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US Housing Leading Growth Index Slumps To Lowest Since 1982 And 2008 Recessions (Fed Pivot Coming?)
Confounded Interest ^ | 1/1/2023 | Anthony B. Sanders

Posted on 01/01/2023 10:05:05 AM PST by Kaiser8408a

As we begin 2023 (and I am still bummed-out over Ohio State University losing a nail-bitter to Georgia in the Peach Bowl), we need to look at the condition of one of the most important sectors of the US economy.\, housing.

If we look at the US Housing Leading Growth index (courtesy of RecessionAlert.com) has slumped to its worst reading since the recessions of 1982 and 2008.

And then we have the OCED leading indicators for the US falling as M2 Money growth slows.

My favorite chart shows US home price growth falling faster than University of Michigan football team’s national championship home hopes.

Will this prompt The Federal Reserve to pivot? Only time will tell.

(Excerpt) Read more at confoundedinterest.net ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government
KEYWORDS: biden; bideneffect; blogpimp; housing; inflation; recession; retread
It all started with Biden's idiotic green energy mandates ( payoffs to Dem donors) which he will not relent on. A-hole!
1 posted on 01/01/2023 10:05:05 AM PST by Kaiser8408a
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To: Kaiser8408a

We are in the second Great Depression.


2 posted on 01/01/2023 10:05:59 AM PST by bray (My book, The Republic of Texas explains everything )
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To: Kaiser8408a

This housing correction will make 2008 look like the good times.


3 posted on 01/01/2023 10:07:05 AM PST by WMarshal (Neocons and leftards are the same species of vicious rat)
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To: Kaiser8408a

I expect a pivot by March.


4 posted on 01/01/2023 10:11:04 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

I expect pResident ****bag to double down. He hasn’t pivoted on anything. The Left believe their own propaganda. They think everything is great.


5 posted on 01/01/2023 10:31:36 AM PST by Fai Mao (Stop feeding the beast, and steal its food!)
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To: Kaiser8408a

Fed pivot?

Not likely, this is wishful thinking. There has to be a price for unbridled enthusiasm and irrational buying. Housing is just the start.


6 posted on 01/01/2023 10:34:03 AM PST by Sequoyah101 (Just my thoughts)
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To: Kaiser8408a; All

A Fed “pivot” is an abject surrender to rampant inflation.

A monstrous inflation.


7 posted on 01/01/2023 10:34:23 AM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Kaiser8408a

Bookmark


8 posted on 01/01/2023 10:35:30 AM PST by Chgogal (Welcome to Fuhrer Biden's Weaponized Fascist Banana Republic! It's the road to hell..)
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To: Fai Mao

It depends on their definition of “great” doesn’t it?


9 posted on 01/01/2023 10:41:14 AM PST by yuleeyahoo (The nation which can prefer disgrace to danger is prepared for a master and deserves one. Hamilton)
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To: Kaiser8408a

Who was held accountable for the cluster-f of 2007/8?

Why would anyone behave any different?

I would like to see who made the most riding the ridiculous housing cost increase, then sold and shorted investments pre crash.


10 posted on 01/01/2023 10:54:37 AM PST by EEGator
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To: WMarshal
Initially I’d have to disagree. We have very solid fundamentals regarding the housing market. Sub prime loans are growing but not near the level they were at in 2008. Flipping is still done but capital has been more restricted (including by high interest rates) confining many purchases to cash buyers.

I mean I’d like to see it, we need younger citizens to have access to affordable housing. But I don’t see the pending housing apocalypse that we did in 2008. That was…a nightmare.

Anyways, just anecdotal observations. Cheers!

11 posted on 01/01/2023 10:54:51 AM PST by Caipirabob (Communists...Socialists...Fascists & AntiFa...Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: Caipirabob

The problem is that house prices have become unaffordable and, once that happens, you either have to drop the prices or burn them down.

Most young people cannot afford houses now and that will eventually collapse the prices.


12 posted on 01/01/2023 10:57:09 AM PST by WMarshal (Neocons and leftards are the same species of vicious rat)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

The Fed has been saying “no pivot” and they retain the goal of 2% inflation and will raise interest rates until they get there.

They could be lying, but I would not count on it.


13 posted on 01/01/2023 11:02:53 AM PST by cgbg (Claiming that laws and regs that limit “hate speech” stop freedom of speech is “hate speech”.)
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To: yuleeyahoo

Yeah, I guess it does!
They call evil good and good evil, so why not call terrible great?


14 posted on 01/01/2023 11:29:36 AM PST by Fai Mao (Stop feeding the beast, and steal its food!)
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To: WMarshal

“This housing correction will make 2008 look like the good times”

Not even close. The situation in 2008 was much worse than now. That also means the opportunities won’t be as big, but that’s the nature of downturns.


15 posted on 01/01/2023 11:58:13 AM PST by SaxxonWoods (The only way to secure your own future is to create it yourself.)
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To: Kaiser8408a

Blessings are being removed.


16 posted on 01/01/2023 12:06:26 PM PST by delta7
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