What's not to love?
The push to build data centers omits the lead time to stand up power, water, heat mitigation, sound mitigation, networking and actual server frames. The GPU/RAM/NVMe storage has been hoarded ahead of the build out. Much of that hardware will be aging out technically before it is ever powered on to generate revenue. The data center is technically obsolete before it can go online.
Im already bored with it. I don’t think its going to be what is being hyped.
Here’s an idea... Go back to school and get a plumbing certificate, or an electrician’s certificate, or an HVAC certificate, learn how to lay a floor, or become a masonry worker... These are the jobs that will still be there in the future.
If you work with computers or as an office clerk... You’re looking at an unemployment line that will only get longer and longer.
Bflr.
I think Elon will keep Grok free far longer than the others. Its part of his brand. What I fear is Grok being overloaded by hundreds of millions of Hindus and other 3rd world clown acts.
All that AI slop that has in invaded You Tube? Half comes from India as they try to make a few bucks a day from it. They use free online AI tools. But they can build an AI computer that can churn You-Tube slop locally. About $2000.
bfl
Accept AI for what it is becoming: The World’s Greatest Excuse!
Not only will it be the excuse for Execs to lay off thousands, it will be the excuse for every late transaction, every fowled up shipment, probably every late homework assignment.
“AI did it. The AI didn’t ship your product. The AI lost your transaction.”
Mark my words.
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Real AI will need to run without electrical power plants and be based on a biological matter otherwise it will always be dependent.
Let them build as many as they want, however, the must be powered by green energy and can only used recycled water.
...The key variable is whether AI becomes a true profit engine or remains a subsidised cost centre dressed up in a hoodie and a TED talk....
Sounds like the perfect new toy for gubmints big and small
low cost energy
https://tae.com/tae-technologies-ukaea-advance-development-of-core-fusion-technology/
We’re not there yet
So where does quantum computing fit within these scenarios? It doesn’t look like it’s there at all.
AI is exactly the dot com bubble repeating. I’ve been in this movie before.
Pets.com flopped, markets went down something like 50% etc.
Did that mean the internet was a pipe dream?
No.
It meant that the market got overheated on an idea and companies that had no profitable operating model … yet.
So we’ll have our AI bust, AND AI is with us forever as a valuable new branch of human endeavor.
I just took a year’s worth of cash to the sidelines to help mitigate that inevitable, but unknowable as to timing, crash.
This is a generally excellent and far sighted article. Thanks for posting.
FTA: The boardroom shifts from “infinite logarithmic growth” to “focus only on what’s profitable.”
Most people use “exponential” incorrectly, using it when they should say “rapidly increasing”.
But I don’t remember anyone saying “logarithmic” when they (probably) mean “exponential”. Unless the author really meant growth that starts out rapid and then flattens to almost no growth.
It feels like we're in the same position now, with AI.
Every token represents electricity. Something your average developer, product manager, user, or investor gives precisely zero thought to.
A lightbulb represents electricity. So does a TV remote, a hairdryer and a washing machine. All add value and save us time or entertain us. Why are we suddenly concerned with electricity consumption when it comes to computing?
No one gets the same sense of doom and gloom when they update a Facebook post, sends a text message or makes a phone call...why only when we use an AI prompt?