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World Series Live Thread: Colorado Rockies vs. Boston Red Sox
YahooSports.com ^
| 10-23-07
| Yahoo! Sports
Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
vs.
Game 1 at Boston (Wed., Oct. 24, 8:35 p.m.)
Josh Beckett vs. Jeff Francis Game 2 at Boston (Thurs., Oct. 25, 8:29 p.m.)
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
Game 3 at Colorado (Saturday, Oct. 27, 8 p.m.)
Daisuke Matsuzaka vs. Josh Fogg Game 4 at Colorado (Sunday, Oct. 28, 8 p.m.)
Aaron Cook vs. Jon Lester Game 5* at Colorado (Monday, Oct. 29)
Game 6* at Boston (Wednesday, Oct. 31)
Game 7* at Boston (Thursday, Nov. 1)
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
| Game |
Starters |
COL |
BOS |
|
|
| Game 1 |
Francis vs. Beckett |
31.2% |
68.8% |
|
|
| Game 2 |
Jimenez vs. Schilling |
35.7% |
64.3% |
|
|
| Game 3 |
Matsuzaka vs. Fogg |
52.1% |
49.2% |
|
|
| Game 4 |
Lester vs. Cook |
56.3% |
43.7% |
|
|
| Game 5 |
Beckett vs. Francis |
45.9% |
54.1% |
|
|
| Game 6 |
Jimenez vs. Schilling |
35.7% |
64.3% |
|
|
| Game 7 |
Fogg vs. Matsuzaka |
39.0% |
61.0% |
|
| |
WIN SERIES |
33.2% |
66.8% |
|
Red Sox 25-man Roster
PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
Rockies 25-man Roster
PITCHERS (11): Jeremy Affeldt, Aaron Cook, Manuel Corpas, Josh Fogg, Jeff Francis, Brian Fuentes, LaTroy Hawkins, Matt Herges, Ubaldo Jimenez, Franklin Morales, Ryan Speier. CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
TOPICS: Sports
KEYWORDS: champions; coloradorockies; congratulations; mlb; redsox; redsoxwinitall; rox; sox; ws
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To: big'ol_freeper
Yep. He pitched well enough and long enough for us to get through 9 innings with Oki and Pap.
801
posted on
10/25/2007 9:04:05 PM PDT
by
GraniteStateConservative
(...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
To: big'ol_freeper
Good pitching for the sox. Rockies have given up too many hits to be call good pitching, but they have rallied every time to close the innings.
802
posted on
10/25/2007 9:04:17 PM PDT
by
Fido969
("The hardest thing in the world to understand is income tax." - Albert Einstein)
To: big'ol_freeper
He needed to get through 6 and didn’t which makes more work for the pen. He was a gamer though and outside of the first inning mistakes pitched rather effectively.
803
posted on
10/25/2007 9:04:34 PM PDT
by
misterrob
(Seven down, 12 more til the Pats win the SB again.)
To: nutmeg
wow,talk about opposite games..
I like our chances with Pap..
He gets it done,I would say
804
posted on
10/25/2007 9:05:02 PM PDT
by
pending
(TODAY)
To: mylife
805
posted on
10/25/2007 9:05:29 PM PDT
by
Fido969
("The hardest thing in the world to understand is income tax." - Albert Einstein)
To: All
2 outs away.
806
posted on
10/25/2007 9:05:45 PM PDT
by
GraniteStateConservative
(...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
To: pending
Papelbon burns strike 3 right by Helton, 1 out.
807
posted on
10/25/2007 9:05:46 PM PDT
by
darkangel82
(And the band played on....)
To: cleveland gop
Maybe when he gets out of jail or rehab....
808
posted on
10/25/2007 9:05:52 PM PDT
by
misterrob
(Seven down, 12 more til the Pats win the SB again.)
To: misterrob
Things are leaning your way
809
posted on
10/25/2007 9:05:59 PM PDT
by
mylife
(The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
To: mylife
Fly ball to Ellsbury in center, 2 down.
810
posted on
10/25/2007 9:06:57 PM PDT
by
darkangel82
(And the band played on....)
To: All
1 out away.
811
posted on
10/25/2007 9:07:01 PM PDT
by
GraniteStateConservative
(...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
To: GraniteStateConservative
812
posted on
10/25/2007 9:07:12 PM PDT
by
mylife
(The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
To: GraniteStateConservative
813
posted on
10/25/2007 9:07:28 PM PDT
by
Fido969
("The hardest thing in the world to understand is income tax." - Albert Einstein)
To: GraniteStateConservative
This Papelbon guy might just be a keeper...
814
posted on
10/25/2007 9:07:36 PM PDT
by
SamAdams76
(I am 32 days away from outliving Freddie Mercury)
To: mylife
815
posted on
10/25/2007 9:07:58 PM PDT
by
Fido969
("The hardest thing in the world to understand is income tax." - Albert Einstein)
To: mylife; All
it's a final!
BOSTON 2
COLORADO 1
Boston takes 2-0 lead in 2007 World Series
On to...Denver...
816
posted on
10/25/2007 9:09:09 PM PDT
by
raccoonradio
(Boston Red Sox: 2007 American League Champions)
To: GraniteStateConservative
To: Fido969
That splitter breaks too soon.
818
posted on
10/25/2007 9:09:12 PM PDT
by
misterrob
(Seven down, 12 more til the Pats win the SB again.)
To: All
Victory!
On to Denver!
819
posted on
10/25/2007 9:09:18 PM PDT
by
GraniteStateConservative
(...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
To: All
Game!! 2-0 Sox.. heading for Colorado
See y'all Saturday
820
posted on
10/25/2007 9:09:18 PM PDT
by
big'ol_freeper
("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
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