Posted on 06/06/2024 2:40:12 PM PDT by Signalman
Trump: 345 EVs Biden: 193 EVs
As much as is love to see it, and as much as I think Trump could get that many in a legitimate election, we’re not about to have a legitimate election, any more than we had one in 2020.
See, that’s the thing. If it’s rigged and fixed, it doesn’t matter the number of votes needed to defeat Trump. There will always be enough votes to defeat him.
I like it: include the Donald’s historical overperforming vis a vis the polls.
Here’s my question: In 2016, Trump overperformed the polls by 1.1 points, and in 2020, by 2.7 points. Big increase!
What is the point of the exercise? By definition, it is what if the polling bias this year is similar to what it was four years ago? The answer gives us an idea of how big Trump’s victory can be this year.
Let me pose a different hypothetical: what is there is no polling bias this year AND the Democrats stuff the ballot by 1 point? Does Trump still win? I think Trump still wins (crucially we win Pennsylvania, but fall short by less than 1 point in Michigan and Wisconsin). That, in this alternate scenario, we win but just barely should motivate us to continue to pursue election integrity across the country.
So, we have at least two jobs: one is immediate, this year’s election, and the other is long-term, and this other job is election integrity.
You’re probably right.
Please tell me you didn’t vote for Hillary in 2016. Being in Arkansas you knew better.
U of A Fayetteville alumni here.
I wouldn’t have voted for Hitlery with a gun to my head! We had several “other” candidates on the ballot!
This is not your father’s RNC. They’re all over PA and it shows. Not a single poll in the last month showing Biden in the lead in his home state. If Trump wins PA and GA, that’s it, bye-bye Brandon. That plus the fact that Trump overperforms in polls. Shy Trump voters are probably even more shy after the sham indictments. There is every reason to be optimistic. Done with the black pillers. Let’s F-in GO!
Remember the NJ Senate race that was going to be a slam dunk for the GOP?
These people fight for power every day and won’t give it up.
If they have to throw Biden under the bus, they will.
Is that the Gross Vote?
The totals before they deduct double-counts, illegals, dead, and manufactured dump voting?
Are you a member of the Romney, Rubio, McCain supporters club?
Red Wave!
Not gonna happen.
thank you, yes.
plus, Republican registration is up big time in the Keystone State.
“When you are going through hell, keep going” W. Churchill
“I cAn’T vOtE fOr A cOnViCtEd FeLoN!!1!”
Nowadays when I see EV I think “Electric Vehicle” before I think “Electoral College.”
So Trump gets 345 Teslas to Biden’s 193 Teslas.
Sorry. That is ridiculous.
There is NO chance that Trump can score a Popular Vote land slide.
In the last EIGHT presidential elections, only one Republican candidate has received more than 50% of the Popular Vote.
In 2004 - George W. Bush received 50.7%
The problem for Trump?
In 2024, at least one third of voters will be non-white.
Since 1980, non-whites have voted 70%-80% Democrat.
That’s why the deep state is going to kick it into plan B and eliminate him from the race.
Would that surprise anybody?
Arkansans finally woke up to the real Clintons; DE still idolizes the Bidens.
Yeah, let me know in November after this red wave appears.
This is correct.
HOWEVER - my analysis of 2020 is that they pumped up the vote counts in the states they tightly control in order to pump up the final TOTAL vote count across the United States.
Three examples are Maryland, Massachusetts and Connecticut.
Obama 2008 McCain total 2008 JoeTatoe Trump total 2020 Connecticut 61% 997,772 38% 629,428 1,646,797 Conn. 59% 1,080,831 39% 714,717 1,823,857 Maryland 62% 1,629,467 36% 959,862 2,631,596 Md. 65% 1,985,023 32% 976,414 3,037,030 Massachusetts 62% 1,904,097 36% 1,108,854 3,080,985 Mass. 66% 2,382,202 32% 1,167,202 3,631,402
We're expected to believe that The Basement Tater handily stomped the 2008 turnout of The Coming of The Won in these three states.
Pull the other one.
An 83,000 increase in Connecticut, a 355,000 increase in Maryland and a 477,000 increase in Massachusetts.
Nearly 1,000,000 "votes" to tack on to The Tater's "totals".
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