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Why Sarah Palin isn’t Dead Politically
Wilson Research Strategies ^ | July 9th, 2009 | Chris Wilson

Posted on 07/09/2009 10:34:48 AM PDT by SolidWood

Since my appearance on MSNBC regarding Sarah Palin has generated so much conversation, I felt it might be a good idea to expand upon the points I made while debating the commentators. I realize my comments fly in the face of conventional wisdom and are contrary to the analysis given by most Republican consultants.

That understood, I think there are three good reasons that the Palin resignation could (key word: could) be a good move for her on a long term basis:

1) The money angle (as Charlie Cook covered this week).

1. The Palin’s aren’t wealthy. They haven’t reached the point that they don’t have to work as Mitt Romney can.

2. If she’s going to be a full-time campaigner for two years starting in 2010 she can’t do it by earning a Governor’s salary from now until the end of her term.

3. She needs the money she’ll earn giving speeches and writing a book to support her family while she runs for President.

4. In a lot of ways the media, safe in their elite and very well-paid lives, is missing the basic blue-collar story here.

2) The campaign for the GOP nomination has already started.

1. The two other major known contenders-Romney and Huckabee-are already on the road doing GOP events around the country and building a constituency.

2. Palin can’t compete with that if she has to be in Juneau and run a state.

3. It’s a sad reality of the modern political campaign but your choices if you want to run for President now seem to be quitting your job or being a U.S. Senator who isn’t up for re-election.

3) Sarah Palin needs to be Sarah Palin.

1. The Governor knows her most powerful political asset is her ability to personally connect with voters.

2. Conversely, her most formidable political liability is the hatred that the media and many DC political elites seem to have for her.

3. Right now, hanging out in Juneau, all of the information voters receive about her is mediated by either the press or political elites (of both parties I might add).

4. By resigning now she gets back out on the road and can reminds voters why they liked her so much the last time she was able to talk to them directly.

Finally, it’s clear from Tuesday’s Gallup results that American voters don’t think Governor Palin is dead politically:

1. Among Republicans more than seven in ten (72%) said they were at least somewhat likely to vote for her if she were a candidate in the 2012 election.

2. Following her resignation; more than 2/3 of Republicans (67%) say they believe Sarah Palin should be a major political figure.

3. Seven in ten voters say her resignation has no affect on their opinion of her (remarkable considering the negative media coverage)

4. 53% of voters in Gallup survey said that the news media coverage of Palin had been unfairly negative.


TOPICS: Miscellaneous; Politics; Society
KEYWORDS: palin; palin2012; wilson
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1 posted on 07/09/2009 10:34:48 AM PDT by SolidWood
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To: SolidWood

Sarah Palin is by far the GOP front runner for 2012. Elite Republicans and Democrats are just engaging in wishful thinking circle jerks.


2 posted on 07/09/2009 10:38:28 AM PDT by Always Right (Obama: more arrogant than Bill Clinton, more naive than Jimmy Carter, and more liberal than LBJ.)
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To: SolidWood

I’m voting for her whether she runs or not. I think we should all do the same. A genuine draft.


3 posted on 07/09/2009 10:47:27 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

If she doesn’t run she doesn’t deserve a vote. But I think her intention is to run, to do the campaign right, and to win.


4 posted on 07/09/2009 10:49:56 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: Abbeville Conservative; sleepwalker; Roses0508; feedback doctor; LibLieSlayer; ...

Palin PING!

Anyone on or off the Palin ping, write me.

5 posted on 07/09/2009 10:50:33 AM PDT by SolidWood (Sarah Palin: "Only dead fish go with the flow!")
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To: SolidWood
Wilson forgot to include the most important item.

Sarah campaigning for House and Senate candidates for 2010, builds a strong base of support for her run at 2012.

6 posted on 07/09/2009 10:53:52 AM PDT by Pistolshot (Brevity: Saying a lot, while saying very little.)
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To: SolidWood

Even if she decides not to run for elected office again, she can do a great deal to help re-build the GOP into a conservative party.


7 posted on 07/09/2009 10:59:46 AM PDT by FreeSouthernAmerican (All we ask is to be let alone----Jefferson Davis)
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To: SolidWood
big brown Bear Pictures, Images and Photos

Amazing how state GOP's are fighting for her endorsement while the Beltway GOP snears.

Look out, she's coming south.

8 posted on 07/09/2009 10:59:56 AM PDT by Snickering Hound
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To: SolidWood
the media, safe in their elite and very well-paid lives, is missing the basic blue-collar story here.

Bang on the money! Let's not forget that it's the east coast blue bloods, ivy league elites and country clubbers that brought us TARP, the stimulus bill, economic gloom and doom, 9.5% unemployment and on and on.

It's time working class America turned off the tv, got off the sofa and told our ruling class where to get off.

9 posted on 07/09/2009 11:03:24 AM PDT by Valpal1 (Always be prepared to make that difference.)
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To: SolidWood

I’ve asked three people I know locally who follow politics, more or less (all three are pretty liberal) and they unanimously nodded solemnly and announced that Palin’s political career was over. I asked all three the same question - “On what basis do you say that?” Absolute silence. The true answer is that they’re saying that because everyone else is saying it. Media echo effect. Ignore it.


10 posted on 07/09/2009 11:05:19 AM PDT by Billthedrill
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To: SolidWood; rintense
You posted my NEW most favorite Palin picture earlier....

Sarah takes the road least traveled!

11 posted on 07/09/2009 11:10:11 AM PDT by hoosiermama (ONLY DEAD FISH GO WITH THE FLOW.......I am swimming with Sarahcudah! Sarah has read the tealeaves.)
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To: SolidWood

I pretty much agree with this writer right down the line.


12 posted on 07/09/2009 11:12:11 AM PDT by upsdriver
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To: SolidWood

She ain’t even close to being dead. Right now she’s the only superstar they have now. Though our buddy DeMint is moving on up.


13 posted on 07/09/2009 11:17:51 AM PDT by pissant (THE Conservative party: www.falconparty.com)
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To: SolidWood

Sarah Palin is the GOP frontrunner and she isn’t even running yet.


14 posted on 07/09/2009 11:36:07 AM PDT by Uncle Chip (TRUTH : Ignore it. Deride it. Allegorize it. Interpret it. But you can't ESCAPE it.)
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To: FreeSouthernAmerican

“Even if she decides not to run for elected office again, she can do a great deal to help re-build the GOP into a conservative party.”


Agreed.


15 posted on 07/09/2009 11:40:59 AM PDT by Barney59 ("Amen")
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To: SolidWood
My throat constricts and my neck hairs go berserk when I read:

"The two other major known contenders-Romney and Huckabee-are already on the road doing GOP events around the country"

Palin is so head and shoulders above those hacks but the GOP still seeks to repeat past errors.

16 posted on 07/09/2009 11:41:30 AM PDT by norton
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To: Snickering Hound

What a beautiful picture. Riveting. And very powerful.


17 posted on 07/09/2009 11:41:45 AM PDT by Republic ( Uhbama has sleezed his way through life.)
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To: Republic

I’d like a high-resolution version of the photo. It’s really beautiful.


18 posted on 07/09/2009 11:43:31 AM PDT by SolidWood (Sarah Palin: "Only dead fish go with the flow!")
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To: Snickering Hound

Set that as my desktop background! Love that picture, reminds me of Sarah’s love for her State, our country, and reminds me of her power and willingness to walk into the fray.


19 posted on 07/09/2009 11:43:32 AM PDT by Republic ( Uhbama has sleezed his way through life.)
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To: SolidWood

I would too!


20 posted on 07/09/2009 11:49:50 AM PDT by plsjr (<>< ... reality always gets the last vote.)
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