I like it: include the Donald’s historical overperforming vis a vis the polls.
Here’s my question: In 2016, Trump overperformed the polls by 1.1 points, and in 2020, by 2.7 points. Big increase!
What is the point of the exercise? By definition, it is what if the polling bias this year is similar to what it was four years ago? The answer gives us an idea of how big Trump’s victory can be this year.
Let me pose a different hypothetical: what is there is no polling bias this year AND the Democrats stuff the ballot by 1 point? Does Trump still win? I think Trump still wins (crucially we win Pennsylvania, but fall short by less than 1 point in Michigan and Wisconsin). That, in this alternate scenario, we win but just barely should motivate us to continue to pursue election integrity across the country.
So, we have at least two jobs: one is immediate, this year’s election, and the other is long-term, and this other job is election integrity.
This is not your father’s RNC. They’re all over PA and it shows. Not a single poll in the last month showing Biden in the lead in his home state. If Trump wins PA and GA, that’s it, bye-bye Brandon. That plus the fact that Trump overperforms in polls. Shy Trump voters are probably even more shy after the sham indictments. There is every reason to be optimistic. Done with the black pillers. Let’s F-in GO!