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19 Historical Oil Disruptions, And How No.20 Will Shock Markets
Oilprice.com ^ | 04-29-2019 | Philip

Posted on 04/29/2019 4:02:29 PM PDT by bananaman22

Albert Einstein once wrote that “the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.” Were he alive today, he would be repeating the line to anyone who would listen, especially the reporters on cable news channels such as CNBC. He might add that the world’s policymakers always approach oil market disruptions in the same way: predicting there will be no impact on prices.

Einstein would then point out that the policymakers are consistently wrong. A hefty price boost has followed every disruption.

The world has experienced nineteen oil market disruptions over the last forty years. In a paper published in March 2018, I chronicled these events and noted that the maximum price increase was predictable. Last Monday, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo initiated the twentieth disruption. The consequences are projected here.

(Excerpt) Read more at oilprice.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Politics
KEYWORDS: boycotts; clickbait; dnctalkingpoint; dnctalkingpoints; energy; hydrocarbons; incometaxes; maga; markets; mediawingofthednc; oil; oilprices; opec; partisanmediashills; peakiq; peakoil; politics; presstitutes; sanctions; smearmachine; tariffs; taxcutsandjobsact; taxreform; tcja; trade
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To: bananaman22

The horror!


21 posted on 04/29/2019 4:42:27 PM PDT by karnage
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To: IronJack
Greed, your arse.

That oil didn't float to the surface on its own.

Go to work in the patch at 20 below. Or 105 above, if you prefer.

Put your money on the line and try to profit off the hard work, not to mention the foreign markets, the leftist politicians, judges and AOC-type "socialists" who believe oil to be the scourge of the earth.

Likely you have no idea of the boom and bust realities in the oil fields, affecting everyone from wildcatters to food, auto, construction and other workers, right on up to the bosses of Exxon.

Out of curiosity, what is that you would gladly sell below market prices?

22 posted on 04/29/2019 4:49:49 PM PDT by Fightin Whitey
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To: bananaman22
Always important to add perspective to this issue...

The death toll from all opioids in 2018 - legal and illegal - was about 48,000.

48,000 is less than one tenth of one percent of the USA adult population - that is not an epidemic.

Also, almost 50% of opioid prescriptions are billed to Medicaid, the federal health program for low income persons and families.

Many of those prescriptions end up being sold, pill by pill, on the street.

Finally, 65% of emergency room visits for opioid overdose are billed to Medicaid.

Media efforts to portray this issue as a middle and upper middle class “epidemic” are completely false.

23 posted on 04/29/2019 4:55:45 PM PDT by zeestephen
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To: bananaman22

Oil’s about $13 below it’s 12 month high. (Brent’s about $14 off it’s 12 month high). Gasoline is $.25 a gallon off it’s 12 month high. And Natural gas is pretty close to it’s 12 month low.


24 posted on 04/29/2019 4:58:48 PM PDT by PAR35
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To: Fightin Whitey
That oil didn't float to the surface on its own.

Never hear of a seep?

25 posted on 04/29/2019 5:00:51 PM PDT by PAR35
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To: bananaman22

LOL!

Re: Post #23

I wasn’t wearing my reading glasses when I scanned the headline.

I thought “oil” was “opioid.”

Wow! What an incredible goof!


26 posted on 04/29/2019 5:05:08 PM PDT by zeestephen
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To: CMailBag
"Don’t forget “Peak Oil”

There is no peak oil in terms of extraction. As to refining capacity, yes.

27 posted on 04/29/2019 5:14:22 PM PDT by buckalfa (I was so much older then, but I'am younger than that now.)
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To: bananaman22
Albert Einstein once wrote that “the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.”

He did not.

28 posted on 04/29/2019 5:36:50 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Capitalism produces EVERYTHING Socialists/Communists/Democratic-Socialists wish to "redistribute.")
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

It’s interesting reading that the quote is found in an alcohol anonymous book.


29 posted on 04/29/2019 5:44:05 PM PDT by hawkaw
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To: mythenjoseph

“No disruption to speak of...it is already crawling back down ....a brief hiccup nothing more.”

WHAT !!!!!!! Where the hell are you seeing that!!!!

Gas is up to $2.85/gal ($.10 in the last week) here in NH and it seems to keep climbing a few cents every 3 - 4 days.

Even diesel is going up (and the heating season is coming to an end) ... what is up with that!!

Why do I think the gas/diesel prices will continue to creep up for at least ... oh say 18 months to around $4.50 / $5 a gallon to make sure that Trump get the blame and voted out.


30 posted on 04/29/2019 5:44:05 PM PDT by CapnJack
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To: ifinnegan
I do want to know why gas prices have gone up so much in a matter of weeks.

I've been wondering that, too.

31 posted on 04/29/2019 5:44:23 PM PDT by metmom ( ...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith...)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

I was reading all of your information on your article page. Awesome job!

I especially like your 0.04 percent comment on how much carbon dioxide is in the atmosphere and how many polar bears remain after All Gore was born. Lol.


32 posted on 04/29/2019 5:53:19 PM PDT by hawkaw
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To: bananaman22

Should be just about in time for the introduction of the Hydrino-based energy system.

News: https://brilliantlightpower.com/news/

Demo of reactor operating:
https://brilliantlightpower.com/wp-content/uploads/video/Sept5-400.mp4


33 posted on 04/29/2019 6:01:59 PM PDT by _Jim (Save babies)
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To: ifinnegan

Turn arounds...


34 posted on 04/29/2019 6:16:33 PM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks (Baseball players, gangsters and musicians are remembered. But journalists are forgotten.)
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To: IronJack
corn does NOT belong in gasoline
35 posted on 04/29/2019 6:17:15 PM PDT by Chode ( WeÂ’re America, Bitch!)
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To: bananaman22

Peak oil!


36 posted on 04/29/2019 6:33:44 PM PDT by Fido969 (In!)
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To: zeestephen

I don’t think we’ve reached peak opioid yet. But you never know.


37 posted on 04/29/2019 7:42:08 PM PDT by Enterprise
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To: PetroniusMaximus

I’m not going to look. Sounds like a weird trick to me!


38 posted on 04/29/2019 8:13:13 PM PDT by j.havenfarm ( 2,000 posts as of 1/16/19. A FReeper since 2000; never shutting up!)
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To: ifinnegan

Government mandate to move to more expensive summer blend that is more environmentally friendly, combined with most plants doing maintenance in the warmer summer months that traditionally have better weather.


39 posted on 04/30/2019 3:40:32 PM PDT by ro_dreaming (Chesterton, 'Christianity has not been tried and found wanting. It's been found hard and not tried')
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To: bananaman22; nuconvert; gandalftb

The findings from the model indicate that the current disruption will likely cause prices to increase sixty-six percent at their peak. Roughly speaking, Brent will rise to between $114 and $126 per barrel.
x x x x x

That statement from the article above was written a month ago. Today Brent is 64.49 https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/CO1:COM and WTI 53.50 https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/CL1:COM this shows the risk of betting on oil prices.


40 posted on 05/31/2019 3:33:00 PM PDT by AdmSmith (GCTGATATGTCTATGATTACTCAT)
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