Posted on 03/26/2020 10:14:19 AM PDT by Mariner
Thread #27 here:
http://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3828191/posts?page=1
New Cases
20MAR 5588
21MAR 4825
22MAR 9400
23MAR 10189
24MAR 11075
25MAR 13355
26MAR 17224
Total Cases
20MAR 19367
23MAR 43781
26MAR 85435
I'm not sure this meets "flattening the curve". We are slowing it down more than some countries have, but doubling every 3 days isn't ideal. I think people being responsible would be more effective than massive shutdowns, other than mass transportation. We should have seen this coming, but refused to believe what we saw happening around the world.
“He said they have to use those phones for everything. Can’t buy anything without it etc.”
I can believe it. I knew a guy that would go down to Haiti on medical missionary trips every year. He said the people don’t have water, sanitation, etc. - but they all have cell phones provided by the government. He surmised it was their manner to distribute propaganda and maintain control.
found an article about home tests, but a few months out:
Look at “new deaths”. It has been 250 plus or minus 20 for 3 days. It quit doubling three days ago.
Thank you. Great video of a young doctor and her observations. Disheartening to hear that they are trying all of the various medicines, but doesn’t sound like they have had much success with any of them, and just keep trying.
I can’t remember all of the names, but the interviewer mentioned them all and she said they are using them, but no real pattern in what might work.
At the end she says something like “Us on the inside as medical workers won’t be the ones to stop this. It will be the public on the outside that will.” Meaning our behaviors, social distancing, etc.
WASHINGTON
“At EvergreenHealth Medical Center, two miles from the shuttered Lifecare nursing home... officials say their rate of new covid-19 cases...leveling off at a trickle. On some days, doctors here see just one new case and haven’t seen more than four in a single day since mid-March
“In the state that saw the nation’s first confirmed covid-19 case on Jan. 31, and the first recorded coronavirus-related death on Feb. 29, initial dire predictions of massive spikes have waned even as testing has increased rapidly. While the number of cases in Washington state grew by as much as 28 percent in one day on March 15 — it has since slowed significantly statewide, as have hospitalizations and deaths.
State authorities said there have been 2,580 positive cases and 132 deaths, and as testing in Washington has ramped up, the percentage of positive cases has remained low — holding at about 7 percent. “
LONDON
Dyson designs ventilator in 10 days, making 15,000 amid pandemic
James Dyson, the company’s billionaire founder, confirmed the order in a letter to employees shared with CNN on Wednesday...
...Dyson said the company had designed and built an entirely new ventilator, called the “CoVent,” since he received a call 10 days ago from UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson.
“This new device can be manufactured quickly, efficiently and at volume,” Dyson added, saying that the new ventilator has been designed to “address the specific needs” of coronavirus patients.
Up yours, China
Yes - I’ve seen the charts here and am SO THANKFUL! (I’m less than 3 miles as the crow flied from Evergreen). The other day there were no new deaths in the state!
I think we might have the weaker Chinese strain compared to New York’s Italian strain (some have surmised variations). I think there might be some cultural reasons, and of course we don’t have nearly the high density of people or the large mass transit that NYC has.
That one nursing home getting it early made the early numbers jump. Other nursing places also had it, but a bit later on (the next week?) when it was on people’s radar by then so they managed it better.
Such nice folks, the Chinese........
MEXICO
A small group of protesters in Mexico blocked the southbound lanes at a border crossing between the twin border cities of Ambos Nogales on Wednesday, with demonstrators calling on the Mexican government to institute stronger COVID-19 screenings for people coming from the U.S.
Newsweek:
Hot, sunny day?
You mean both on the same day?
Hmmm, I think that might happen once or twice in July, if memory serves me correctly.
But this is CNY. Just getting the sunny day is a stroke of luck, much less the hot part.
I would also suspect polyester to be more in line with other hard surfaces.
I need to look at my fabric selection for making homemade masks.
Could whip those up in a few minutes what with the way I sew.
My sewing machine is the *take it with me if the house is on fire* kind of necessity.
Many of these early deaths are atypical, mostly very old and weak that died within a week of being infected. Most cases take 3-4 weeks to resolve, thus deaths lag new cases by about 3 weeks. 3 weeks ago we were barely getting started. As new cases ramp up, the Case Fatality Rate will at first decrease as most patients are early in the disease progression. Then as existing cases resolve and new cases drop, CFR will again climb. When South Korea was where we are now, they were about 0.7% fatalities. They are now 1.5%, and if their trend continues they will reach 2.4%.
LOL.
Those are OLD film clips.
Not good. This could be the year with no summer.
The infection and hospitalization numbers at present do not indicate that herd immunity has kicked in yet.
The question is, “How many patients once intubated are extubated?” From what it sounds like once they are that sick they don’t come back. If that’s the case we don’t need ventilators at all. It’s a terrible thing to contemplate but in a melt down, if it fails every time why expose the staff. You simply have to start thinking about the staff.
What about just putting them in the full sun for a day?
Turn them over part way through so both sides get it.
UV is a disinfectant.
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