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World Series Live Thread: Colorado Rockies vs. Boston Red Sox
YahooSports.com ^ | 10-23-07 | Yahoo! Sports

Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative

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Game 1 at Boston (Wed., Oct. 24, 8:35 p.m.)

Josh Beckett vs. Jeff Francis

Game 2 at Boston (Thurs., Oct. 25, 8:29 p.m.)

Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez

Game 3 at Colorado (Saturday, Oct. 27, 8 p.m.)

Daisuke Matsuzaka vs. Josh Fogg

Game 4 at Colorado (Sunday, Oct. 28, 8 p.m.)

Aaron Cook vs. Jon Lester

Game 5* at Colorado (Monday, Oct. 29)

Game 6* at Boston (Wednesday, Oct. 31)

Game 7* at Boston (Thursday, Nov. 1)

AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios. 

Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations

AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.

The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.

Game Starters COL BOS

Game 1 Francis vs. Beckett 31.2% 68.8%

Game 2 Jimenez vs. Schilling 35.7% 64.3%

Game 3 Matsuzaka vs. Fogg 52.1% 49.2%

Game 4 Lester vs. Cook 56.3% 43.7%

Game 5 Beckett vs. Francis 45.9% 54.1%

Game 6 Jimenez vs. Schilling 35.7% 64.3%

Game 7 Fogg vs. Matsuzaka 39.0% 61.0%

  WIN SERIES 33.2% 66.8%

Red Sox 25-man Roster

PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.

CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.

INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.

OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.

Rockies 25-man Roster

PITCHERS (11): Jeremy Affeldt, Aaron Cook, Manuel Corpas, Josh Fogg, Jeff Francis, Brian Fuentes, LaTroy Hawkins, Matt Herges, Ubaldo Jimenez, Franklin Morales, Ryan Speier.

CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.

INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.

OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.


TOPICS: Sports
KEYWORDS: champions; coloradorockies; congratulations; mlb; redsox; redsoxwinitall; rox; sox; ws
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Right now Morales is a Morales killer.


261 posted on 10/24/2007 7:39:21 PM PDT by happinesswithoutpeace (You are receiving this broadcast as a dream)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Sweet location on that Ortiz hit, wicked sweet.


262 posted on 10/24/2007 7:39:35 PM PDT by warsaw44
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Now Manny!!

9-1


263 posted on 10/24/2007 7:40:15 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Loving it.


264 posted on 10/24/2007 7:40:19 PM PDT by happinesswithoutpeace (You are receiving this broadcast as a dream)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

AY, AY, AY!!!

Dios Mio.


265 posted on 10/24/2007 7:40:26 PM PDT by La Enchiladita
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To: pending

Soon folks will be singin,
want some of that dirty water
or whatever it is these guys have been consuming lately.

This really is like Pats?Dolphins.

The 8 day layoff was going to hurt a little or a lot.

Manny being Manny,some more.
9-1


266 posted on 10/24/2007 7:40:41 PM PDT by pending (TODAY)
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To: All

Manuel!! 9-1


267 posted on 10/24/2007 7:41:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

It doesn’t look like Ortiz will be sitting on the bench in Colorado after all. They will play Ortiz at shortstop if they have to - just so long as he brings his hot bat to the plate.


268 posted on 10/24/2007 7:41:22 PM PDT by SamAdams76 (I am 33 days away from outliving Freddie Mercury)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

- and its only the 5th!


269 posted on 10/24/2007 7:42:21 PM PDT by warsaw44
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To: SamAdams76

Over/Under on Major papers using the term “Rocked” in
Thu headlines?
35


270 posted on 10/24/2007 7:42:29 PM PDT by pending (TODAY)
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To: SamAdams76
Mikey...Likes it!!!
271 posted on 10/24/2007 7:43:01 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
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To: SamAdams76

Sheeshhhh...just call the game already ;-0


272 posted on 10/24/2007 7:43:42 PM PDT by scott says
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To: SamAdams76
You are so right about ortiz and brother, would I like to see Big Papi at shortstop! LOL!
I recall he was a pretty good first base man during 2004 WS.
273 posted on 10/24/2007 7:43:58 PM PDT by warsaw44
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To: All

This Red Sox lineup is Murderer's Row, Part II.


274 posted on 10/24/2007 7:44:48 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: warsaw44

Shortstop,I don’t know.
Dave has had recent issues with that whole bending over thing...


275 posted on 10/24/2007 7:45:18 PM PDT by pending (TODAY)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Theo got to be feelin really well,right now


276 posted on 10/24/2007 7:46:17 PM PDT by pending (TODAY)
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To: pending
I know - imagine it, though? Ouch. They’ll fit him in somewhere. That poor devil deserves all the rest he can get in the offseason. I do hope he drops a few pounds too.
277 posted on 10/24/2007 7:46:46 PM PDT by warsaw44
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To: GraniteStateConservative

see ya Morales.


278 posted on 10/24/2007 7:47:56 PM PDT by happinesswithoutpeace (You are receiving this broadcast as a dream)
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J.D!!! Mr. October (20th,21st and 24th)!!

10-1

279 posted on 10/24/2007 7:47:57 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

looks like it is raining there... that must be tough for the Rockies, it hardly ever rains there...DOUBLE DIDGETS..NOW... WOOHOO


280 posted on 10/24/2007 7:48:03 PM PDT by AmericanMade1776 ( my opinions do not represent the opinions of the management at Free Republic, they are mine alone.)
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