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A Salmon Glut Has Sent Prices Plunging, and Economists Don’t Know When They’ll Recover
KTOO ^ | August 28, 2023 | Brian Venua

Posted on 08/29/2023 6:17:09 PM PDT by nickcarraway

Kodiak fisherman Mike Friccero has fished for salmon for over four decades. He said he was expecting a low price for Bristol Bay salmon this summer, but didn’t think rumors were true about how low it would drop.

“Our processor gave us a letter, a narrative before the season started, saying that pricing conditions weren’t great but that they were going to go after it with all the resources that they utilized last year as far as tendering and logistics and resources in general,” he said. “And they asked if we would do the same.”

It’s been a tough year for commercial salmon fishermen. Three years of huge returns in Bristol Bay created a surplus of sockeye in the market. Towards the end of the season, processors announced a base price of just 50 cents per pound – the lowest price in decades, when adjusted for inflation.

Fishermen can get bonuses for better quality, but Friccero said even with the boost, he was better off gearing up to fish for other species like halibut.

“If you’re catching 5,000 pounds and you’re thinking 80 cents, then your crew’s share might be $400,” he said. “Well that’s worth doing for folks, but once it drops into the lower figures, if you have crew that have talent, they’ve got other things they want to get over to.”

Friccero said he usually leaves shortly after the peak anyway, but he wasn’t the only one packing up before August.

The Bristol Bay base price for sockeye was one of the lowest prices for Alaskan salmon in recent history. Since then, Trident has dropped their price for chum down to just 20 cents per pound in response to massive harvests in Russia and announced they will stop buying salmon from most communities in Alaska, starting Sept. 1.

Fishermen across the state are wondering how long the low salmon prices will last. Some are even considering selling their boats.

Gunnar Knapp is an economist who specializes in the state’s fisheries. He said for the sake of both fishermen and processors, he hopes that this is just a one-year blip instead of the beginning of a long term pattern.

“To get the lowest price you’ve ever gotten while you’re working just as hard as you ever did, and other expenses like fuel have gone up – it puts fishermen in a really tough position,” Knapp said. “I think processors would also say that they’re in a really tough position and their companies are on the line.”

Knapp was visiting family in Maryland when he saw in retail stores that wild caught seafood is now selling for the same price as farmed fish. He said he’s not surprised but still disappointed knowing the amount of work processors and fishermen do to produce high quality products.

“I was in a local Costco yesterday, and I saw in that Costco, farmed Atlantic filets from Chile and farmed Atalntic filets from Norway and wild Alaska sockeye all selling for $10.99 a pound,” he said.

The Alaska Seafood Marketing Institute is funded by the State Legislature to stir demand for Alaskan products. Greg Smith, the institute’s communications director, said there just isn’t enough demand to keep up with the glut of fish.

“There’s difficult issues in the global marketplace – inflation, increased cost of living, shipping costs, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, so there are just significant challenges,” he said.

Fishermen started the season with some processors still holding frozen product from last year’s harvest.

The seafood marketing institute received an extra $5 million in funding this year to better compete in global markets. But even with extra funding, staff are unsure if their short-term efforts like retail displays and working with food writers will help much. Smith said one of the institute’s bigger projects is investing in new markets across the globe.

“We’re focusing on emerging markets, Latin America, parts of Africa, we’re doing some things in Israel but it is just really trying to build off the strength of the brand,” Smith said.

Smith said they’ve had some success with retail and restaurants, and even worked with the U.S. Department of Agriculture to include salmon in purchases for school lunches and food banks. Alaska’s senators also brought the ranking member of the Senate Agriculture committee to Kodiak to make the case that fishermen should be included in the upcoming farm bill.

Friccero said with lower salmon prices, he’s able to keep a decent paycheck but will have to be wary of his budget for next year. He said he hopes market conditions improve over the winter.

The low prices this year has pushed several fishermen to call for better transparency from processors. Friccero said a guaranteed minimum price would be the best possible starting point to build more trust.

“Looking for transparency, anything would improve it right – because there’s almost none,” he said. “That doesn’t necessarily mean that we’re being mistreated in any way, it’s just very hard to have a conversation with no information.”

Regardless, Friccero said he’ll be back to fish more next year.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Food; Local News
KEYWORDS: alaska; fish; fishing; food; salmon; stockup
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To: Don W

Pink or Humpie is the cheapest salmon, followed by Chum. Only Huppies are caught with a seine, all others by gillnet or hook.

King salmon are preferred over Sockeye by most, as they are richer in flavor. Sockeye are more plentiful and therefore less expensive; Reds are also easier to handle being only 5.2 lb on average, while Kings can be up to 50 lbs.

Smoked Coho is usually considered better then other smoked salmon varieties. Lightly smoked King Lox, is preferred for a a morning snack with a fresh bagel and cream cheese.


81 posted on 08/30/2023 4:11:26 AM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: PIF

The problem I mention is everyone in between the fishermen and the retail end consumer. They are both getting shafted by the price gouging middlemen. It is the same in the Beef business. It is the same with most products now. The middlemen are not satisfied with a “fair” mark up, they want 200% mark up in between. The problem is people who are stupid enough to pay these prices rather than boycott that unreasonable markup.

In the old days suppliers would openly share their cost prices so that the end consumer could see that they were actually getting a “fair markup price”.


82 posted on 08/30/2023 5:17:32 AM PDT by Openurmind (The ultimate test of a moral society is the kind of world it leaves to its children. ~ D. Bonhoeffer)
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To: DaiHuy

“Yet it is $9.00 lb in the grocery store and more at the local fish markets.”

$16 a pound at retail stores. If this isn’t price gouging then what is?


83 posted on 08/30/2023 5:19:44 AM PDT by Openurmind (The ultimate test of a moral society is the kind of world it leaves to its children. ~ D. Bonhoeffer)
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To: dfwgator
Gets harder to find wild-caught salmon as opposed to farm-raised.

The story sounds like an Alaska story but the glut is likely due to the salmon farms thousands of miles South of Alaska in Chile. That and genetically modified salmon that grow twice as fast. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AquAdvantage_salmon

You'll see Chile farm raised salmon labeled as Atlantic Salmon and technically, that's true.

84 posted on 08/30/2023 5:22:14 AM PDT by Pollard (The US government has US citizens as political prisoners!)
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To: verum ago

So how does the fisherman know that the “wild” fish they caught was raised in a hatchery?

L


85 posted on 08/30/2023 5:29:33 AM PDT by Lurker ( Peaceful coexistence with the Left is not possible. Stop pretending that it is.)
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To: nickcarraway

I’ve been getting smoked salmon for breakfast.


86 posted on 08/30/2023 5:32:25 AM PDT by AppyPappy (Biden told Al Roker "America is back". Unfortunately, he meant back to the 1970's)
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To: Paul R.

I believe the US, I’ll have to ask when I am in the store next. If the label said anything I don’t have it anymore.


87 posted on 08/30/2023 5:38:51 AM PDT by MomwithHope (Forever grateful to all our patriots, past, present and future, and a Humblegunner posse member.)
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To: nickcarraway

Considering that Copper River salmon reached a peak of over $45/lb, it needs to come down.


88 posted on 08/30/2023 5:40:24 AM PDT by CodeToad (No Arm up! They have!)
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To: Don W

Ive long believed that the US, and apparently now Canada, should have blocked immigration from the homeland of the Some.

Some people come here and develop a number of bizarre beliefs that occasionally infect society and eventually as time goes on we all have to suffer because of the actions and beliefs of Some stupid peoples children.


89 posted on 08/30/2023 5:49:41 AM PDT by gnarledmaw (Hive minded liberals worship leaders, sovereign conservatives elect servants.)
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To: BobL
I haven't seen much decrease in wild Alaskan salmon.

The farm raised salmon seems to have dropped but I won't eat it farmed.

It seems the supermarket retailers are keeping wild caught high because they know that people who prefer wild caught tend to be affluent and can thus afford the higher prices.

90 posted on 08/30/2023 5:54:26 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (6,390,901 Truth | 86,874,940 Twitter)
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To: SamAdams76

Which is the point, sellers set the price at what they think enough people will be willing to pay for it. Has nothing to do with the costs of production and distribution.


91 posted on 08/30/2023 5:57:21 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: PIF

I don’t know where you got your information, but having lived on the west coast for a lot longer than anywhere else, my experiences and information differ. A lot.

Taste-wise, bluebacks (that year’s coho, just a little past the smelt stage at 6-8”) are absolutely the very best, then sockeye and chinook, which are very close and both are tops, closely followed by adult coho and pink.

There is a reason chum/keta is called dog salmon. Their flavor is not that pleasant, which is why they are normally used as animal feed, starting long before the settlers came.

Chum *ARE* the largest harvest, however, accounting for close to one-third of the annual tonnage landed. That would explain the dollar value of that catch being higher than the imputed values of the other species.

The absolutely best spread you can make for your bagel is canned smoked salmon of any of the tasty species.


92 posted on 08/30/2023 6:21:06 AM PDT by Don W (When blacks riot, neighborhoods and cities burn. When whites riot, nations and continents burn)
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To: Paul R.

“But I stay away from ANY food sourced in China.”

So do I. It’s a smart thing to do.


93 posted on 08/30/2023 6:26:08 AM PDT by ought-six (Multiculturalism is national suicide, and political correctness is the cyanide capsule. )
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To: buridan

As usual, the commercial fisherman is the one getting the shaft. I am one. The price of fish goes down every year so the buyer and retailer can make more money. They are starving the fisherman right out of business.


94 posted on 08/30/2023 6:32:01 AM PDT by US_MilitaryRules (#PureBlood)
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To: Lurker
So how does the fisherman know that the “wild” fish they caught was raised in a hatchery?

They don't necessarily know. The whole point of releasing months-old salmon fry and smolts into the wild to mature on a wild diet- as opposed to raising them to marketable size in a fish farm- is that they're indistinguishable from truly wild fish (they put on >99% of their body weight on wild food sources) from a consumer standpoint. Most of the fish my association releases weigh about as much as a penny at release. The rest of their adult body mass comes from foraging in the wild.

Coho and Chinook are generally tagged by the hatcheries prior to release, but not at a 100% rate. Tagged fish usually get an adipose fin clip, so they are visually distinguishable. Pinks, chum, and sockeye are generally 100% otolith marked- temperatures are manipulated when they're still in the incubators to lay down dark and light bands in their otoliths (ear bones). Those fish can only be identified by cutting the otoliths out of their spine after harvest and examining them under a microscope.

The marking is especially important because the salmon hatcheries up here are actually run by private non-profits (PNPs), not the state. In addition to direct cost-recovery harvests, our funding comes from an ex-vessel tax on the fisherman that's based on how many hatchery-origin fish they caught, thus a lot of fish get sampled at the processing plants to determine their origin. It's a very different system than the state-run hatcheries prevalent in the lower 48. Basically the commercial fishermen banded together to create the PNP hatchery associations in the 1970s after over-harvest of wild fish almost destroyed their livelihoods. So now we supplement wild runs with hatchery fish, which both allows more sustained harvest and helps protect the wild runs from being wiped out. And it's funded by the fishermen themselves.
95 posted on 08/30/2023 6:54:46 AM PDT by verum ago (I figure some people must truly be in love, for only love can be so blind.)
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To: Lurker

Hatchery fish usually have their adipose fin clipped.


96 posted on 08/30/2023 7:55:53 AM PDT by Don W (When blacks riot, neighborhoods and cities burn. When whites riot, nations and continents burn)
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To: nickcarraway

Thought it was Chinook, but I’m not sure.


97 posted on 08/30/2023 8:00:24 AM PDT by buridan
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To: verum ago

Thanks for the detailed explanation.

Best,

L


98 posted on 08/30/2023 8:17:01 AM PDT by Lurker ( Peaceful coexistence with the Left is not possible. Stop pretending that it is.)
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To: Openurmind

Marijuana wins the middle-man award. They buy it from growers for $35 an oz and sell it retail for $250 an oz. Reason: It’s against the law for growers to sell directly to consumers


99 posted on 08/30/2023 8:56:40 AM PDT by AppyPappy (Biden told Al Roker "America is back". Unfortunately, he meant back to the 1970's)
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To: Paul R.

I shop at a local produce store, that they style as “farmer’s market”, but it’s actually just one business. When produce goes into over-supply they cut the price so it sells before it rots. Blueberries for 50 cents to $1 a pint, cherries for 99 cents a pound, large cucumbers for 17 cents each, are some examples. A package of 3 romaine hearts is often on sale for $1.50-$2.

In the chain supermarkets the cheapest I’ve seen cherries for is $1.99 per pound, which is also cheaper than past years.

On-sale chicken is now only slightly above pre-covid, at 99 cents a pound for thighs, 69 cents a pound for drumsticks, and $1.32 per pound for whole chickens.

Lamb chops are now 25% higher than pre-covid at $7.50 a pound, and most beef is also similarly higher. But Aldi has grass-fed 85% chopped beef on sale this week for $3.15 per pound.

Pre-covid I used to buy a 9.5 ounce can of coffee on sale for $2, and the lowest price I have seen recently is $3, which is 50% higher. I am very well stocked up at the lower price, so I will wait and see if it ever comes back.

My mama told me, you better shop around, and I do.


100 posted on 08/30/2023 10:14:15 AM PDT by devere
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