Posted on 09/01/2009 8:08:57 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Tropical Storm Erika developed in the North Atlantic September 1, 2009. Erika is expected to pass to the NE of the Leeward Islands Thursday, currently moving WNW at 8 miles per hour. Erika is not anticipated to strengthen into a hurricane over the next several days.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for St. Maarten, Antigua, Barbuda, St. Kitts, Nevis, Anguilla, St.Martin and St. Barthelemy.
In other tropical storm news, Hurricane Jimena is approaching Southern Baja, and weather conditions there are deteriorating rapidly. Jimena maximum sustained wind speeds are 115mph.
Public Advisories Updated every six hours.
Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours
Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks
Buoy DataW Central Atlantic and East Caribbean
Buoy Data Florida
Thanks NN. :-)
LOL
Thanks, always knew I was a distructive force of nature.
:-)
They seem to be taking the more northerly route this year. Wonder why that is?
It has something to do with winds. I saw it on the Weather Channel. I want to say the winds have something to do with El Nino?? Anyway, they are making it hard for storms to form and head toward the Gulf
Just like the country, sometimes it swings right and sometimes it swings left. ;)
It’s edging closer to us now.
000
WTNT31 KNHC 021447
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062009
1100 AM AST WED SEP 02 2009
...ERIKA APPROACHING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...
AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GUADELOUPE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE...ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...
MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND
ST. EUSTATIUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE U.S. AND BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
ERIKA. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A
PORTION OF THESE AREAS LATER TODAY.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIKA WAS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.4 WEST OR
ABOUT 100 MILES...165 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
ERIKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...ERIKA WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...
65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
TODAY WITH SOME SLIGHT RESTRENGTHENING POSSIBLE TOMORROW.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
ERIKA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE LESSER ANTILLES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. OVER
PUERTO RICO...3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES.
...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...16.5N 60.4W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN
Not liking that AVNO forecast track for an East Coast of Florida in and out.
CenTexans don’t speak of fires ... with this drought we’d go up in flames, with no way to fight. We dream of stalled tropical depressions.
Thanks for the ping.
Never a doubt in my mind.
;-)
Tropical Storm watch for us. That means it is time to take the rest of the avocados (avocadoes?) down from the tree.
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
For your tireless work on keeping us informed of these storms, I am really grateful.
I don’t like the way the projected path (first graphic on this thread) has moved further south and west, showing it in the Bahamas on Monday, aiming at south Florida. If it skims Hispaniola on the north side, which is what it now shows, if could hit the Miami area as a major storm. Definitely need to keep our eyes open here.
Our local weather guy just said he expects the storm to be destroyed if he goes across the islands. It is a very poorly organized storm now and it wouldn’t take much to dissipate it. Of course we are hoping it will come across the Gulf as a depression and relieve our drought.
The hurricane season so far seems to be a fizzle, indicating this year’s ocean waters don’t have enough retained warmth to support hurricanes that well. Yet another indicator that perhaps “global warming” isn’t happening.
El Nino may or may not be involved too.
95 degree water in parts of the gulf is not what I would say is lack of warmth, there are countless other factors involved.
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