Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
vs.
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
| Game | Starters | COL | BOS | |
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| Game 1 | Francis vs. Beckett | 31.2% | 68.8% | |
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| Game 2 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 3 | Matsuzaka vs. Fogg | 52.1% | 49.2% | |
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| Game 4 | Lester vs. Cook | 56.3% | 43.7% | |
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| Game 5 | Beckett vs. Francis | 45.9% | 54.1% | |
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| Game 6 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 7 | Fogg vs. Matsuzaka | 39.0% | 61.0% |
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| WIN SERIES | 33.2% | 66.8% |
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PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
If Gagne gets three outs tonight: Time stops. Universe ends. Game over.
If Gagne gets three outs tonight: Time stops. Universe ends. Game over.
...and that kid stops dancing?
Deal.
Because we paid attention to his last attention whore article. Don’t feed trolls. Easterbrook is a troll. Everyone should have just laughed at him and ignored him. No one paid attention to him before.
Ya that was freaky.
Crisp in center and Ellsbury moves to left. Manny gets a rest.
Dodgers and Giants ... a once great rivalry that needs to heat up again.
That easterbrook piece is stunning.
That guy has serious issues.
“God Bless America”
(my ears... ouch)
Speaking of jumping the shark, J.K. Rowling and the Harry Potter series officially jumped the shark also this week with her gratuitous (and totally unnecessary) "outing" of one of her characters being a homosexual. What a sad, pathetic attempt to be trendy.
It's garbage time at Fenway. Forget putting in Gagne. Put that dancing kid on the mound (the one the cameras kept panning in on). Or maybe Red Sox manager Terry Francona can put himself on the mound and save the arms of his bullpen for later games. I don't think the Rockies can score 10 runs even off that woman who's singing "God Bless America" in the 7th inning stretch. Put her on the mound, she's easy on the eyes and she has no more jewelry than most of the other players.
Here that crowd? They are singing along with her. I always love when that happens.
Singing is good.If she finished it straight,it would have been maxed.
Those songs should not be about the singers.
I was a little distracted by Buck calling ,what was it jeter cologne?..breathtaking.
So we won't get to hear "...and the Boston Red Sox are the World Champions! Can YOU believe it?" this year?
Exactly. That is why I didn’t post on that thread. *snort* New Republic troll.
That’s a lotta kangaroos!
Beckett’s part Australian!
Beckett’s part Dutch!
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