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Corona Virus Daily Thread #42

Posted on 04/09/2020 9:49:35 AM PDT by Mariner

Yesterday's thread here:

http://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3833043/posts?page=1


TOPICS: Health/Medicine
KEYWORDS: 42; chinavirus; livethread
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To: amorphous

Ah.

It was stated by the other poster that Italy had rolled out the SARS vaccine and that’s why they had so many deaths in the northern part.

Stated repeatedly in fact, with no supporting data or info to back it up.

Not hammering on you mind you.

But if you DO run across something like that, and think about me :), please ping me :)


461 posted on 04/09/2020 9:38:01 PM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: mrsmith
I don't either, or at least nothing spectacular. We're going to have to fight our way out until someone comes to the rescue.

But then, maybe it's all for a reason:

Come, my people, enter your chambers, And shut your doors behind you; Hide yourself, as it were, for a little moment, Until the indignation is past.

For behold, the Lord comes out of His place To punish the inhabitants of the earth for their iniquity; The earth will also disclose her blood, And will no more cover her slain.

462 posted on 04/09/2020 9:40:12 PM PDT by amorphous
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To: All

“Nancy Pelosi says it’s unclear when US economy can reopen — ‘We could have a depression’”

- see https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/09/nancy-pelosi-says-the-us-could-have-a-depression.html


463 posted on 04/09/2020 9:42:12 PM PDT by Fury
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To: Fury

Tough question in the real world!
Sounds like you guys have a good handle though.


464 posted on 04/09/2020 9:43:47 PM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts (M / F) : Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: Black Agnes

Will do, but what you relate is exactly what I also read back over a month or so ago, when things just started to go bad in Italy. And I will try to do a little more searching - that kind of bothers me that the story has disappeared - even if there was nothing to it, you know how these conspiracy theories take on a life of their own.


465 posted on 04/09/2020 9:43:50 PM PDT by amorphous
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To: mrsmith
Sounds like you guys have a good handle though.

We're not the decision makers - just influencers.

But it was fun to solve the world's problems during lunch! (haha)

466 posted on 04/09/2020 9:45:01 PM PDT by Fury
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To: Black Agnes

I think the opening will go smoothly.

Gotta admit it could be tough though.
What’s “bad” from media and what’s really bad will matter.


467 posted on 04/09/2020 9:47:58 PM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts (M / F) : Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: Black Agnes; Vermont Lt; janetjanet998; LilFarmer; Jane Long

Can somebody else start the daily tomorrow?
I have to take possession of a house.


468 posted on 04/09/2020 9:51:49 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Fury

“But it was fun to solve the world’s problems during lunch! (haha)”
Love that!


469 posted on 04/09/2020 9:53:23 PM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts (M / F) : Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: amorphous

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gdd7dtDaYmM&list=PLZYYXhZLCZ85f0OqqO5ztxmoyKr69MKjY

Good video.


470 posted on 04/09/2020 9:54:23 PM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: LilFarmer

At least some of the trick to masks is static charge of the fabric grabbing the virus to cause a roadblock as other virus latch onto each other in clumps too big to get thru the mesh of a material. Like dirt on a window-screen. Three layers should create a static charge n each layer just by rubbing against each other, and why wouldn’t it be good enough for a quick grocery store trip as long as you didn’t have to stand in long lines? Maybe not so much a single layer silk scarf.

limited, indirect evidence isn’t enough evidence to discourage people from wearing something that helps block two of three critical facial areas.


471 posted on 04/09/2020 9:54:32 PM PDT by blueplum ("...this moment is your moment: it belongs to you... " President Donald J. Trump, Jan 20, 2017))
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To: Mariner

“I have to take possession of a house.”
You (something) you!


472 posted on 04/09/2020 9:56:24 PM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts (M / F) : Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: Black Agnes

Thanks, watching now. Epoch Times is a fitting name and they do good work.


473 posted on 04/09/2020 10:02:59 PM PDT by amorphous
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To: Paul R.

I like the Star Wars thing!!

Why not touch? Because that hand sanitizer rarely gets under the fingernails, but you touch the mask with your fingertips. And when ppl use HS, ppl almost never pay attention to their fingertips - they’ll spend all kinds of time rubbing it into their palms, back of hands and fingers but very few circle their fingertips into the palm like you do when you’re washing your hands the right way. So, in general as always :) better not to touch the front of the mask, which is the most contaminated part.


474 posted on 04/09/2020 10:08:38 PM PDT by blueplum ("...this moment is your moment: it belongs to you... " President Donald J. Trump, Jan 20, 2017))
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To: amorphous

I like that channel, too.


475 posted on 04/09/2020 10:10:05 PM PDT by blueplum ("...this moment is your moment: it belongs to you... " President Donald J. Trump, Jan 20, 2017))
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To: Mariner

congrats!!!! What a relief that must be for you :)


476 posted on 04/09/2020 10:12:38 PM PDT by blueplum ("...this moment is your moment: it belongs to you... " President Donald J. Trump, Jan 20, 2017))
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To: Fury; mrsmith; LilFarmer; Mom MD; Black Agnes; wastoute; gas_dr; PA Engineer; Vermont Lt

https://twitter.com/MichaelCoudrey/status/1248424461163872260?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fthedonald.win%2Fnew

That French doctor did a study on over 1,000 patients: if you get them started on the HCQ / Z-pac / Zinc early, you get a 91% or so cure rate.


477 posted on 04/09/2020 10:17:06 PM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change with out notice.)
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To: grey_whiskers

And the other 9%?


478 posted on 04/09/2020 10:18:18 PM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: BobL

Good point. I am pretty careful, as I have an elderly parent we care for to worry about, a daughter with asthma (tho’ not particularly problematic for her @ present), and I suppose I’m old enough to be at some risk. OTOH I figure that after a day in a sun-warmed car our mail is not likely to infect any of us. Ok, it’s gonna be colder the next few days: Maybe I’ll give that mail or packages 2 sunny days.


479 posted on 04/09/2020 10:18:45 PM PDT by Paul R. (The Lib / Socialist goal: Total control of nothing left wort h controlling.)
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To: Mariner

“50X reported cases would be nearly deliverance.”

Exodus NYC pretty much destroyed any chance we had of an accurate case count.

I just assume the number we have is the serious+ cases, further assume that is 20% of all the active cases and also assume 3 incubating cohorts of equal size. I may need to up that 3 to 5 or 6 if the latest estimates of R0 are legit.

Anyway, that’s my upper boundary for estimating he number of infected in the US. I know that not all the cases reported are serious or critical, but as testing falls behind in hotspots, the serious+ cases count will approach the reported cases count. No reliable way to break down the numbers right now.

Right now that puts us at 9.3 million infected (staying at 3 cohorts of incubating cases for now), a bit under 3% of the population.

I hope my number is high, even at an approximated R0 of 3, and we start to see sustained curve flattening.

I wonder what a [new cases today]/[new cases 5 days ago] plot would look like. That would tell us what the effective R0 is. Or was 5 days ago, anyway.


480 posted on 04/09/2020 10:27:01 PM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant. Join the war effort. On the human side.)
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