Posted on 10/27/2024 1:19:34 PM PDT by simpson96
Not only have polls and prediction markets tilted recently toward Donald Trump winning the presidential election, they are also pointing to Republicans flipping the Senate and retaining control of the House.
A GOP sweep would give Trump a freer hand to enact his agenda. While U.S. presidents have broad authority on immigration and tariffs, changes to tax and spending policies would require congressional approval.
The latest polling analysis from 538 gave Trump a 53-in-100 chance of winning the election versus 47 out of 100 for Kamala Harris. It also gave Republicans an 87-in-100 chance of taking the Senate majority away from Democrats and a 53-in-100 chance of holding the House.
Prediction markets are showing similar odds for Congress and wider odds for the White House. According to Kalshi, Trump has a 62% chance of winning the presidential election, with the GOP’s odds of winning the Senate and House at 85% and 52%, respectively.
Meanwhile, the new IBKR Forecast Trader from Interactive Brokers puts Trump’s odds of victory at 63%, while Democrats have just 13% odds of holding the Senate and 48% of flipping the House.
That’s a sharp reversal of fortune from the summer, when Kamala Harris and Democrats were riding a wave of enthusiasm after she took over the top of the ticket from President Joe Biden. Top pollster Frank Luntz attributed the loss of momentum to her campaign’s shift in strategy toward a more anti-Trump message and away from a pro-Harris one.
(Excerpt) Read more at fortune.com ...
I hope and pray so.
However, prepare for the “mostly peaceful” reaction by the left.
Red Wave!
Sound familiar?
Pray and vote!!! A sweep would be amazing!!!
I hope and pray that this proves true.
Trump’s first action is to fire that’s FIRE ALL of the PUTRID WOKE GENERALS.
Firing squad optional, but very desirable.
Not even remotely close to kidding.
We need moral and trustworthy leaders in the Pentagon.
With 2 vote fraud cases already known this election, I am wondering if the whole presidential race is just to distract from strealing the house.
Way easier to steal a handful or two of congressional seats than a presidential election.
If you play around with the map at 270towin and give the tossup states to the leaders, Kamala could win with Pennsylvania. Do... not... relax.
3 senate races. Penn/Wis./Ohio. That’s all we can hope for. Az. and Mi. looks out of reach. We can hope.
We’ve already got Wv. & Mt. but 51 really doesn’t do much and you all know why.
Assume nothing. Vote like your life depends on it. It does.
Everyone needs to vote. Stories about a Red Wave are usually designed to suppress lazy Republican voters. Don’t believe it and make sure you vote like your freedom depends on it.
oh man not again. The red wave in the bag. Hillary is going to jail drain the swamp Rudy has the receipts. Q has posted another quatrain can we please just vote and hope for the best. The dems are going to cheat like demons. Literally demons. Good luck to us all.
However, prepare for the “mostly peaceful” reaction by the left.
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You’re right about that, Da Coyote. Good to see you.
If we are blessed enough to have the White House, House, and Senate for four years, gotta make hay while the sun shines. Pack as much meaningful enduring legislation as humanly possible in to those four years.
“prepare for the “mostly peaceful” reaction by the left.”
Yep, they will call out their “Resist” army for four long years of “mostly peaceful” reaction.
If the Republicans were smart they would lock Linda Graham in a padded cell between now and the election.
Then we should be fine.
:-)
I will be VERY unhappy if the GOP-controlled House and the GOP-controlled Senate work to make sure that President Trump is unable to accomplish much.
If, on the other hand, they do make hay while the sun shines, we could open up a whole new era for this country.
There is a massive set of DJT coattails going to sweep several senators and US Reps over the finish line. Keep your eyes on the fake news media on election night and the next few days after.
Their glum will be my joy!
Wrong. Mike Rogers has a great shot at winning. DJT is going to take Michigan and drag Rogers across the finish line with his massive coattails. If he loses, it will be by a whisker.
His campaign has nine days to shave that whisker.
Release the kraken.
This is no Red Wave. This is DJT fighting his way over the finish line in first place with several reps and senators riding on his back.
This is massive enthusiasm and turn out for DJT carrying others to victory.
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