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World Series Live Thread: Colorado Rockies vs. Boston Red Sox
YahooSports.com ^ | 10-23-07 | Yahoo! Sports

Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative

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Game 1 at Boston (Wed., Oct. 24, 8:35 p.m.)

Josh Beckett vs. Jeff Francis

Game 2 at Boston (Thurs., Oct. 25, 8:29 p.m.)

Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez

Game 3 at Colorado (Saturday, Oct. 27, 8 p.m.)

Daisuke Matsuzaka vs. Josh Fogg

Game 4 at Colorado (Sunday, Oct. 28, 8 p.m.)

Aaron Cook vs. Jon Lester

Game 5* at Colorado (Monday, Oct. 29)

Game 6* at Boston (Wednesday, Oct. 31)

Game 7* at Boston (Thursday, Nov. 1)

AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios. 

Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations

AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.

The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.

Game Starters COL BOS

Game 1 Francis vs. Beckett 31.2% 68.8%

Game 2 Jimenez vs. Schilling 35.7% 64.3%

Game 3 Matsuzaka vs. Fogg 52.1% 49.2%

Game 4 Lester vs. Cook 56.3% 43.7%

Game 5 Beckett vs. Francis 45.9% 54.1%

Game 6 Jimenez vs. Schilling 35.7% 64.3%

Game 7 Fogg vs. Matsuzaka 39.0% 61.0%

  WIN SERIES 33.2% 66.8%

Red Sox 25-man Roster

PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.

CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.

INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.

OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.

Rockies 25-man Roster

PITCHERS (11): Jeremy Affeldt, Aaron Cook, Manuel Corpas, Josh Fogg, Jeff Francis, Brian Fuentes, LaTroy Hawkins, Matt Herges, Ubaldo Jimenez, Franklin Morales, Ryan Speier.

CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.

INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.

OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.


TOPICS: Sports
KEYWORDS: champions; coloradorockies; congratulations; mlb; redsox; redsoxwinitall; rox; sox; ws
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To: big'ol_freeper

Lugo gonna try to steal second...


181 posted on 10/24/2007 6:42:54 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
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To: #1CTYankee

Drew really was in the doghouse with sox fans,for sure.
Darn crazy contracts come with expectations.


182 posted on 10/24/2007 6:43:08 PM PDT by pending (TODAY)
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To: big'ol_freeper

71 pitches for Francis.


183 posted on 10/24/2007 6:44:42 PM PDT by happinesswithoutpeace (You are receiving this broadcast as a dream)
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To: pending

Jacoby,Native american
against the Indians at Jacobs.

Oops, wrong game,,,,
I just thought that was a funny twist.


184 posted on 10/24/2007 6:44:57 PM PDT by pending (TODAY)
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To: happinesswithoutpeace

Rox better get used to that. Sox will make you throw alot of pitches.


185 posted on 10/24/2007 6:45:17 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
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To: Boston Blackie

Drizzling or raining?


186 posted on 10/24/2007 6:47:19 PM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
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To: pending
"Darn crazy contracts come with expectations."

From the fans and the management, I thought it was too much to pay for a player that has played hurt so much in his career, maybe the scout saw something I didn't? He certainly didn't prove himself during the season but not everyone makes the transition to the American League so soon.

The Jury is still out.

187 posted on 10/24/2007 6:47:40 PM PDT by #1CTYankee (That's right, I have no proof. So what of it??)
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Beckett could be sticking with the fastball because of the weather too.


188 posted on 10/24/2007 6:47:51 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
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To: big'ol_freeper

Rain rain go away,
there is one more inning to play..


189 posted on 10/24/2007 6:48:14 PM PDT by pending (TODAY)
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To: SE Mom
Drizzling or raining?

Drizzle...but harder than its been at Fenway all day.

190 posted on 10/24/2007 6:49:38 PM PDT by Boston Blackie
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To: Boston Blackie

IF there is a delay, is the game restarted,or resumed?


191 posted on 10/24/2007 6:52:30 PM PDT by pending (TODAY)
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To: All
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192 posted on 10/24/2007 6:53:07 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: pending

K7


193 posted on 10/24/2007 6:54:28 PM PDT by pending (TODAY)
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To: Boston Blackie

7 OUTS! How bout that?


194 posted on 10/24/2007 6:54:42 PM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
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To: All
Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at PhotobucketPhoto Sharing and Video Hosting at PhotobucketPhoto Sharing and Video Hosting at PhotobucketPhoto Sharing and Video Hosting at PhotobucketPhoto Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at PhotobucketPhoto Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket
195 posted on 10/24/2007 6:54:54 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: pending

Yes.


196 posted on 10/24/2007 6:55:09 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Boston Blackie

Francona said they expect diminished rain or open skies in about 30 minutes


197 posted on 10/24/2007 6:56:48 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: SE Mom

Just stepped outside - I swear there is no rain. Just some very light sprinkles if that.


198 posted on 10/24/2007 6:57:36 PM PDT by warsaw44
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To: GraniteStateConservative

RE: Kangaroo

True story, I was at my my buddies house watching a game once and some ditz said “ZOMG there are kkk members with signs in the stands!”


199 posted on 10/24/2007 6:57:47 PM PDT by happinesswithoutpeace (You are receiving this broadcast as a dream)
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To: happinesswithoutpeace

subtract one “my” from that post


200 posted on 10/24/2007 6:58:23 PM PDT by happinesswithoutpeace (You are receiving this broadcast as a dream)
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