She should just let state-controlled media tell her when she should declare.
That has always worked out so well for us in the past.
Do the same old thing, and you are going to get the same old result.
Posted on 09/24/2011 9:59:30 AM PDT by techno
This Rasmussen poll result was originally released a full year ago on Sept. 20, 2010 and I believe is perhaps the most important poll conducted this election cycle.
For the record this poll was conducted between Sept 18-19, 2010 of 1000 LIKELY VOTERS.
This poll is equivalent to the movie Citizen Kane. Legend has it the movie's vast array of critics and many defenders of William Randolph Hearst tried their level best to obtain all the copies of the movie before it was released to theaters in 1941 and obliterate it from the public memory forever.
In the same mode Scott Rasmussen wishes he had never released 'this poll from hell" and wishes he could obliterate it from the political radar this election cycle as well.
But the cat is now out of the bag because of the Internet and no matter how diligent Scott Rasmussen is in the future to misrepresent and distort Sarah Palin's poll numbers with respect to Obama or the GOP horse race, he has left us in the forthcoming poll why Sarah Palin is indeed very electable against President Obama next year.
Here is the FR link when the poll was posted last year:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2592751/posts?page=1
Now why do I consider this poll the most important in this election cycle? Because instead of asking the commonplace voting question of who you would vote for, it attempts to go beyond the surface or behind the scenes to get to the heart of how voters view both Sarah Palin and Barack Obama in terms of their own values, beliefs, and political ideology.
And it is my contention, unlike voters' preferences for candidates changing with the prevailing political wind (eg. conservatives now bailing on Rick Perry since the debate on Thursday) what one believes, espouses or lives by in their daily lives and how one views a politician in that context is not subject to that kind of dramatic change or shift unless a major, monumental event occurs such as Obama renouncing his socialist/Marxist/Alinsky roots and confessing he has been reborn a free enterpriser and fiscal hawk or that Sarah Palin has been proven to be a conservative fraud and devil worshiper. Neither of these events have so far occurred.
In other words, I believe these numbers still pretty well reflect the political reality in the electorate regarding these two prominent political personalities and any difference in the numbers they command from the voters on who they would vote for in 2012 can be attributed to extraneous factors such as Palin not being an official presidential candidate yet, misogyny, GOP primary voters now supporting other GOP contenders, the media trashing of Sarah Palin and Obama being the incumbent.
So without further adieu here is "the poll from hell" that Scott Rasmussen wishes he could have back:
Whose VIEWS are closer to yours? Palin or Obama
------------------PALIN-------OBAMA
OVERALL------------52----------40
MALE---------------55----------37
FEMALE-------------48----------43
WHITES-------------58----------35
BLACKS-------------5-----------87
OTHER--------------49----------32
DEMOCRATS----------14----------81
GOP----------------84----------9
INDEPENDENTS-------59----------27
CONSERVATIVES------80----------12
MODERATES----------28----------61
LIBERALS-----------14----------85
<20K/YR------------40----------42
20K-40K------------55----------39
40K-60K------------52----------42
60K-75K------------41----------49
75K-100K-----------56----------31
100K+--------------55----------42
MAINSTREAM---------63----------28
POLITICAL CLASS----30----------68
18-29--------------52----------34
30-39--------------51----------42
40-49--------------51----------40
50-64--------------52----------40
65+----------------51----------42
Notice the 40% overall number for Obama in this poll now matches what the Gallup weekly summary has been finding in the past month in terms of pegging where Obama's overall approval now sits.
Have we reached the point where there are perhaps only a very low percentage of the electorate who now approve of Obama's job performance and also don't share his VIEWS?
When this poll was done a year ago Rasmussen and Gallup were both showing Obama polling in the 45%-48% range in job approval.
And note the 23 point spread in the WHITE vote in this poll between Palin and Obama. Was this poll a precursor of what happened on Nov 2, 2010 when the GOP beat the Democrats among WHITE voters by the same 23 point spread among WHITE voters (60% to 37%) in the midterm election?
And finally note that 5 out of 8 mainstream voters feel their VIEWS are simpatico with Governor Palin and only 3 in 8 voters feel aligned with Obama.
Obviously the Left does NOT want this poll result resurrected and neither does the GOP establishment but once again it proves that Palin is indeed electable against President Obama next year if voters vote their conscience and out of self-interest rather than voting for who the media wants them to vote for.
Bottom line: Obama has done nothing in the past year to convince the greater majority of voters to change their VIEW of him. If anything he has only confirmed or reinforced these VIEWS that they had of him a year ago.
I’ve lost hope she’ll run. No reason to stay silent this long, and she looked very sad in the Hannity interview.
If she doesn’t get in, we will be left with Romney, guaranteed.
Obama has done things that indeed result in jobs lost, he has continued to demand more huge money made available to him for more wasteful spending (or stealing). He has continued in frequent high flying vacations and extravagant living, ... these things do change perspective of many. MO etc. etc.
Note that the GOP percentage reflects a similar 80% Palin support, as did Jim Robinson's poll of FR last spring.
Liberals also have a habit or reversing the truth. If we're being told that 72% do not want Palin to run, it is likely the actual truth that 75% do want her to run. Either way, she's running, and she's bringing the TEA Party with her.
I’ll give it a GO SARAH.
I just hope she goes into the race and not away.
This right now is a time she can get in. I don’t know in the next few weeks if she can get this opening again.
LL:
Objectively, ask yourself if you knew of the existence of this poll (which Palin does) and that Marist only shows her now trailing Obama by 5 points and that Obama’s approval numbers have sunk below 40% and you know (from a Peter Singleton interview) you will have hundreds of thousands of grassroots volunteers ready, willing and able to work on your behalf in all 50 states and you have not told them to cease and desist operations, would you not suspect that Sarah Palin is going to run and that she is waiting for the psychological moment to announce her candidacy?
Ask yourself honestly, why wouldn’t Palin run and what has she done in the last months or said herself to lead you to believe she is not running?
Palin is running. Her late entry into the race is a matter of strategy and not of indecision.
Something just does not smell right about that 72% number (Republicans NOT wanting her to run). Has any other poll ever corroborated anything like that?
Proof that ....MODERATES = LIBERALS .... !!!
yea...it was a handpicked set of 750...so ignore it
That "poll" was a pantload.
Good comment.
Why should she appear as one of nine on a stage.
Save the debate contrast experience for Obama.
By that time immigration won't be as much as issue.
The important thing to glean from the Marist poll is that it undercuts the "unelectable" narrative you have heard from other Republican corners for the past several months. That same narrative is the emotional barrier that keeps people from expressing their support for her in other polls. Bottom line, is people want to be seen supporting a winner. Give people a reason to think that she is capable of pulling it off and they will move solidly into her corner.
You’re on the twitter feed!
chicago2cali: Why Sarah #Palin ‘s enemies want the most important poll of this election cycle buried: http://t.co/pBA6GTDA (freerepublic.com) #tcot · Twitter · 27 minutes ago
:o)
In the Marist poll 72% of Republicans did not want her to run but 81% of Republican members would vote for her over Obama.
And if you look at the Marist poll where she gained a net +16 in the overall category, Palin is now leading Obama among independent voters (47 to 43) but even more importantly she gained +29 with her own party (23/60 to 15/81) over the course of a month.
Cognitive dissonance I would say.
She’s been beaten to a pulp...not even sure how she holds up against this.
The whole campaign against her was meant to destroy her. These people have no conscience.
That makes sense. I must admit initially I did not want Perry to run for that same reason (Not so worried about that now!)
She should just let state-controlled media tell her when she should declare.
That has always worked out so well for us in the past.
Do the same old thing, and you are going to get the same old result.
She is a lifetime member of the NRA and she hunts. This says it all to me. Please run Sarah.
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