Posted on 08/28/2008 8:25:49 AM PDT by NautiNurse
The 2008 peak of hurricane season is ramping up with Gustav and Hanna. The two storms pose threats to the U.S. At least 22 deaths in Hispanola are attributed to Gustav to date, and a Hurricane Warning is in effect for Jamaica. Tropical Storm Hanna has formed in the Atlantic.
Gustav |
Hanna |
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Buoy Data: Western Caribbean FL and East GOM Western GOM |
East Caribbean West Atlantic Florida |
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
I have been and will continue in earnest.
A dear friend of mine is involved in evacs of hospitals (as he was for Katrina) and provided the model for how to do it right.
What are we talking about for max surge?
Too much crack!
excellent links
They should visit the aquarium in Chattanooga. There are a number of War of Northern Aggression battlefields within a fairly easy drive. I guess what I’m suggesting is something to take off a bit of the stress.
Did you guys see him just now on FOX? I swear the guy is on downers.
GOOD to see you jeffers:) How’s dad?
I remember him after Katrina too- he’d just be...gone.
“Hurricane Andrew must have been some force to flatten whole groves like that.”
Actually the wind strips the leaves and some species of mangroves cannot recover. We have the same thing going on on Charlotte Harbor. Check out aerials before Charley and now.
Oh, btw, it comes with the unlimited to calling or e-mailing to ask questions or inquire about optimum ways to use the data (free, of course). And, we're adding two new sections, probably next weekend, including the ability to optimise crossover moving avgs vs price. Lots of pricey programmes offer this (naturally, it's not difficult to add), but no reasonably priced website does, afaik.
“They should visit the aquarium in Chattanooga. There are a number of War of Northern Aggression battlefields within a fairly easy drive. I guess what Im suggesting is something to take off a bit of the stress.”
VirginiaMom
Wow! Thanks for posting that. Can’t believe how much you learn here on FR...
Sounds great I will get with You later.
” Police with bullhorns plan to go street to street this weekend with a tough message about getting out ahead of Hurricane Gustav:”
Gustav will likely pass and then the next time nobody will leave and they will get hammered. I never evacuate but remain completely prepared.
125 miles is excellent progress!
The issue that's holding her up is models are forecasting a backing ridge falling in behind Gustov (stretching out from high pressure centralized in the Great Lakes region. In conjuction with this is a mid-Atlantic high about 70W, 30N that seems to be positioned fairly solidly. The backing ridge will hold up Hanna from moving west, and the mid-atlantic high will dictate her N component of motion.
I also noticed that the 1000-5000 THK [576] isopleth appears to be in play with respect to her motion. While its lattitudinally parallel, she's stagnant, but when it inclines SE-NW she begins to move.
Right now, once the backing ridge weakens, she'll begin to move NW. Presently its lookin' like Miami to Titusville will be spared most of the carnage. It looks like she may take a track just north of the Bahama Island chain.
Valid 08090500z:
Darkest streamlines are about 50kts.
Projected wave heights:
Darkest red shades zone >35'.
By 08090512z:
Darkest red zone >28' (<35').
They just changed the voluntary West Bank evacuation into a mandatory one... “leave no later than 8 AM tomorrow”... “NHC calling for the impact to be at or near the worst case scenario” ... “If you remain behind, you are confined to your home. If you are found out of your home, you are automatically considered suspicious.”
Doesn’t look good for New Orleans. Hope all there end up safe.
My local Charleston station forecast for Hanna was just on. If it makes it here at all it won’t until Thursday or Friday. New storm tracks are all over the place. The only track they don’ have projected is it heading East. Yes it could also stay on a southerly track and go into the Gulf.
I remember that! I feel better knowing there are so many good and qualified people assisting with preparation for this potentially devastating event.
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