Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

World Series Live Thread: Colorado Rockies vs. Boston Red Sox
YahooSports.com ^ | 10-23-07 | Yahoo! Sports

Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative

Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket

Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket vs.Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket

Game 1 at Boston (Wed., Oct. 24, 8:35 p.m.)

Josh Beckett vs. Jeff Francis

Game 2 at Boston (Thurs., Oct. 25, 8:29 p.m.)

Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez

Game 3 at Colorado (Saturday, Oct. 27, 8 p.m.)

Daisuke Matsuzaka vs. Josh Fogg

Game 4 at Colorado (Sunday, Oct. 28, 8 p.m.)

Aaron Cook vs. Jon Lester

Game 5* at Colorado (Monday, Oct. 29)

Game 6* at Boston (Wednesday, Oct. 31)

Game 7* at Boston (Thursday, Nov. 1)

AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios. 

Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations

AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.

The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.

Game Starters COL BOS

Game 1 Francis vs. Beckett 31.2% 68.8%

Game 2 Jimenez vs. Schilling 35.7% 64.3%

Game 3 Matsuzaka vs. Fogg 52.1% 49.2%

Game 4 Lester vs. Cook 56.3% 43.7%

Game 5 Beckett vs. Francis 45.9% 54.1%

Game 6 Jimenez vs. Schilling 35.7% 64.3%

Game 7 Fogg vs. Matsuzaka 39.0% 61.0%

  WIN SERIES 33.2% 66.8%

Red Sox 25-man Roster

PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.

CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.

INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.

OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.

Rockies 25-man Roster

PITCHERS (11): Jeremy Affeldt, Aaron Cook, Manuel Corpas, Josh Fogg, Jeff Francis, Brian Fuentes, LaTroy Hawkins, Matt Herges, Ubaldo Jimenez, Franklin Morales, Ryan Speier.

CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.

INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.

OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.


TOPICS: Sports
KEYWORDS: champions; coloradorockies; congratulations; mlb; redsox; redsoxwinitall; rox; sox; ws
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 281-300301-320321-340 ... 2,281-2,291 next last
To: Red Steel

Well,Becket won’t be back,right?
11-1

I would put Gagne in,sure

in the corner wrapped in duct tape.
Actually,why not
saves the rest of the guys


301 posted on 10/24/2007 7:55:31 PM PDT by pending (TODAY)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 289 | View Replies]

To: warsaw44

You really think he will have grandkids?


302 posted on 10/24/2007 7:55:44 PM PDT by happinesswithoutpeace (You are receiving this broadcast as a dream)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 298 | View Replies]

To: Boston Blackie; All

I tell you what - I never even thought this game would be like this. Its still the 5th!


303 posted on 10/24/2007 7:55:53 PM PDT by warsaw44
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 296 | View Replies]

To: GraniteStateConservative

So.....is there a Republican debate tomorrow night? If not when?


304 posted on 10/24/2007 7:56:06 PM PDT by AmericanMade1776 ( my opinions do not represent the opinions of the management at Free Republic, they are mine alone.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 288 | View Replies]

To: pending

12-1
scoring faster ‘n I can post


305 posted on 10/24/2007 7:56:24 PM PDT by pending (TODAY)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 301 | View Replies]

To: Red Steel

We need some guys from Massachusetts’ own MIT to determine the Gagne-proof moment of a game.


306 posted on 10/24/2007 7:56:52 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 289 | View Replies]

To: big'ol_freeper

See, they saved a 6 run inning for the bottom of the 5th!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


307 posted on 10/24/2007 7:57:06 PM PDT by Boston Blackie
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 283 | View Replies]

To: warsaw44

If this game continues like this til the ninth, the score will be 20 to possibly 2


308 posted on 10/24/2007 7:57:19 PM PDT by AmericanMade1776 ( my opinions do not represent the opinions of the management at Free Republic, they are mine alone.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 303 | View Replies]

To: GraniteStateConservative

Beckett is over on Landsdowne Street nursing his second beer. He’ll be back to the park shortly to pitch the top of the 6th.


309 posted on 10/24/2007 7:57:49 PM PDT by SamAdams76 (I am 33 days away from outliving Freddie Mercury)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 299 | View Replies]

To: happinesswithoutpeace

Torrealba to Spier, just throw strikes someone is bound to hit it at someone.


310 posted on 10/24/2007 7:58:10 PM PDT by Red Steel
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 291 | View Replies]

To: big'ol_freeper
iPod walks!! 13-1

311 posted on 10/24/2007 7:58:38 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 300 | View Replies]

To: AmericanMade1776

No this game is moving faster than I thought ...The final score will be 25 to possibly 2 for the Rox.


312 posted on 10/24/2007 7:58:56 PM PDT by AmericanMade1776 ( my opinions do not represent the opinions of the management at Free Republic, they are mine alone.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 308 | View Replies]

To: GraniteStateConservative

Trying to calculate that could fry the IBM Blue Gene/L into oblivion.


313 posted on 10/24/2007 7:58:58 PM PDT by happinesswithoutpeace (You are receiving this broadcast as a dream)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 306 | View Replies]

To: pending

The BoSox do very well when there’s a Full Moon during the Series — remember the Red lunar eclipse in 2004...


314 posted on 10/24/2007 7:59:12 PM PDT by mikrofon (Beisbol BUMP)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 305 | View Replies]

To: warsaw44

I am not usually cocky or just arrogant wrt pats/sox,but I actually have been saying i thought this was likely.

8 days off is just crazy
It is good to see the team we all knew they could be
show up all at once here.


315 posted on 10/24/2007 7:59:18 PM PDT by pending (TODAY)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 303 | View Replies]

To: happinesswithoutpeace

lol! Your right - his ERA with the ladies will possibly be worse than mine!


316 posted on 10/24/2007 7:59:30 PM PDT by warsaw44
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 302 | View Replies]

To: big'ol_freeper
Next victim...

317 posted on 10/24/2007 7:59:53 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 311 | View Replies]

To: SamAdams76

Screw it. Beckett just ordered a cheeseburger and his third beer.


318 posted on 10/24/2007 8:00:15 PM PDT by SamAdams76 (I am 33 days away from outliving Freddie Mercury)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 309 | View Replies]

To: big'ol_freeper

WOOOOOO HOOOOOOOOOOO!

wicked cool


319 posted on 10/24/2007 8:00:30 PM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 311 | View Replies]

To: Boston Blackie

I don’t think they are done yet...


320 posted on 10/24/2007 8:00:44 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 307 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 281-300301-320321-340 ... 2,281-2,291 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson