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Big new asteroid has slim chance of hitting Earth
New Scientist ^ | 2 May 2006 | David Chandler

Posted on 05/02/2006 10:34:56 PM PDT by SunkenCiv

A newly discovered asteroid is now the biggest thing known with a possibility of hitting the Earth in this century – and it is also the one that could hit the soonest.

But the odds of impact currently stand at just one in six million, reducing the fear factor somewhat, and these odds should further diminish with additional observations. This latest addition to NASA-JPL's list of potentially hazardous asteroids was discovered on 27 April 2006.

The asteroid, called 2006 HZ51, has an estimated diameter of about 800 metres and is the one of the largest objects ever to make the list. An object of that size would cause widespread devastation if it did strike the Earth.

HZ51 also has one of the shortest lead-times to a potential impact of any such object yet found, and the shortest of any potential Earth-impactor currently on the list. The earliest of its 165 possible impact dates is just over two years away, on 21 June 2008.

(Excerpt) Read more at newscientistspace.com ...


TOPICS: Astronomy; Science; Weather
KEYWORDS: asteroid; astronomy; catastrophism; weareallgoingtodie
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Catastrophism

1 posted on 05/02/2006 10:35:02 PM PDT by SunkenCiv
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To: 75thOVI; AndrewC; Avoiding_Sulla; BenLurkin; Berosus; CGVet58; chilepepper; ckilmer; Eastbound; ...
Catastrophism

2 posted on 05/02/2006 10:37:06 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: tricky_k_1972; KevinDavis
Ping!
3 posted on 05/02/2006 10:37:45 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: SunkenCiv
Hello Civ,

Please put me on your Ping list Thanks. :)

4 posted on 05/02/2006 10:40:18 PM PDT by demlosers
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To: Lonesome in Massachussets

snoozers:

2006 HZ51
Earth Impact Risk Summary
http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risk/2006hz51.html

B612* Foundation
http://www.b612foundation.org/


5 posted on 05/02/2006 10:46:41 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: demlosers

Will do, email to follow.


6 posted on 05/02/2006 10:47:49 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: SunkenCiv
Nobody panic!!! I got it covered. But, ya'll are on you own with that UFO.. I can never get that little bugger. Image and video hosting by TinyPic
7 posted on 05/02/2006 10:48:43 PM PDT by txroadkill
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To: SunkenCiv

"But the odds of impact currently stand at just one in six million,"

That is not comforting, someone sooner or later always wins the lotto with much higher odds.


8 posted on 05/02/2006 11:14:01 PM PDT by Ursus arctos horribilis
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To: SunkenCiv
Click for fun odds: 1 in 6 million is very good odds relative to being voted President of the USA--10 million to 1
9 posted on 05/02/2006 11:23:48 PM PDT by sully777 (wWBBD: What would Brian Boitano do?)
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To: SunkenCiv



10 posted on 05/02/2006 11:27:54 PM PDT by sully777 (wWBBD: What would Brian Boitano do?)
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To: SunkenCiv

Please add me to your ping list for this sort of topic.


11 posted on 05/02/2006 11:50:37 PM PDT by Quix (TRY JESUS. If you don't like Him, the devil will always take you back.-- Bible Belt Bumper Sticker)
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To: SunkenCiv
Big new asteroid has slim chance of hitting Earth

NEW? When was it made? Who made it? This is huge... oh, they already said it was "Big"... The is series... Oh, they already named an asteroid that...

12 posted on 05/03/2006 1:07:39 AM PDT by Swordmaker (Beware of Geeks bearing GIFs.)
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To: SunkenCiv
But the odds of impact currently stand at just one in six million, reducing the fear factor somewhat, and these odds should further diminish change with additional observations.

There i fixed the bias in the report.

13 posted on 05/03/2006 2:03:14 AM PDT by Steve Van Doorn (*in my best Eric cartman voice* “I love you guys”)
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To: txroadkill

LOL


14 posted on 05/03/2006 3:53:44 AM PDT by martin_fierro (< |:)~)
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To: Steve Van Doorn

"But the odds of impact currently stand at just one in six million, reducing the fear factor somewhat, and these odds should further diminish change with additional observations"....and substantial research support for my observations.!!!!


15 posted on 05/03/2006 3:56:38 AM PDT by mo
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To: SunkenCiv
Orbit Simulation (Java)
16 posted on 05/03/2006 4:00:56 AM PDT by martin_fierro (< |:)~)
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To: SunkenCiv; kstewskis; Victoria Delsoul

The headline almost sounds disappointing...almost... ; )


17 posted on 05/03/2006 4:12:23 AM PDT by Northern Yankee ( Stay The Course!)
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To: Ursus arctos horribilis

Yeah, quite agree.


18 posted on 05/03/2006 6:44:14 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: sully777
RE: Your pic.

From a Jeff Foxworthy skit..."Look how close it came to the highway".

19 posted on 05/03/2006 6:45:04 AM PDT by Deguello
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To: Steve Van Doorn; mo

:'D Further observation probably will further diminish the odds, and reduce the number of projected encounters. One of the factors in figuring the odds of impact is the number of encounters. Of course, something one half mile in diameter would make a great big (new) serious hole... and encounters with the Earth have small changes in the object's trajectory, changes which are less predictable than the orbit without the encounters. :'o


20 posted on 05/03/2006 6:49:02 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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