Posted on 08/20/2024 8:07:14 PM PDT by lasereye
I just learned of the existence of this betting platform. The current election odds there are Trump 52% Harris 47%.
Per Wikipedia:
Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform that allows users to place bets on world events. Users buy and sell shares using cryptocurrency to bet on the likelihood of future events taking place.
Founded in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, Polymarket is an online prediction market platform that would allow users to trade on the outcome of world events.
In June 2023, Mother Jones reported that interest around the company had increased after a tweet about the outcome of the Titan submersible went viral; the premise of the bet was whether or not the submersible would be found by a certain date, rather than a wager on the fate of the passengers. Polymarket had over 60 markets available at the time of the submersible wager, including the outcome of the Guatemalan presidential election and the likelihood of Twitter suing Meta, and the likelihood that Russia would use nuclear force.
In 2024, the outcome of U.S. elections became the most active market on the platform, with over $508 million (as of August 6, 2024) wagered on the presidential race between the Republican candidate Donald Trump and Democratic candidate Kamala Harris. Nate Silver, founder of polling analysis firm FiveThirtyEight, became an advisor to Polymarket in 2024.
We’ll know something good is finally happening if someone overhears:
Alexander, Jonathan, Robert and Gregory Soros to Dad:
“You’re really betting all that money on Trump to win?”
George Soros: “Always bet with your mind, not with your heart.”
I like the way you think.
It cheers me up. Deep down I know Trump will finish ahead but he has to be far enough ahead to get out of the margin of cheating.
McCain was ahead in 2008 before major events like the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy happened. Undecided voters decided to blame these things on Republicans.
In such a SERIOUS TIME, Women ONLY CARE ABOUT MORE DEAD BABIES!!
We will see if this is genuine or a tact by RFK JR to get some concessions from DNC
The hypocrisy of the dems shows no bounds
They cry “joy” while screaming and spewing hate
They claim walls don’t work while surrounding their convention with walls
They say the police are the problem and must be defunded, but have them in force to protect them
They scream right wing nut jobs and white supremacist yet who is protesting outside their convention
But then we all know this, the media will portray it as “mostly peaceful” and blame Trump….
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