Posted on 01/07/2026 6:34:37 AM PST by Red Badger
The success of a lightning-fast raid on Caracas raises new doubts about Chinese military capabilities, a military analyst said.
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U.S. forces stormed into Venezuela before dawn on Jan. 3 and captured Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, in a lightning operation that punched in and out of Caracas before its air defenses could mount an effective response.
The operation resulted in no U.S. fatalities and no loss of U.S. military equipment, U.S. officials said.
The U.S. mission—code-named Operation Absolute Resolve—has quickly become more than a political shockwave. Analysts have said it was also a real-world test of U.S. military power against a country that has spent years buying Chinese- and Russian-made air-defense systems and showcasing them as proof that it could deter Washington.
The raid raised uncomfortable questions for Beijing about the limits of the Chinese-supplied systems that Venezuela has leaned on—especially “anti-stealth” radar that China advertised as capable of spotting and stopping U.S. stealth aircraft, a military analyst said.
The analyst told The Epoch Times that the most damaging takeaway for China isn’t the failure of a single piece of equipment—it’s what the operation suggested about deeper weaknesses: corruption in China’s defense industry and lack of reliability of the technology and command structure meant to tie those systems together.
“A system built to look modern on paper and intimidating in propaganda falls apart under the demands of real combat,” said Yu Tsung-chi, a retired major general from Taiwan and former president of the Political Warfare College at Taiwan’s National Defense University.
He said Beijing’s performance claims often lean more on messaging than combat validation.
China condemned the capture of Maduro and accused Washington of acting as a “world judge,” in a blunt response that underscored how closely Beijing saw the fallout tied to its influence and credibility in Latin America. Operation Measured in Hours President Donald Trump ordered the operation at 10:46 p.m. ET on Jan. 2, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Dan Caine said. Aircraft launched from about 20 land and sea bases across the Western Hemisphere, and the helicopter force approached Venezuela at roughly 100 feet above the water to maintain the element of surprise.
Within five hours, by 3:29 a.m. ET, U.S. forces had Maduro and Flores aboard the USS Iwo Jima, an amphibious assault ship. They were then flown to the United States.
This illustration depicts Caracas and the states in which the Venezuelan regime said U.S. military strikes occurred before the capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro and his wife on Jan. 3, 2025. Anika Arora Seth, Phil Holm via AP
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U.S. officials said the operation involved more than 150 aircraft along with integrated electronic attack and nonkinetic effects from U.S. Cyber Command, Space Command, and other assets to suppress Venezuelan defenses and clear a path for the helicopters.
Briefings described a layered effects approach: bombers, fighters, surveillance and reconnaissance aircraft, electronic warfare jets, and drones overhead; space and cyber support to disrupt Venezuelan systems; and strikes intended to dismantle and disable air defenses as helicopters closed on Caracas.
According to officials, aircraft used in the operation included B-1B bombers, F-22 Raptors, F-35 Lightning II fighters, EA-18G Growler electronic attack jets, E-2 Hawkeye early warning aircraft, and numerous drones alongside transport and helicopter assets.
China’s Systems
For years, Venezuela has spent heavily on Chinese and Russian equipment while claiming that it was building one of the region’s most modern defense systems.
In recent months, reports have highlighted Venezuela’s installation of Chinese-made JY-27A radar units, marketed as able to detect “low-observable” aircraft—exactly the kind of system meant to complicate U.S. operations involving stealth platforms.
That promise did not hold on Jan. 3.
Yu said neither Chinese nor Russian air-defense systems “made the slightest bit of difference” once the United States brought real-time intelligence, electronic warfare, and precision weapons to bear.
The real contest, he said, wasn’t just radar range or missile specs, but a fast chain of detection, communications, decision-making, and joint execution—exactly where weaker militaries tend to break.
Beyond radar, Venezuela has also displayed and fielded Chinese-made ground systems that Beijing has marketed abroad—from VN-16 amphibious assault vehicles and VN-18 infantry fighting vehicles to Chinese rocket artillery systems.
Venezuelan parades in recent years have showcased those platforms as symbols of a growing partnership and a tougher military posture.
But Yu said glossy displays don’t matter much if the wider network—sensors, communications, command, training, and logistics—can’t hold up under pressure.
Parades Versus Combat Reality
Yu said the U.S. raid on Caracas exposed the limits of China’s propaganda-first military culture—one that rewards polished demonstrations more than hard, repeated combat validation.
He said the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) has not fought a major war since 1979, and it studies foreign conflicts in part because it lacks large-scale, recent battlefield feedback of its own.
“You can look perfectly aligned and advanced on a parade ground,” Yu said, “but without real combat to back it up, it’s all just stage effects.”
The U.S. operation in Venezuela, he said, hit Beijing especially hard because the communist regime has spent years promoting its weapons and integrated combat systems as “world-leading,” using high-profile showcases—such as the much-hyped military parade in September 2025—to project confidence at home and deterrence abroad.
In that vein, Yu said, “anti-stealth” detection is a headline capability meant to signal that China can threaten U.S. airpower. But what happened in Caracas cut straight through that messaging.
Yu also pointed to reports that a Chinese delegation visited Venezuela just hours before Maduro’s capture, further spotlighting how closely Beijing and Caracas have aligned.
Corruption, Command Liabilities
Yu said corruption and “black-box” decision-making have weakened Chinese military readiness, partly because bad news gets filtered upward and procurement incentives reward appearances. He pointed to recent corruption probes in China’s military-industrial complex and scandals that have raised questions about quality control and readiness.
In a closed system, he said, procurement decisions often happen behind doors, with limited independent oversight and strong incentives to hide failure.
Beijing’s “military-civil fusion” model can intensify those risks, Yu said. Profit-driven contractors pay bribes to obtain contracts, substitute inferior components, and still meet paperwork requirements as long as money moves and reporting looks clean.
Even if individual platforms are capable, he said, the system around them—maintenance, training realism, logistics honesty—can be hollowed out.
He contrasted that with what he described as Washington’s preference for letting battlefield results speak louder than slogans.
Yu also said integration and command speed often decide outcomes faster than platform specs.
The U.S. advantage, he said, is not just technology—it’s integration and delegation. Once a mission is approved, U.S. operations are designed to push authority downward, giving frontline commanders room to adjust in seconds.
China’s command system, he said, is the opposite: rigidly centralized and politically constrained.
“No matter how advanced the equipment,” Yu said, “it still has to wait for orders from the highest authority.”
Centralization is a built-in lag, he said, which is costly in a fight in which delays are punished instantly.
Yu said he believes that Washington’s decision to capture Maduro was meant to send a message well beyond Caracas: to Beijing, to pro-China and anti-U.S. governments, such as Cuba and Iran, and to other Latin American capitals weighing closer ties with China.
He framed the move as a hard-edged application of the Monroe Doctrine under Trump’s second-term national security approach—prioritizing U.S. security in the Western Hemisphere and working to block Beijing-aligned influence from taking root further in Central and South America.
“Venezuela may only be the first domino,” Yu said. “Pro-Beijing regimes across Latin America will face growing pressure to choose sides.”
Cheng Mulan and Luo Ya contributed to this report.
Absolutely 100%. There are many militaries around the world that lack that excellence in their non-commissioned officer corps.
I have always admired the USMC in particular for their strength in this aspect. Other branches also have excellence, but I view the USMC as being a step above.
As always, a remarkable assessment.
Coming from you, that is meaningful-thank you!
The Cubans were pulling a train on Mrs. Maduro...
RL, see my post # 42.
Everything ISN'T unknown. We had a mission to get Maduro and we did it. You and I were both military and know we put our lives on the line as long as we're in uniform.
We didn't lose anyone.
Too many people are seeing this operation from the lens of a military operation, and it was, but not the kind we're used to.
We got the target, and we didn't get any of ours killed and no aircraft/vessels lost.
Winning is its own validation.
Whether a combination of superior tactics, strategy, having a precise and limited target, doctrine on operations, use of technology, combined arms, training, etc. We completed the mission.
Losing nobody is pure joy to me.
What will follow? Nobody knows.
If I can predict, however, I believe to the top dogs don't want to die or be captured. Can we do it again?
They MUST fear so. Remains to be seen whether their courage will prevail over their brains and fears.
No matter what happens in Venezuela, what we pulled off is admirable to any but the most biased minds. China does have something to consider.
Just wait until the Chicoms roll out their latest version of their hypersonic Tapeworm missile. The press will lap it up
For us in our armchairs, yes. To analysts and engineers with a radar in their possession, not so much. They will know exactly how good (or not) it is, unless we blew them all up.
Oh, I get it, and agree with those specifics you laid out!
Excellent!
I was looking at it from a somewhat focused perspective on the military hardware itself, and the use of it.
I completely admire what they were able to accomplish and how they did it…😃
I agree…here’s to hoping they DIDN’T blow them all up!
Things look good on paper but the true test is when someone is shooting at you with intent. Or as Mike Tyson wisely observed everybody has a plan until they get punched in the mouth.
That is exactly true. And that is when you make “adjustments“.
And hope at the same time, that you have enough time to make adjustments.
When we got our asses kicked in the Battle of Savo Island in 1942, we made a lot of adjustments after that, but the fight for Guadalcanal hung in the balance, and there was much wondering about whether we would have enough time to have those adjustments take affect and save the campaign.
- Cuba's Air Defense Minister
Nice!
They are partly responsible for Panda Express restaurants.
😁😁😁😁
It was good news but remember equipment sold/given to third world parties often lack full capabilities in case they are captured.
Yep. Good example was the Spanish Civil War where European weapons were given real trials. The future combatants learned much. However not everyone adapted or adjusted. Japanese infantry tactics never evolved until very late in the war. By then their best troops had been slaughtered. Lets just hope that neither China nor America puts their militaries ( mostly young brave men) to another ghastly test.
I think, to a certain extent, winning at war really comes down to Napoleon’s adage of Audacity.
The military we had on Saturday was the same as a year ago on Saturday, but the difference was who was in charge and what they were willing to undertake.
Trump doesn’t take every chance, but he takes a lot more than other presidents we’ve had in this lifetime.
He’s been working on this issue for months, slowly turning the screws tighter and tighter. He didn’t give them a single sop to avoid what happened.
In my opinion, that was masterful.
So much wrong with what you just wrote, Turkey buying 400’s and the US disapproving in no way shape or form leads to any logical presumption of the effectiveness of the weapon system.
There are so many other possibilities as to make your “why else” statement and joke of an assertion.
Just the idea alone of Turkey playing both sides and supporting Russia is enough of a reason.
No evidence.
My belief is that it will take a substantial effort to take out the damn to the point that it fails.
WSJ had an article that mentioned Jane’s Defence saying that Venezuela had older Chinese systems.
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