:55 AM PDT by Larry381 (Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Oooo, that doesn’t sound good at all.


13 posted on 05/10/2010 11:34:56 AM PDT by netmilsmom (I am inyenzi on the Religion Forum)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

The containment dome froze solid.

Methane hydrates?


14 posted on 05/10/2010 11:39:13 AM PDT by patton (Obama has replaced "Res Publica" with "Quod licet Jovi non licet bovi.")
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Fascinating, thanks. I’ll send it to my geologist husband. He’s been following this closely.


15 posted on 05/10/2010 12:04:04 PM PDT by bboop (We don't need no stinkin' VAT)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Actually waaaaay smaller, it’s called the “top hat” and it’s dimensions are something like 4’x6’.

They believe that the much smaller quantity of water present will help to prevent the formation of hydrates.


16 posted on 05/10/2010 12:12:30 PM PDT by traderrob6
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

At least that’s the way BP officials explained it in the presser held at noon today.


17 posted on 05/10/2010 12:13:35 PM PDT by traderrob6
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To: patton

Not sure....


18 posted on 05/10/2010 12:15:26 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: traderrob6

Smaller amount of water to heat up...makes sense...


19 posted on 05/10/2010 12:17:29 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Thanks for your explanation. I have a newfound appreciation for just how difficult a process it is to successfully recover undersea oil, or to deal with problems that develop along the way. Putting a man on the moon hardly seems more difficult than trying to fix the problem with the leaking oil in the Gulf. It seems there are a thousand ways to go wrong and only one way (or very few) to get it right.


20 posted on 05/10/2010 12:35:48 PM PDT by Texan Tory
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