Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
vs.
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
| Game | Starters | COL | BOS | |
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| Game 1 | Francis vs. Beckett | 31.2% | 68.8% | |
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| Game 2 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 3 | Matsuzaka vs. Fogg | 52.1% | 49.2% | |
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| Game 4 | Lester vs. Cook | 56.3% | 43.7% | |
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| Game 5 | Beckett vs. Francis | 45.9% | 54.1% | |
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| Game 6 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 7 | Fogg vs. Matsuzaka | 39.0% | 61.0% |
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| WIN SERIES | 33.2% | 66.8% |
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PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
In the early 90’s in Atlanta once they had someone putting up K’s for each strike out. When they got to 3 strike outs it said KKK. Someone thought this was an advertisement for the KKK. SO ever since then is KK and 3rd K is a reverse K.
I hear he's much loved in Philly. LOL!
Okay, I am nervous again...
Beckett fell in love with that fastball too much.
LaRussa has said he is satisfied at 75% of his ability,or some such nice things.
Philly did not like him?
Actually,does Philly like anything?
Good sandwiches,I hear...
I so wish Dane Cook was not from Massachusetts.
...and according to a thread yesterday, the countries ugliest people.
Overall, I want to the Red Soxs to win the Series.
GO SOXS!!!!
I agree. No curves at all in first inning. Not that I am compaining with 3 k’s but when you are up 0-2 throw in a breaking ball now and then.
I have heard Philly even hated Mike schmidt..
Hope I spelled that right...
At least the Soxs has the support of the fans to make all kinds of noise. Go Sox go!!!!
He has been proving better in the series(s)
Philly and ugly
I have always thought that Texs gals are a big reason behind thier famous good nature.
Philly has a jail/courthouse built in to the football stadium..
Dave is in the building.
“dave’s not here”
No really, Dave Is here...
Walk Manny to get to Mikey...pick your poison.
Mr. Yukilis did a homer. 4-1, Boston.
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