Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

19 Historical Oil Disruptions, And How No.20 Will Shock Markets
Oilprice.com ^ | 04-29-2019 | Philip

Posted on 04/29/2019 4:02:29 PM PDT by bananaman22

Albert Einstein once wrote that “the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.” Were he alive today, he would be repeating the line to anyone who would listen, especially the reporters on cable news channels such as CNBC. He might add that the world’s policymakers always approach oil market disruptions in the same way: predicting there will be no impact on prices.

Einstein would then point out that the policymakers are consistently wrong. A hefty price boost has followed every disruption.

The world has experienced nineteen oil market disruptions over the last forty years. In a paper published in March 2018, I chronicled these events and noted that the maximum price increase was predictable. Last Monday, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo initiated the twentieth disruption. The consequences are projected here.

(Excerpt) Read more at oilprice.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Politics
KEYWORDS: boycotts; clickbait; dnctalkingpoint; dnctalkingpoints; energy; hydrocarbons; incometaxes; maga; markets; mediawingofthednc; oil; oilprices; opec; partisanmediashills; peakiq; peakoil; politics; presstitutes; sanctions; smearmachine; tariffs; taxcutsandjobsact; taxreform; tcja; trade
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-40 next last

1 posted on 04/29/2019 4:02:29 PM PDT by bananaman22
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

Lol - you won’t believe #16 - click here!


2 posted on 04/29/2019 4:03:12 PM PDT by Skywise
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

OMGOMGOMG! We’re out of oil!!!!! Oh noes! Oh. Never mind.


3 posted on 04/29/2019 4:07:08 PM PDT by rktman ( #My2ndAmend! ----- Enlisted in the Navy in '67 to protect folks rights to strip my rights. WTH?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Skywise

Yes. Click bait language.


4 posted on 04/29/2019 4:07:40 PM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

I do want to know why gas prices have gone up so much in a matter of weeks.


5 posted on 04/29/2019 4:08:55 PM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

The more oil you produce yourself, the less “disruptions” matter to you. In fact, if you are a producer, high prices are good. More investment, more projects, more people working. And all that flows from that,


6 posted on 04/29/2019 4:09:50 PM PDT by marron
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ifinnegan

I think it is because we sanctioned anyone buying oil from Iran.


7 posted on 04/29/2019 4:13:38 PM PDT by jospehm20
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: ifinnegan

Refinery problems; shortage of ethanol due to flooding in the Midwest; change to summer fuel blends that require more oil


8 posted on 04/29/2019 4:14:03 PM PDT by kaktuskid
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: marron

Counting the oil from Canada the US is oil independent. This was not the case until recently. Those prior disruptions were because we were not drilling enough here to satisfy domestic needs. We are also a large exporter of natural gas.

Yes, the price of gas has gone up recently. It always does that at the beginning of summer.


9 posted on 04/29/2019 4:16:05 PM PDT by Gen.Blather
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: kaktuskid
Refinery problems; shortage of ethanol due to flooding in the Midwest; change to summer fuel blends that require more oil

... greed ...

10 posted on 04/29/2019 4:22:52 PM PDT by IronJack
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

The findings from the model indicate that the current disruption will likely cause prices to increase sixty-six percent at their peak. Roughly speaking, Brent will rise to between $114 and $126 per barrel.


11 posted on 04/29/2019 4:23:57 PM PDT by Java4Jay (The evils of government are directly proportional to the tolerance of the people.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: kaktuskid; jospehm20

Thanks.

It is an unusually sharp and fast increase.


12 posted on 04/29/2019 4:25:26 PM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: ifinnegan

From my understanding - it’s a combination of switching to the “summer” gas which has few reserves along with some refinery shutdowns so there are few reserves of the summer gas - kicking up the price.

Now part of this is also because the companies CAN artificially reduce supply and get some bonus cash. Government like this too because it increases the taxes they get. It’s a “win win” all around - for them.


13 posted on 04/29/2019 4:26:55 PM PDT by Skywise
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: rktman

Don’t forget “Peak Oil”


14 posted on 04/29/2019 4:28:16 PM PDT by CMailBag
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

PEAK OIL!!!! Is back?


15 posted on 04/29/2019 4:28:34 PM PDT by PAR35
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

one word “Speculation” this article is written for no other reason than to fuel the fire.


16 posted on 04/29/2019 4:33:32 PM PDT by kublia khan (Absolute war brings total victory)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Skywise

You’ll be shocked by how she looks like now!


17 posted on 04/29/2019 4:34:15 PM PDT by PetroniusMaximus (<img src=(;.()))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

No disruption to speak of...it is already crawling back down ....a brief hiccup nothing more . How soon the media glosses over the HUGE finds within the last 12 months and they never get into the true nature of how this beautiful planet God made will always make more...carbon is carbon is carbon....


18 posted on 04/29/2019 4:37:56 PM PDT by mythenjoseph
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: CMailBag

I was peaking at a spot under my truck. I thought. Shiny spider.


19 posted on 04/29/2019 4:38:02 PM PDT by rktman ( #My2ndAmend! ----- Enlisted in the Navy in '67 to protect folks rights to strip my rights. WTH?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

Paid 2.29 in Covington Louisiana today...Iran is getting squeezed and rightly so.


20 posted on 04/29/2019 4:39:36 PM PDT by mythenjoseph
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-40 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson