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Posted on 08/07/2024 10:47:57 AM PDT by Red Badger
This is an interesting situation. As Kamala rises in the polls, the stock market declines. Are the two linked? Probably not, but who knows?
As of today, the Kamala bounce seems to be real. A Morning Consult poll from early this month has Harris up by 4 over Trump. This is a massive poll of 11,000+ registered voters, supposedly giving it more credibility. But what would be more convincing would be a more targeted poll of likely voters. One key takeaway from this poll is that Kamala’s popularity may have peaked at 50% and is now moving down.
In what might be a case of polling schizophrenia, a recent Rasmussen Reports poll has Trump ahead by 4. At nearly the same time, a more recent survey from Scott Rasmussen’s RMG Research showed that Kamala was up by 4. Figure that out.
Clearly, Democrats were in a state of panic regarding Joe Biden. Now that that crisis has passed and they have a candidate who can speak undemented though circular English, almost every leftist organization is in a state of verbal orgasmic euphoria. But is this the result of irrational enthusiasm? Plugged-in Democrat David Axelrod seems to think so and warned his party that “it is absolutely Trump’s race to lose right now.”
So Axelrod’s message to freaked out Trump-supporters is to get a grip. Remember that the Real Clear Politics polling average of a five-way race has Kamala up by just a fraction. On this date in 2016, the RCP average had Hillary up by almost 7.
Trump’s support in swing states appears to have declined. But that would be expected, considering that Biden dropped out of the race and Trump’s polling bumps from the convention and the attempted assassination are fading. Let’s take a look.
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
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IMO the poll number for harris are more a sign of relief that the candidate isn’t puddinghead, not that it is her.
Polls can be all over tbe place. Dukakis had a double digit lead in polls right after the Democrat convention in 1988.
We have to see how this campaign unfolds. Debates could make a difference, as well as issues to be highlighted. Walz is said to have pushed all this transgender surgery for minors. Many voters will be repulsed by things like that.
Polls are used to shape outcome, not report the lay of the land.
I remember that chalkboard-scratcher, Susan Estrich on FOX, I think, one Presidential election night, decades ago. She was coming absolutely unglued that the exit polls weren’t working and the ‘Rats weren’t able to control the election results.
That crystallized, to me, the function of these manipulative polls.
Now, we also know that they are cover for election theft - always by the Left, of course.
It says there are a lot of stupid Americans
Let’s wait till the DNC convention 🤪
#TamponTim is trending and nobody really knows this Walz guy.
Who writes the poll results? Someone who majored in Creative Writing, not Statistics.
Polls are BS.
If you get a medical test done, you can be pretty sure the results are accurate because they are held to standards and there is oversight.
Pollsters have neither. They could run a computer simulation and publish the results and people would believe them. Grow a brain!
Whether positive or negative, do not spend one second worrying about polls. Work for candidates, volunteer as a pollwatcher, help people vote. Polls, bah humbug!
harris is old and worn out so she would not need a Taamppon of any kind. However, she might take drugs for her STD’s... which are probably legendary. being in san fran and active as a prostitute escort in the time of (cholera) AIDS proliferation... she is probably on that plus a few others...
Years ago, New York Post’s Page Six had blurb about Susan being upset she was sitting next to a SS agent, I think, instead of someone “important.”
Quick someone grab a helmet and give Kamala a rife!
Were back to the Monday crash levels again and will continue to see a bleed.
That is true. It does say that. But the data is real showing a Harris lead all over the place. Sad.
Oh I’d blocked my memory of Susan testEritch. One of the most annoying people of all time.
I don’t think folks understand how polls happen.
You don’t put area codes and prefixes into a random number generator and call 850 samples.
People won’t be home. People won’t answer. It doesn’t work.
You have a profile. You expect women to vote more than men, maybe 52/48. You expect to have various regions vote in proportions. Dems/GOP ratio presumed turnout in the election. Education levels, age, all these things.
So you start making phone calls and it could be 1000s to add up to the right ratios above. When it does, then and only then, do you look at what they had to say about preference.
If you decide with some sort of justification that there will be additional men or blacks voting than you decided last week, you’ll change that target and make your 1000s of calls.
Then you report the results. You can move the needle by specifying different ratios than last week. With some justification (often $$$ to generate fundraising).
The only thing up on Kamalablah is her heels.
Kamala are no where what the production polls give especially after her VP choice it’s like buying a dog with ticks and fleas.
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