Posted on 11/01/2020 5:29:40 AM PST by Kaslin
It's all there. All the cards fell into place. Liberals and the biased and bribed mainstream media are just too blind to see it.
It's Donald Trump's win over Hillary Clinton all over again. It's George H.W. Bush overcoming a 17-point deficit to beat Michael Dukakis all over again. It's the final days of Ronald Reagan versus Jimmy Carter, when all of America broke for Reagan at the same time.
At this moment, if you're not blind, deaf or very dumb, it's clear that in these final days up to the election, a majority of American voters, certainly crucial voters in battleground states, are breaking to reelect President Trump.
It's all adding up to a Trump electoral landslide.
And I'm not just talking about tightening polls, the few polls that show Trump actually in the lead or battleground states where Trump is outperforming his numbers from his race against Clinton four years ago.
Much more importantly, I'm talking early-voting numbers. Trump is doing extraordinarily well in early voting in Florida, Nevada, Iowa, North Carolina and Arizona. Trump and Republicans are outkicking the coverage. In other words, they're kicking the Democrats' butts -- with the physical votes on Election Day still to come. And we all know Republicans rule on Election Day.
If Florida is representative of battleground states all over the country, Trump is about to win both the Florida popular vote and an electoral landslide. Democrats are panicking in Florida and all over the country.
Trafalgar Group, which ran the most accurate state-by-state poll of 2016 by factoring in the "shy Trump voters" (people afraid to tell a stranger on the phone they support Trump), shows Trump taking the lead this week in Florida, Michigan, North Carolina and Pennsylvania.
Rasmussen shows Trump's approval rating at 52%, five points better than former President Barack Obama's at this same time in 2012 when he was heading for reelection victory.
On Friday, Poll Watch came out with its electoral map, which shows a Trump landslide of 312 electoral votes to 226.
In the end, this is all you need to know ...
Trump is leading in Miami-Dade County and Palm Beach County (Democratic strongholds) in early voting. That's like winning the lottery. That's like two lightning strikes in the same spot. That's an election miracle.
Joe Biden added a Friday campaign event in Minnesota -- another ominous sign for Democrats. A Republican hasn't won Minnesota since 1972. Democrats clearly don't have Minnesota locked down. If Trump wins Minnesota, then a Ronald Reagan-Walter Mondale landslide is forming. All bets are off. Trump could run the table.
I'm not a pollster. I'm a gut-instinct guy. I'm a Las Vegas oddsmaker-turned-conservative talk-show host. And I just happen to be the media personality who predicted 2016 exactly right and has been predicting a 2020 Trump electoral landslide for months -- in the face of poll after poll showing double-digit leads for Joe Biden.
Here's what I know. Here's what my gut instinct says:
-- Nothing else matters like the poll question "Are you better off than four years ago?" Fifty-six percent of voters in one survey answered yes! That's the highest in modern history. Reagan scored 44%, and he won a 49-state landslide. Trump scored 56%.
Even more importantly, who exactly are they better off than? Common sense says they're not voting for the guy who made them feel worse (Biden) over the guy who made the feel better (Trump).
-- I know Florida is the key. If Trump wins Florida, he's in the driver's seat. And based on early-voting numbers, Florida appears to be a smashing Trump win.
-- Next in importance comes Pennsylvania. What's been happening in Pennsylvania lately? If you haven't noticed, deep-blue, Democrat-controlled Philadelphia is on fire -- rioting, looting, burning and injured cops. I guarantee the rest of Pennsylvania voters have noticed. This will push Trump over the edge in Pennsylvania. Democrats have clearly destroyed Philadelphia. Why would any sane Pennsylvanian voter want them to do the same thing to the entire country?
-- Then there's Hunter Biden's poisonous laptop. The media and social media conspired to black out any news. It didn't matter. The story got out. Did it change millions of votes? Nope. It merely changed a few key swing-state votes. That's all Trump needed.
-- Finally, I come to the infamous kill shot, the coup de grace. Just as I predicted weeks ago, the third-quarter gross domestic product was released on Friday. It showed 33.1% economic growth, the highest in America's history. It was double the highest GDP in history before this.
This is proof of the Trump economic miracle. And proof Trump has handled COVID-19 in an extraordinary way. He kept us alive and, more importantly, employed. He kept our economy alive to fight another day. He kept our businesses open. We have hope; we have opportunity; we have a future. BRAVO, President Trump.
Who'd be dumb enough to vote against that record? Thirty-three percent economic growth? Who'd be dumb enough to vote against the greatest economic growth in history? My answer is no one (except a few dumb Democrats).
Game. Set. Match. Checkmate. Trump will win a smashing electoral landslide on Tuesday.
I say President Trump gets between 325-344 - far from a squeaker - and the popular vote by at least 2%.
The Left will go ballistic at first..
But the stats will show that blacks and Hispanics left the Democrat party in droves and put Trump over the top. The fake news DNC narrative that Trump Republicans are racists will fall apart.
With a clear mandate from the people (finally), President Trump will do some swamp draining.
there is no mention in the article of the Las Vegas Odds.
The polls are fake but they are not that fake.
And you must remember that some of the vote will be fake too.
In 2016, I consistently predicted Trump would win, and it wouldnt be particularly close. This time, I am optimistic, but not 100% sure, due to all the early and mail in voting. Plus four years of preparing to cheat and delay to manufacture votes and make court challenges. Overall, I remain optimistic, hoping for a blow out so that the whining about individual states will be static, as it was last time.
All you say is true, and the media has been playing games once again with poll numbers. . . no way was Trump EVER really behind. Anyone with eyes can see that.
I think you are referring to Lichtman, “the most prominent voice predicting Donald Trump’s victory in the run-up to the 2016 election”. When Trump won, it marked the 9th(!) straight presidential election where Lichtman had correctly predicted the Electoral College winner.
Lichtman was recently debunked by political analyst Robert Barnes on this video beginning at 2:40 time point
https://youtu.be/YlFuxi7Ht4k?t=163
The video has some time lag & the interviewer loves her own voice (she speaks til 5:36 so you could skip to that time) Robert Barnes rebuttal is excellent and occupies the next 3-4 minutes.
Once Trump wins and the Repubs likely have both Houses, we NEED to completely secure the voting process. Purple ink fingers, IDs, no early voting, very limited mail-in, periodic roll purges, and so on. There won’t be a charismatic Trump candidate to overcome the Dem fraud next election if we don’t do this!
The Odds are not set by old style Oddsmakers anymore, just by weight of money. So they can be rigged easily.
We had a classic in the UK for Brexit....for that the Odds were clear to stay in, but u could tell loads of people were gonna vote leave....then the bookies announced that they had a few huge bets to stay in, but loads of small bets for out.
and each bet had 1 vote only....
The polls are fake but they are not that fake.
Are you sure? I think they are totally fake.
They are about as meaningful as guessing how many inches of rain Pittsburgh will get next April.
If a hundred weather pundits guess the weather, some will randomly guess right - for the same reason a broken clock is right twice a day.
They will all say things like 30% chance of rain so that no matter what happens, they are not wrong.
They will all update their forecasts right up until the day in question - and nobody holds them accountable for past predictions.
If you didnt have polls at all, what would you guess is going to happen?
Do you think President Trump has lost support of the people that voted for him in 2016?
Do you think he has earned any new support?
Do you think the Biden/Harris agenda is popular?
Voters usually re-elect the incumbent - they dont normally want to change horses in mid-stream - do you think 2020 is an exception?
The lying deceitful Democrats are going to get their nasty azzes kicked good.
It will be a landslide and I think Trump may win the popular vote. There I said it! ; )
>Do you think President Trump has lost support of the people that voted for him in 2016?
The ones who have died.
They have to be replaced from 18 to 21-year-olds.
You are 100% right.
The system worked for an honorable Nation but the Left/Socialist/Globalists, like Muslim, believe in taqiyya. Any lie, any cheating scheme is OK if it advances their cause.
We need a secure voting system, either using retinal scan, purple fingers or some biometric marker.
Vote on Election day and VBM only for those with bonified reasons, military service, out of state for school or job, or illness.
Thats true :-)
Not only has President Trump been nominated for FIVE Nobel Peace Prizes (unlike Barky the Wonder Muslim who was awarded one literally for "not being George W. Bush"), but our nation is so secure that he has the time to leave the Oval Office and do 14 campaign rallies all over the country in THREE DAYS.
The ones who have died.
They have to be replaced from 18 to 21-year-olds.
Actually, there are some indications that many in that age group are not thrilled with the Democrat covid shutdown doom and gloom mentality.
They like Trumps message that at some point we have have the balls to go back to school - go back to work - go back to normal life - enough of this covid shit.
Not most - but some - and it could make a difference.
This is what they were doing, even BEFORE crunch time, two weeks ago:
AZ (11 EV) : @realDonaldTrump, @LaraLeaTrump
ME ( 4 EV) : @VP
MI (16 EV) : @EricTrump, @IvankaTrump
NC (15 EV) : @realDonaldTrump, @IvankaTrump, @DonaldTrumpJr
NH ( 4 EV) : @VP, @EricTrump
NV ( 6 EV) : @LaraLeaTrump
OH (18 EV) : @VP
PA (20 EV) : @realDonaldTrump, @VP, @DonaldTrumpJr
WI (10 EV) : @IvankaTrump
9 states, 104 EV involved.
Anything digital electronic can be hacked and most likely have data backdoor access built in. Real potential of applying AI algorithms to subtly alter tallies country wide with far more reliable and plausible result.
Not to mention dye solution cheaper and quicker to implement than more costly electronic systems...geez, third world countries have been using it...RFPs tailored to specific sweet heart deal companies, little to zero chance of monitoring software coding and final implementation. Development opaque to general public. Contract $ and time bloat.
Make vote tampering civil rights violation...capitol crime that must be buried somewhere in Patriot Act provisions. Hang ‘em high in the public square
Anything digital electronic can be hacked and most likely have data backdoor access built in. Real potential of applying AI algorithms to subtly alter tallies country wide with far more reliable and plausible result.
Not to mention dye solution cheaper and quicker to implement than more costly electronic systems...geez, third world countries have been using it...RFPs tailored to specific sweet heart deal companies, little to zero chance of monitoring software coding and final implementation. Development opaque to general public. Contract $ and time bloat.
Make vote tampering civil rights violation...capitol crime that must be buried somewhere in Patriot Act provisions. Hang ‘em high in the public square
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.