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When Fed Gov Brainard Talks, Markets Listen! Brainard Says Fed Will Shrink The Balance Sheet At A Rapid Rate (10Y Treasury Yield Rises 16 BPS As Nasdaq Falls 300 PTS) Mortgage Rates Will SOAR!!
Confounded Interest ^ | 04/05/2022 | Anthony B. Sanders

Posted on 04/05/2022 9:45:22 AM PDT by Browns Ultra Fan

When Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard speaks, markets listen

Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard said the U.S. central bank will continue to tighten policy methodically and shrink its balance sheet at a rapid pace as soon as May.

Brainard’s hawkish remarks sent bond prices crashing and 10Y bond yields up over 16 bps.

While Bankrate’s 30Y mortgage rate is down slightly today, the surge in the 10Y and 2Y Treasury yields could push mortgage rates above 5% by tomorrow,

Even Europe is feeling Brainard’s wrath. Italian 10Y sovereign yields are up almost 20 bps.

The NASDAQ index is down 300 points on Brainard’s utterance.

Gee thanks Lael from all us wanting to finance the purchase of a house.

Brainless and Brainard.

(Excerpt) Read more at confoundedinterest.net ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: biden; bonds; brainard; fed; fedrate; mortgage; rates; stockmarket
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Biden and Brainard are killing us.
1 posted on 04/05/2022 9:45:22 AM PDT by Browns Ultra Fan
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To: Browns Ultra Fan

Mortgage Rates Will SOAR!!


i.e. Real estate prices will collapse.


2 posted on 04/05/2022 9:48:19 AM PDT by cuban leaf (My prediction: Harris is Spiro Agnew. We'll soon see who becomes Gerald Ford, and our next prez.)
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To: Browns Ultra Fan

This explains the brief bump in Gold and Silver I saw today.


3 posted on 04/05/2022 9:49:29 AM PDT by cuban leaf (My prediction: Harris is Spiro Agnew. We'll soon see who becomes Gerald Ford, and our next prez.)
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To: cuban leaf

I’m ready! I always wanted to be a Cash Buyer.


4 posted on 04/05/2022 9:53:55 AM PDT by griswold3 (When chaos serves the State, the State will encourage chaos)
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To: cuban leaf

Typically, when they shrink the balance sheet, they let the securities run off and don’t reinvest. That means it takes a while for the two years or the ten years to be up.

Do they propose to actually sell off the existing securities into the public markets?

This would have a significant impact on the Federal budget, because the Fed remits the interest on these bonds to the government.


5 posted on 04/05/2022 9:54:32 AM PDT by proxy_user
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To: Browns Ultra Fan

“The NASDAQ index is down 300 points “

So why didn’t this drama queen say all that did was reverse out yesterday’s gain?


6 posted on 04/05/2022 9:56:53 AM PDT by BiglyCommentary
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To: Browns Ultra Fan

“Gee thanks Lael from all us wanting to finance the purchase of a house.”

Let’s see, do you want home prices to rise another 50%? Or do you want to have to pay an extra point or two in interest?

Cuz those are your options.


7 posted on 04/05/2022 9:57:16 AM PDT by Boogieman
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To: cuban leaf

The Democrats have created a perfect scapegoat in the form of Putin by pushing the Ukraine situation to the brink of WWIII. They have decided that their best chance of maintaining power and forming a new “world order” is to create an extreme crisis either in the form of WWIII and/or complete economic collapse. None of this is an accident, or even bad judgement; it is a strategy.


8 posted on 04/05/2022 9:58:49 AM PDT by fireman15 (Irritating people are the grit from which we fashion our pearl. I provide the grit. You're Welcome.)
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To: griswold3

> I’m ready! I always wanted to be a Cash Buyer.

Ditto.


9 posted on 04/05/2022 10:02:49 AM PDT by glorgau
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To: Browns Ultra Fan
Gee thanks Lael from all us wanting to finance the purchase of a house.

So you're looking at a house that was worth $400,000 two years ago, and you want to make an offer of $600,000 on it today ... and you're blaming this guy Lael because you're going to have a harder time borrowing money to make that deal?

Lael Brainard might just be saving the author's ass from one of the dumbest decisions he could make in his lifetime.

10 posted on 04/05/2022 10:03:22 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("Mr. Potato Head ... Mr. Potato Head! Back doors are not secrets.")
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To: Browns Ultra Fan

“Biden and Brainard are killing us.”

The ONLY error the Fed is making is not being hawkish enough fast enough.

The balance sheet should be completely cleared in one year.

Rates should go up at least a full point per quarter until all signs of inflation are exterminated.

It would be a horrifically painful experience. No doubt.

But not as painful as avoiding the elephant in the room.


11 posted on 04/05/2022 10:09:00 AM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Browns Ultra Fan

Well, that should knock down housing prices real quickly.

Then all these recent buyers will be underwater on their inflated mortgage.

What could go wrong?


12 posted on 04/05/2022 10:15:03 AM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: Vermont Lt

“What could go wrong?”

It’s like a forest fire.

Long term it’s quite healthy for the economy.

Short term is a devastating conflagration.


13 posted on 04/05/2022 10:19:45 AM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Mariner
Rates should go up at least a full point per quarter until all signs of inflation are exterminated.

Wow, I'm agreeing with you. Scary!
14 posted on 04/05/2022 10:26:21 AM PDT by JoSixChip (2020: The year of unreported truths; 2021: My main take away from this year? Trust no one.)
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To: Browns Ultra Fan

Would you rather have hyperinflation?


15 posted on 04/05/2022 10:34:42 AM PDT by Rusty0604 (" When you can't make them see the light, make them feel the heat." -Ronald Reagan)
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Comment #16 Removed by Moderator

To: Browns Ultra Fan

Need to be raised, a decade of interest rate nonsense.


17 posted on 04/05/2022 12:07:14 PM PDT by QuigleyDU ( )
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To: Browns Ultra Fan

She has all the demoncrap credentials.

May as well bump the interest rates to cool things down. The market is in the dumper anyway and even with low rates will stay there for this administration until the destruction is stopped. I’ve figured on just a slow burn or idle for quite some time. Three years is the norm to begin return to the mean. Meanwhile, this economy is going nowhere.

Maybe interest rates and mortgage rates will go back to 6% or so to provide some steerage to stimulate the economy when needed.

I’m happy to see the 2 and 3% party end if it does and happy to see some fools who parted with their money driving prices sky high burned.


18 posted on 04/05/2022 12:25:05 PM PDT by Sequoyah101 (Politicians are only marginally good at one thing, being politicians. Otherwise they are fools.)
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To: Boogieman

How about just saving for a down payment in a low inflation setting? What a concept! 20% or more down? Oh my!


19 posted on 04/05/2022 12:27:20 PM PDT by Sequoyah101 (Politicians are only marginally good at one thing, being politicians. Otherwise they are fools.)
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To: Mariner

Agree but there is the debt service but I’m thinking it is so bug it does not matter much anymore.


20 posted on 04/05/2022 12:28:22 PM PDT by Sequoyah101 (Politicians are only marginally good at one thing, being politicians. Otherwise they are fools.)
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