Posted on 04/07/2010 5:38:19 PM PDT by Bigtigermike
If Sarah Palin runs for President, then she will win the Republican nomination. The rally she is holding today with Michelle Bachmann is amazing, and Obama-like, in it's size:
More than 10,000 Republican faithful are expected to crowd into the Minneapolis Convention Center on Wednesday when Sarah Palin joins Rep. Michele Bachmann at a fundraiser and rally for Bachmann's re-election bid and the Minnesota state Republican Party.
Anyone who can draw 10,000 people to a rally in Minnesota--in early 2010, no less-- is formidable. In the specific case of Sarah Palin, it makes her virtually unstoppable.
National polling for the Republican nomination has consistently shown Palin in a roughly three-way tie with Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee. However:
1. Huckabee is unlikely to run, and his evangelical / born again base (virtually all Huckabee voters in 2008 were evangelicals) is a lot closer to Sarah Palin than they are to Mitt Romney. So, Palin will likely start ahead in national polls among declared candidates.
2. Romney's strength in 2008 was in caucuses, which are dominated by dedicated activists. Of the 11 states that Romney won in 2008, three were "home" states (MA, where he was Governor; MI where his father was Governor; and UT for religion), and the other eight were all caucuses. However, Romney isn't going to win many caucuses if he is facing a candidate who can draw 10,000 people to a rally in early 2010, not to mention what is likely a tarnished reputation among Republican activists after the health care fight.
3. Palin's grassroots strength will provide her with all the funding she needs, and also goes a long way to pre-empting any possible insurgent candidacy against her. This will especially be the case if Ron Paul runs again, since Paul can't win the nomination but would soak up pretty much all of the remaining grassroots energy on the Republican side.
4. Say what you will about Palin's ability as a campaigner, but if gaffes were going to make her unpopular among Republicans, it would have happened already.
If Sarah Palin runs for President in 2012, I have a difficult time imagining someone else winning the Republican nomination. While this is pretty good news for Democrats, as Palin polls worse against Obama than almost any other Republican (see also PPP polling), it is also pretty scary. A continually weak economy--which is very possible--could actually make her President less than three years from now.
Are you claiming that you haven’t had more accounts than those two?
When the candidates declare and I choose whom to back my reasons will be detailed and considered. I will give them without conditions.
You have already chosen Palin. It should be an easy thing for you to detail her actual qualifications at this time.
As I wrote above, your evasion is duly noted.
Lakeshark you won’t get anywhere with wtc911, he is purely anti social conservatism, but he plays it close to the vest and devotes his time to attacking Palin rather than supporting anyone.
If you look hard enough you can find him defending Rudy Giuliani, but basically for all his hostility and aggressive, antiPalin trolling, wtc911 is extremely timid about letting his preferences become revealed on this conservative web site.
Arguendo as a romneybot, and antiPalin flamer in this current personality, just how many accounts do you have?
Two, and this is the only one I post from. Beyond that you aren’t worth addressing.
And just put your money where your mouth is and bet on Palin. Since you think the experts are so wrong, there’s lots of money to be made there on Intrade.
But you’re not going to do it; you’re just going to keep mouthing off.
Thank you -- the only people who do not need OJT for this office are no longer Constitutionally-eligible for the post.
The Founders designed the system with purpose; the Constitution does not enumerate *qualifications* for elected office for good reason. Why so many fall for this line, ginned up by the lamestream and their oh-so-superior attitude is beyond me.
Oh, whoops, I didn’t realize I’d made it that obvious. I was hoping you’d waste an hour or two looking through my “Young Scholar” posting history for the one or two posts I made indicating that back in 2005 or 2006. Figured that would be hilarious.
You seem to be losing it a little.
What names are your other freeper accounts under?
Ah. You mean, like the way you have spent the last two days straight "ignoring" us? What a douchebag.
;-/
There are only a handful or two of possible candidates, I've challenged you to list the qualifications of any of them you care to, and you won't.
Ansell is right, you're a troll.
Eh, I come to these Palin threads hoping to find a gleam of evidence that some of her supports are actually thoughtful people, but I end up sticking around to be entertained by the low-brow debate (probably the same reason people turn on cable news).
None, I asked that my real-name account be nuked years ago for professional reasons.
I only answered since this means so much to you. Do you have anything else going for you in life besides the little world you live in on Free Republic which you feel such a need to police?
You are the troll with multiple accounts, you are the one that is in your second day of trolling on this thread, mocking and attacking freerepublic, dishing out nothing but insults and taunts while ignoring all substantive responses to your efforts, no wonder you need so many accounts.
Trolling and hijacking threads isn’t participating, it is clear that you are desperate for attention.
You still have at least a third account that we can’t look at at.
As usual, you are lying. But, that’s all you have so what else can you do.
You and the other palinites can throw the word troll around all you want if you find it gratifying. It is meaningless.
If the election were held right now, the stinky pile that my wonderful Scrappy left in the corner this morning has at LEAST a 50/50 chance against the now EXPOSED lying, racist, anti-Semitic, incompetent muslim that now occupies the White House.
The reason that obama will lose in a landslide is this: People are no longer afraid to criticize him.
The election framed those against him as racists.
Now he has a record that anyone can easily point to in opposition to him.
Scream it from the rooftops: “A VOTE FOR A DEMOCRAT IS A VOTE FOR OBAMA!!!”
The lie is you claiming that I am lying.
You defend Rudy Giuliani, you defend Mitt Romney, you constantly attack Palin, you will perch on her threads and troll non stop.
Which Protestant, social conservative, candidates would you like to see in the Presidents office?
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